After the winter solstice, pig prices are obviously under pressure, especially with the east and central China, after a short period of growth in large factories, the southwest pickled meat gradually weakened, and the slaughter of large pigs in the north surgedSuperimposed, in the north and south regions, the temperature is gradually rising, the pickling conditions in the south are gradually deteriorating, the pork consumption in southwest Sichuan and Chongqing is also gradually weakening, the panic mentality at the breeding end is increasing, the competitive slaughter of the second breeding and large-scale pig enterprises has increased, the market supply and demand pattern has gradually "reversed", and pork consumption has entered a downward trend, while the number of live pigs has increased significantly, and the price of pigs has shown a trend that exceeds expectations!Hogs**
Judging from the latest feedback from the market, on December 30, the average price of foreign three-yuan lean pigs fell to 1406 yuan kg, down 017 yuan, pig price compared to 14 in the middle of the yearThe high point of 72 yuan kilograms, a cumulative drop of 6 cents and 6, a decrease of 448%, the average price of live pigs once again touched the 14 yuan kg mark!
Judging from the 28 regions of the national key monitoring, the pig price has been sharply reduced, and the pig price in East China, Central China, Southwest China, North China, Northeast China and other places is more common, and the general decline is 02~0.3 yuan or so kilograms!After the pig price was lowered, in the northern region, the source of low-priced pigs fell further, and Heilongjiang ** fell to 134 yuan, Inner Mongolia ** fell to 1365 yuan, Shanxi and Hebei fell to 141 yuan, the market presents a situation of "breaking 7 into 6".
In the southern market, in the southwest region, Sichuan and Chongqing ** bottomed out 138 yuan kg, Yunnan-Guizhou region** fell to 134~13.9 yuan kg, while in Shandong, Anhui pig prices fell below 15 yuan, Jiangsu, Zhejiang and other places also fell sharply, Jiangsu fell to 152 yuan kg, compared to 1625 yuan kg, a drop of more than 1 yuan kg, and in the Henan market, ** fell to 143 yuan kg, two wide *** at 141~14.75 yuan kg!
It can be seen that by the market supply and demand pattern "reversal", pig prices show a trend of breaking the position, this round of pig prices, mainly by the winter solstice solar terms, the market for pickled demand bullish confidence loosened, the stage of ** and group pig enterprises in large pigs slaughter, and the consumption increment is limited, the market can not catch the large-scale fat pigs, slaughterhouse card price and card weight pig mentality increased, further exacerbated the performance of pig price downward adjustment!
However, with the arrival of the New Year's Day holiday, there will also be new changes in the pig industry, on the one hand, the pace of group pig enterprises slaughter or will slow down, the mainstream head pig enterprises will gradually complete the slaughter plan within the year, and the pressure on pigs will also be reducedOn the other hand, the resistance of pig farms to price reduction has become stronger, and in the northern region, the pace of slaughter of standard pigs has slowed down, and the market has become stronger
Therefore, in the next 1 2 days, the pace of pig slaughter or will slow down, however, due to the slaughtering enterprises in the early stage of sufficient stocking, the operating rate is in the downward stage, the trend of supply and demand reduction or will become stronger, however, with the arrival of the New Year's Day holiday, the domestic mainstream slaughtering enterprises frozen pork or will be out of the warehouse one after another, therefore, although, pig prices have signs of stabilization, however, the decline or will be difficult to change, **or will fluctuate**!
Personally, I believe that during the New Year's Day holiday, pig prices are weakly adjusted, and the average price of live pigs may fall below 14 yuan kg, ** into the "6 yuan era", however, due to the weakening of the enthusiasm for purchase and sales, the market is relatively limited, however, after the New Year's Day holiday, the group pig enterprises are slaughtered incrementally, the consumption inertia has fallen, and the pig price has the risk of further decline, before the middle of January, the pig price will most likely hover in the "6 yuan era"!
Pig prices fell sharply by 6 cents and 6, the supply and demand pattern "reversed", and pig prices should fall back to the "6 yuan era".What do you think about this?The above is the author's personal opinion, **from the Internet, the content is for reference only!