Pig prices have plummeted!The outlook for pig prices in December is worrying
Sudden changes in the hog market.
Recently, there have been significant changes in the national hog market, and pig prices have also happened recently"Mutations"。The hog market began to show signs of stopping its decline and rebounding, and now it continues**. It is worth noting that the price increase of pigs in the northern region is the most obvious, and even has entered a comprehensive trend, while the southern region is only following the rise, and the situation is still occurring, overall, pig prices continue to show a trend. This is a good sign.
Although the price of pigs has been **, the overall range is not large. Although many pig farmers are looking forward to December and hope that pig prices can be significantly larger, however, while optimistic, we cannot ignore the potential risks and pressures. First of all, the threat of pig disease continues to exist, the current pig disease caused by the collection of ** column has had a greater impact on pig prices, weak market consumption coupled with the increase in slaughter, resulting in market oversupply, difficult to achieve a large **. Secondly, the recovery of terminal consumption is uncertain, this year as a whole, the terminal market consumption has been in crisis, even in November, consumption is still not significantly improved, cured bacon and sausage and other terminal demand consumption has not broken out, so there is little hope for consumption recovery. Finally, attention should be paid to the number of large-scale farms in December. There are institutions**, large-scale pig farms will be slaughtered at the end of the year, due to the increase in the number of pig farms, it will be more difficult to raise prices.
On the big side, pig prices continued to be under pressure in December, and the need for more favorable support factors increased significantly. However, the current situation is not hopeless, and the upward trend and scope of pig prices may be expanded, especially in the southern region, which is expected to follow the rise. It is expected that the market will maintain a strong trend tomorrow, and there is still room for pig prices.
Reduces the risk of swine disease threats.
The threat of swine disease is still unknown, while pig prices are expected. In the past month, the concentrated slaughter caused by pig disease has had a significant impact on pig prices, and the ** volume in the market is relatively large, resulting in an oversupply of live pigs, and pig prices are difficult to substantial**. However, the threat of swine disease may diminish over time.
First of all, it has improved the awareness of farmers and authorities on the prevention and control of swine diseases. Inspections of pig farms have been strengthened, and the use and disinfection of vaccines have been strengthened, which will help reduce the spread and spread of swine diseases. Secondly, in the face of the threat of swine diseases, farmers will be more cautious and take corresponding prevention and control measures to reduce the incidence of swine diseases. In addition, with the advancement of science and technology, the screening and early diagnosis methods of swine diseases are also constantly improving, which can detect the epidemic earlier and take measures to control the epidemic.
Therefore, although swine disease is still a factor restraining pig prices, we can be optimistic about the future, believing that the risk of swine disease threats will gradually decrease, creating more favorable conditions for pig prices.
Sexual trends in final consumption.
With the ** pig price, the recovery of final consumption has become crucial. However, there is still uncertainty about the trend of final consumption.
So far this year, consumption in the end market has been declining, and even in early November, there was still no significant improvement in consumption. Sales of southern specialties such as cured bacon and enoki mushrooms have also not improved. The purchasing power of consumers is affected by the economic situation, and the consumer market remains uncertain.
However, with the steady recovery of the economy and political stimulus, we can also see some positive signs in terms of final consumption. For example, sales in some supermarkets and markets have recently recovered, and consumers are more concerned about food safety, and some high-quality meat products are favored by consumers. In addition, as the festival approaches, consumer demand is expected to be gradually released, and the demand for meat products such as pork is expected to increase. Therefore, although the current recovery of terminal consumption still faces some challenges, the possibility of a surge in the terminal market cannot be completely denied, and it remains to be further observed.
The number of pigs on a large-scale pig farm.
The number of large-scale farms in December will have a significant impact on pig price trends. Previously, there were institutions**, the number of large-scale pig farms in December will be higher, and the number of pigs slaughtered will increase. This will further increase the market and put some pressure on pig prices.
There may be several reasons for the increase in slaughter on large pig farms. First of all, when the pig price is **, the phenomenon of panic buying at the end of the year is widespread, and some large-scale pig farms will choose to increase the number of slaughtered in order to obtain more year-end sales revenue. Secondly, as the threat of swine disease weakens, large-scale pig farms may accelerate the recovery of breeding scale, and the number of slaughters will increase accordingly.
However, increasing the number of large-scale pig farms also faces some challenges and tests. First of all, large-scale pig farms are relatively expensive to produce and more sensitive to market supply and demand, so slaughter decisions must be more cautious. Second, the uncertainty of the market supply and demand pattern, coupled with the fluctuation of pig prices, makes large-scale pig farms more cautious in deciding on the number of slaughters.
All in all, the slaughter volume of large-scale pig farms will affect the trend of pig prices to a certain extent. Although the current increase in slaughter may increase the difficulty of pig prices, it is also necessary to take into account factors such as the production cost of large-scale pig farms, the market supply and demand pattern, and the important impact of supply on the trend of pig prices.
Summary. Recently, the pig market has suddenly changed, and pig prices have begun to show signs of recovery. However, pig prices** are still under great pressure. The weakening threat of swine disease, the trend of outbreaks in final consumption, and the number of large-scale pig farms will all have a significant impact on pig prices. In conclusion, despite some uncertainties, we still maintain a certain optimism about the ** of pig prices. With the strengthening of swine disease prevention and control and the recovery of terminal consumption, pig prices are still possible. However, it is also necessary to pay attention to the risks and pressures faced by the market, as well as the changes in the number of large pig farms, and take corresponding countermeasures to maintain the stability and healthy development of the market.