Pig prices suddenly 'changed', and the northern market was 'green'
According to the analysis of institutional data, on December 2, the average price of three-yuan pigs in the country was **005 yuan kg, the average price of live pigs fell to 1446 yuan kg, the domestic market is a mixed situation, among them, the northeast, north, northwest and east China pig prices"Green and yellow", the market presents a majority of the trend, pig prices in central China are mixed, in the South China and Southwest markets, slaughterhouses ** adjustment range in 005～0.35 yuan kg!Pig prices in central China were mixed, pig prices in South China and Southwest China were firm, and the slaughterhouse ** adjustment range was 005～0.35 yuan kg!
At present, in the country's main high and low markets, among them, North China, Northeast China, North China, Hei, Kyrgyzstan, Liaoning, Inner Mongolia, Hebei has fallen below 14 yuan, and Heilongjiang's first volume has fallen to 139 yuan, Liaoning's ** volume has fallen to 1375 yuan kg, the amount of ** in Beijing-Tianjin and Shanxi has fallen to 1405～14.4 yuan kg. In the South China market, the volume of ** from East China, Shandong, Anhui and Jiangsu decreased slightly by 005~0.15 yuan, the ** volume in Zhejiang and Shanghai stabilized at 152 yuan, Shandong at 1415 yuan, Fujian at 156 yuan. In central China, Jiangxi rose to 1495 yuan, Hunan rose to 1465 yuan, Henan and Hubei**141~14.$15. In the South China market, Guangdong** rose to 1555 yuan, Guangxi** rose to 1485 yuan, southwest market, Sichuan, Chongqing** broke through 15 yuan kg, Yunnan, Guizhou market** rose to 143~14.6 yuan kg!
Based on this analysis, on December 2, pig prices appeared"The north rose and the south fell"Trend, pig prices have increased, mainly in East China and Central China, and have shrunk to Central China and Southwest China, and the market is presented"From top to bottom"Situation, pig prices in some parts of the north!Falling below 14 yuan kg again, the market mentality is gradually deteriorating!
From the analysis of institutional data, the current domestic pig fattening profitability pressure is greater, the top 55 months of purchased piglet fattening loss of 2023 yuan, self-breeding and self-raising head are about 118 yuan, due to the old three stages of white pigs ** fell to 17 yuan kg, at this stage under the slaughtering enterprise white pig price difference is only 254 yuan kg, the average processing loss of slaughtering enterprises is as high as 38$16!However, due to the approach of the peak consumption season, in the north and south regions, the slaughtering enterprises have a strong willingness to take the initiative to increase the operating rate, and the operating rate of the national sample slaughtering enterprises has increased to 3417%！
According to the analysis of the institution, the current operating rate of slaughtering enterprises is at a high level, and the average daily slaughter volume has also increased significantly, but the pig price is from top to bottom, which shows that the increase in the market is more obviousJudging from the feedback from the grassroots, at the beginning of the month, the domestic mainstream scale pig enterprises slaughtered the rhythm in general, and the scale pig enterprises in central China have a certain incremental performance, but in most areas of the north and south, the scale pig enterprise slaughter plan is limited!However, due to the impact of the risk of epidemic disease, more active and passive, and the recent secondary fattening farmers also seem to have concentrated on the sale of large pigs, although the domestic social pig circulation has increased, the slaughterhouse operating rate has increased, the pace of closure of large-scale pig enterprises is slow, but from the perspective of the difficulty of slaughterhouse acquisition, the number of slaughterhouses in the north should increase significantly, and large-scale pig enterprises are facing a certain amount of slaughter!difficulty, which also exacerbates the performance of the slaughterhouse to collect pigs**.
Therefore, due to the temperature drop in the southern region is lower than expected, it is difficult to realize the salty good, the growth of pork consumption in the northern market is limited, and the breeding end of the first column increases, the second fattening of large and medium-sized pigs flooded the market, although the scale of pig enterprises shrinking, but the difficulty of slaughterhouse acquisition is weak, the increase in pig ** is stronger than the growth rate of slaughtering enterprises, pig prices show a high downward trend!
In the short term, due to the poor shipment of pickled meat, the breeding end of the pig is relatively loose, and it is expected that the pig price will continue to decline, but as the cold air activities become more frequent, the temperature in the south will further drop, and the pickled meat will gradually make money, and the pig price will be affected by the emotional orientation, and there is still a downward upward trend!However, due to the high sow inventory at the beginning of the year, this month's pig enterprise group set the first column in a hurry, it is expected that the pig price at the end of the year is limited, and this month's pig fattening will still be in the loss stage!
Pig price**, northern market"Green", how is the situation?Pig price on December 2nd!What are your thoughts on this?The above is the author's personal opinion, ** on the Internet!