Wang Shi again**China's future real estate trend, the probability is accurate again**!
Wang Shi's Inspiration: Learning from Japan's Real Estate Bubble.
When it comes to the future trends of China's real estate industry, Wang Shi compares it to the Japanese real estate bubble of the 90s of the 20th century. He pointed out that before the bursting of the real estate bubble in Japan, real estate developers were expanding wildly, residents invested heavily in buying houses, and the whole society believed that housing prices would only rise and not fall. However, all this is a precursor to the bursting of the bubble. During the boom in the domestic real estate market in 2018, Wang Shi chose to control the scale of investment, maintain abundant liquidity, and avoid competition with other real estate companies. This proves that his judgment on the property market is correct. By contrast, many aggressive real estate companies are now in debt crisis.
Expansion: The bursting of Japan's real estate bubble had a significant impact on China's real estate market and left a profound inspiration for Wang Shi. During that time, the Japanese real estate market was booming, and many people were optimistic about housing prices and invested in real estate, which also brought great confidence to many developers. However, the constant ** house prices masked the potential crisis in the market, and few people thought that the bubble would eventually burst. Through in-depth research on Japan's experience and accurate observation of China's real estate market, Wang Shi reminds people not to blindly chase prosperity, but to judge the situation and develop steadily.
The adjustment period is 3 to 5 years.
According to Wang Shi's observation, the current round of China's property market adjustment cycle will last for 3-5 years. First of all, since the first round of real estate reform in 1998, China's real estate has been **for more than 20 years**, and has hardly experienced a significant adjustment cycle. As a result, the stagnation period will be longer when entering a new round of correction. Secondly, in the current context, well-known real estate companies such as Evergrande Real Estate and Country Garden are focusing on laying mines, and other real estate companies may also bury mines in the future. It will take at least 3 to 5 years or even longer to resolve the debt crisis and unfinished buildings left by these real estate companies.
Expansion: China's real estate market has been running at a high level for a long time, **steadily**. However, long-term prosperity also hides some potential risks. Through in-depth research and observation, Wang Shi learned that the current property market adjustment cycle may be long. First of all, the stagnation period of this adjustment cycle will not end anytime soon, because China's real estate market has been steadily rising in price for more than 20 years, and the market needs a reasonable period of recuperation to balance supply and demand. Secondly, some large and well-known real estate companies have stepped on the thunder, and other real estate companies may also face similar problems in the future. Resolving these issues will require a lengthy period of debt restructuring and market consolidation, which will further advance the adjustment cycle.
The real estate industry is undergoing a major transformation.
Wang Shi believes that there will be a major reshuffle in the real estate industry in the future. In the past, real estate companies that blindly expanded and borrowed money may be eliminated due to debt defaults, and only those with low debt ratios and abundant liquidity will survive and live longer and better. At the same time, the entire real estate industry will begin to reduce the debt ratio, control the scale of investment, the demand for land will decrease, and the investment in building houses will fall.
Expansion: The real estate industry reshuffle is coming, which is Wang Shi's important view on the future trend of the real estate industry. In the last period, many real estate companies adopted the strategy of blind expansion and excessive borrowing to acquire land, resulting in a high debt ratio. However, as the adjustment cycle approaches, the risk of debt default is gradually increasing. Only real estate companies with low debt ratios and sufficient liquidity can survive the fierce market competition and emerge after rectification. At the same time, the industry as a whole will gradually reduce its debt ratio and control the scale of investment to enhance its stability and sustainability.
for the Chinese real estate market"Soft landing"Be confident.
Wang Shi is very confident in China's real estate market, believing that there will be no crisis like the Japanese real estate bubble in China, and the real estate market will gradually realize in the future"Soft landing"。In his view, China's real estate market is a policy market, and favorable policies can be continuously introduced in the real estate market to encourage people to buy houses. In this way, the process of bursting the property market bubble can be slowed down, and through the process of time to space, the housing price will be adjusted to the lowest level to achieve a smooth transition of the property market.
Expansion: Compared to the Japanese real estate bubble crisis, Wang Shi is optimistic about the prospects of China's real estate market. He believes that China's real estate market is different from Western countries and is more affected by policies. ** There is greater regulatory power, and the market can be guided by introducing favorable policies. In the political environment of the Chinese market, we can flexibly use monetary policy and adjust housing purchase restrictions to regulate the supply and demand of the real estate market. In contrast, the Bank of Japan actively punctured the real estate bubble by raising interest rates continuously. China** can take a more gradual approach to promote a soft landing in the real estate market, reduce the impact on the economy, and maintain market stability.
Abstract: From Wang Shi's ** on the future trend of China's real estate industry, we can see that he has a clear understanding and unique insights into China's real estate market. Inspired by the bursting of Japan's real estate bubble, Wang Shi realized that the boom in the real estate market was not sustainable and that housing prices** could not last forever. Therefore, he proposed it at the annual meeting of Vanke"Live, live, live, live"and choose to control the scale when the market is booming to maintain sufficient liquidity and avoid competition with other real estate companies. This unique vision and pragmatic strategy have enabled Vanke to maintain a good state in the current real estate market adjustment.
Wang Shi's ** for the future property market mainly includes: a long adjustment cycle of 3 to 5 years, a major reshuffle in the real estate industry, and the ability of China's property market to achieve a soft landing. He believes that due to the long-term, China's real estate market needs a relatively long adjustment period to balance supply and demand and eliminate market risks. At the same time, more real estate companies will face the risk of debt default in the future, and only companies with low debt ratios and sufficient liquidity can survive the market reshuffle. Finally, Wang Shi is optimistic about the development of China's real estate market, believing that a soft landing of the real estate market can be achieved through policy regulation and control, so as to avoid the bursting of the real estate bubble and bring greater damage to the economy.
It is important to note that real estate trends are a complex task, and there are many factors that can affect the market, including political regulations, economic conditions, and investor confidence. Therefore, any ** should be approached with caution and a thorough analysis should be carried out, taking various factors into account.