Senior General Min Aung Hlaing, leader of the Myanmar Army, delivered an important speech on the internal situation at a high-level meeting, stressing that Myanmar will not tolerate it, and at the same time sending some special signals against the military operations carried out by ethnic local armed forces in many parts of Myanmar. According to a press release issued by Myanmar's official **, Min Aung Hlaing first said in his speech that the actions of the Mindi Armed Forces jeopardized the "three major national causes" of "the non-dissolution of the Union, the non-disintegration of national unity and the perpetuation of sovereignty", and warned that if the Mindi Armed Forces continued to take "stupid" actions, the lives of the people in the affected areas would be seriously affected. He stressed that the civilian armed forces need to solve the problem politically, abandon the current behavior, and focus on the real interests of the people. Although the content of the speech appeared strong and did not explicitly mention the ceasefire, Min Aung Hlaing's current reference to a "political settlement" can also be seen as a signal of reconciliation from the Myanmar military to the civilian forces. Min Aung Hlaing's statement was influenced by two factors. First of all, the development of the war situation in Myanmar is extremely unfavorable to the military.
Min Aung Hlaing's remarks came as the People's Defence Forces (PDF) and various civilian armed groups under the command of National Unity continued to attack the Tatmadaw in multiple directions, and the Tatmadaw had lost control of at least 19 townships. In northern Myanmar, the Kokang Allied Forces are fighting with the Tatmadaw and local militia groups for the Erawan Shrine, the last outer barrier in the eastern part of Lao Cai City, the capital of Kokang, and once this key juncture is captured, the Kokang Allied Army will be able to launch an attack on Lao Cai from the east. However, at this time, the Burmese army simply did not have the strength to increase its troops and help the defenders of Lao Cai to relieve the siege, because the fighting had spread to most of Burma. The battle for the town of Loikaw, the capital of Kayah State on the border with Thailand, has begun. Skirmishes also broke out in Yangon province, one of the core control areas of the military, with some civilian forces using drones to attack targets of the Burmese army. Myanmar is currently in turmoil, with fighting spreading across the country. Multiple bombs** were reported near the Yangon District Assembly building. The People's Defence Forces (YPF) and the People's Land Armed Forces (MDA) launched an offensive in Bago Province and successfully routed two mobile battalions of the Tatmadaw Army.
At the same time, fighting is escalating in Mandalay province, with the Mandalay People's Defence Forces continuing to attack Tatmadaw convoys and echoing operations in northern Myanmar, as fighting is spreading to Naypyidaw. As the Burmese army retreated on the battlefield, the civilian forces that were originally on the sidelines also changed their stance and joined the encirclement and suppression operations against the army. The Kokang Allied Army and other civilian armed groups have appeared in official notices with names such as the "All Burma Student Democratic Front". At the same time, the "Three Brothers Alliance" launched the "1027" operation, which caused the internal situation in Myanmar to deteriorate again. The international community has exerted external pressure on all parties to cease fire and stop hostilities, and to resolve internal differences through political means to prevent the crisis from spreading to neighboring countries. Against this backdrop, China has repeatedly expressed its stance through diplomatic channels and conducted a highly targeted army combat training on our side of the China-Myanmar border. In addition, the Chinese Navy's 44th Gulf of Aden escort group is also scheduled to visit the port of Yangon in southern Myanmar. This shows that China is concerned about and attaches great importance to the situation in Myanmar. Min Aung Hlaing took the opportunity of his speech to send a signal of relaxation, trying to test it under internal and external pressure.
If the militia and the "national unity" side respond positively, the military may make some concessions in exchange for a temporary truce. However, if the other side is determined to confront, the Myanmar military may take actions such as emergency conscription, and use the superiority of naval and air forces to launch a counterattack to hold the core control areas such as Naypyidaw and Yangon. In the event that the civilian armed forces refuse to negotiate, the Burmese military may also shift the blame for the civil war to the civilian armed forces. In the face of the military's tentative actions, the Kokang Alliance and other civilian forces have not yet responded, and the "national unity" side has taken a tough attitude and demanded that the military not intervene in domestic politics, which makes it difficult for the two sides to engage in real dialogue. As a result, the situation remains uncertain and uncertain.
national unity government" has passed the ball back to the military government】. given the long-standing dominance of the military in myanmar's politics, it is natural that min aung hlaing and the forces he represents would not accept this condition. the back-and-forth negotiations between the two sides are likely to continue for some time, and much will
still depend on the changing dynamics on the battlefield. nevertheless, the separate statements made by min aung hlaing and the "national unity government" h**e, to a certain extent, p**ed the way for international mediation in the current conflict and even the genuine reconciliation of various factions within myanmar. it's now a matter of whether both side
s can maintain their current momentum and seize this opportunity to finally bring a close to this large-scale conflict, which has already displaced over 500,000 people.