Let's talk for the first time todayEFL Cup Chelsea vs Newcastle United!
Newcastle are fierce at home, winning eight of their nine home gamesThe win rate is as high as 889%。
But the away road is very bad, losing 5 of 8 away gamesThe defeat rate is 625%, fifth from bottom on the road.
Such a big gap is mainly because they are too tired, and they can still breathe a sigh of relief with the cheers of more than 50,000 fans at home, but they can't fight hard when they get to the away stadium.
Today, Newcastle may have 10 12 players injured, this away, can they still get by?
One of the big challenges of talking about Newcastle was counting how many more people they had injured.
Xiaojiu took a look at it, and the previous game against Milan injured Isak and Kieran Trippier, and they had some hope of making a comeback. The last game against Fulham injured Schell and Joelinton, and these two will definitely not play.
This also means,They have 10 confirmed misses tonight, two more doubtful, and a total of 12 injuries.
In fact, Newcastle has been injured about 10 people for a long time.
This leads to,While they are fighting on two fronts, there is little room for rotation, you see them playing Milan and Fulham,In 3 days and 2 games, there were only 2 starters, in which Kieran Trippier was also injured as a passive substitution.
The last win over Fulham may have been just a flashback, as they were clearly overdrawn when they played Paris at the end of November.
If you look at their XG value after 30 minutes, it's almost a straight line, and they don't have any power to fight back at all, and they can keep a draw, which is a little bit of luck.
Next, although we beat Manchester United, we also talked about it, and Manchester United had a lot of low-level tactical mistakes in that game.
Then Newcastle met Everton and Tottenham and were beaten back to their original form, collapsed very badly, and had little power to fight back.
The last game to beat Fulham mainly relied on Jimenez's hot-headed volley and punished himself, otherwise if it was 11 to 11, I'm afraid it would be a bit difficult to say.
Tonight against Chelsea,It was Newcastle's third game in seven daysIn the first two games, Newcastle barely rotated, and they averaged 28How much gas is left in the 5-year-old starting lineup?
Moreover, the last two have been stableWound two people in a fight, which shows that the players are at their limit and the risk of injury is very high.
So, is it still necessary for Newcastle to fight this EFL Cup away from home?If you hurt two more people......I am afraid that I will not be able to qualify for the Champions League next season.
Anyway, they were on the bench for eight in the last round of the EFL Cup and didn't give it their all.
Chelsea is different, Pochettino said directly at the press conferenceThe EFL Cup is one of their top goals this season
Understandably, Champions League qualification is a dream anyway, and the FA Cup is too difficult, and for Chelsea, who are hungry for titles, the EFL Cup is one of the most realistic goals.
Anyway, they have a very young lineupThe average is only 23 years old, the youngest in the Premier League, it is a single-line battle, or the second home game in a row, and it is completely physical to fight for the cup.
For this kind of rebuilding team, it is also necessary to give the young players a goal to pursue.
Chelsea have been excellent in a number of attacking indicators this season.
For example, they have the third XG value in the Premier League and the great opportunity created is a tie for second in the Premier League.
But many of their strikers are too young, there will be psychological tension, but also lack of physical strength, after high-intensity confrontation and attrition, often play is outrageous, a meter in front of the goal can be kicked off, it is not easy, ordinary people deliberately want to kick fly is difficult.
If Newcastle are here to play with their lives, I'm afraid that the Chelsea youngsters will be knocked everywhere and continue to play out of shape.
But if Newcastle are going to catch their breath, the Chelsea gang are probably going to play normally, and that's still a lot of good.
Overall, although there is a huge difference in strength between the two sides under normal circumstances, with Newcastle full of injuries and overwhelmed, what do you think of whether Chelsea can satisfy the fans?Drinks will be in anticipation of Chelsea winning the game.
Well, for today's other competitions, Xiaojiu will still send you text analysis in the evening. If there is anything unclear, you can ask me, "Watch the ball and see clearly", we will see you soon!
If you like it, move your fingers, follow and like.