The number of second-hand listings exceeded 150,000, and the owners "bald heads" sought to break the situation, which has become an open secret of the Shenyang property market.
Judging from the data from January to October 2023, the first-hand residential transactions in Shenyang are about 3.98 million square meters, and the second-hand residential transactions are about 9.47 million square meters, more than 1 times the first-hand transactions.
This also shows that buyers now prefer the certainty brought by second-hand homes that can be touched and seen.
However, the time has come to the end of 2023, and according to mango data, Shenyang is in the fourth quarter".The number of second-hand housing listings per weekThere is a gradual downward trend.
In particular, the number of listings in the second week of DecemberReduced compared to the weekly averageset,Breaking the record for reducing the number of units in the fourth quarter. So, what market signs does this show?
The seller is reluctant to sell, and the bottom characteristics are beginning to appear.
I have to admit that this year's Shenyang property market, whether it is a new house or a second-hand housing market, most of them rely on "price for volume" to obtain market liquidity, and "cutting meat" has become the norm.
Although, from the perspective of the policies issued by Shenyang, the cancellation of the purchase restriction within the second ring road, the cancellation of the housing sales restriction period regulations, the recognition of housing without loans, and the trade-in of the old are intended to reduce restrictions on second-hand market transactions and inject transaction vitality. However, it is a fact that the price of second-hand housing in Shenyang has been greatly reducedPrice reduction10,000, 3010,000, 50Tens of thousands of deals abound.
That is to say, with the first price of housing prices, now many second-hand houses have fallen below the cost line, so the homeowner simply does not sell, the original listing is not hanging, and the listing has been revoked, plus the second-hand housing has transactions every month, so the overall listing volume at the end of the year began to show a downward trend.
For example, if you buy a new house for 20,000 square meters 2 years ago, you will sell 2 today30,000 to protect the capital, but the market is not good, the homeowner has to be at least 20,000 **, or not good to sell, need to "cut meat" price comparison, at this time some homeowners are not in a hurry to use the money, but in a fit of anger will not sell, because no one is willing to accept a loss "sale", so the vast majority of people will be stuck here in the house price, resolutely not to give in, even if it can't be sold.
Well, someone will ask:"Does the decline in the number of second-hand housing listings mean that housing prices will stop falling and rebound?"
To a certain extent, there will be such a phenomenon in the market, because the house price can no longer fall, and if it falls again, it will not be sold, and as the landlord who gives in is getting fewer and fewer, the receiver sees that the house price has stabilized, and has taken advantage of the landlord, it is possible to make a move. So, we still see hope that house prices will pick up and stabilize, at least as they should be.
In short, the growth rate of the overall second-hand housing listing volume is slowing down, indicating that the most radical and sensitive investors have "should be hanged", and the average listing price of second-hand housing at the end of the year should also be stable. And now is the state of the deep game of the market, and the property market has also reached the most critical step, whether it is the first or stabilizing, it depends on next year.
Of course, to say a thousand things and ten thousand, the final performance of the property market depends on the economic situation.
In fact, there is still a demand for improving real estate in Shenyang, and there are a lot of them, but this group of people either has no money or is afraid of falling. Once the economy recovers, no matter what your supply is, the army of rigid demand will sweep everything, just like in the first quarter of this year, there has been a significant increase in market volume.
SoIt is still a good opportunity for buyers who want to buy a home at the beginning of 2024.
We all know that in terms of new housing, due to performance appraisal, major developers will generally have preferential discounts at the end of the year or before the Spring Festival, and some of the strength is even unprecedentedIn terms of second-hand housing, some landlords are in a hurry to use money at the end of the year, and they are bound to sell at the end of the year, and the opportunity to pick up leaks at the end of the year will also emerge