With the continuous advancement of the United States, the political situation is gradually becoming clearer. Trump has successfully won 5 party primaries in a row, just one step away from the Republican nomination, and on the Democratic side, the incumbent ** Biden has also won a number of party primaries by a clear margin. It is expected that Trump and Biden will once again stage a battle for the throne. At present, multiple polling data show that Trump is ahead of Biden in voter support. Biden has also felt a "sense of crisis" in Trump's recent primaries, and he has issued a statement urging American voters to vote carefully, saying that Trump poses a threat to the future of the United States.
What is the reason why Trump has been able to make a comeback in just four years?
Who are the main groups that support him? A survey of data reveals key information. According to a report by Wall Street**, a survey in partnership with pollsters found that about 69% of Americans who voted in the Republican primary did not have a four-year college diploma, which became the main source of votes for Trump. This represents an increase of 18 percentage points compared to 2015. In Trump's five consecutive primaries, more than 60 percent of the votes came from voters who "did not have a four-year college degree."
By contrast, Mr. Haley, Mr. Trump's only rival in the Republican Party, has largely college-educated voters.
In the South Carolina primary, Haley lost but won in the state's three most populous counties, where at least 40 percent of residents have a college degree. This suggests that Trump's "base" is dominated by white Americans with no higher education and low incomes. This group is a significant representation in the United States. Trump's self-professed representation of workers and blue-collar interests, combined with his claims to "make America great again" and "push manufacturing back to America," has won him the support of a large number of voters at the bottom of the United States.
Although Trump's "basic plate" cannot be underestimated, Biden is also enlisting the support of workers and civilians, especially in the United States in 2020, due to the national turmoil caused by the death of Floyd, an African-American man, Obama openly supported Biden, which made it supported by a large number of African-American people, which is also one of the important factors for Biden to win the throne. Due to the current inflation, economic and social crisis facing the United States, the continuous fermentation of immigration problems at the Texas border, and Biden's position on the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, Biden's approval rating has declined.
This is one of the main reasons why Trump is leading in the polls and a major obstacle in Biden's candidacy.
According to CNN, Trump and Biden will travel to the U.S.-Mexico border on February 29 to speak on immigration, and there is a possibility of a new round of "air competition". In 2024, the United States will be a battle of parties and a battle of popular hearts. Whoever can win more support from the American people will be one step closer to the throne. Let's wait and see where the final victory belongs.
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