Mountains and seas: **sit on a high position**, wait for an effective **space!
Data showed that U.S. jobless claims unexpectedly fell last week, signaling that job growth is likely to remain solid in February, data showed. The U.S. Department of Labor reported that initial jobless claims fell by 120,000, 20 after seasonality10,000 people. The minutes of the Federal Reserve's latest policy meeting, released on Wednesday, showed that most policymakers were concerned about the risks of cutting rates too soon. U.S. Treasury yields on Thursday made it more expensive for investors holding other currencies. On the other hand, rising geopolitical uncertainty, increased economic risks and rising inflationary pressures are the main factors that continue to drive central bank purchases, which in turn continue to push ** to remain high! In the near future, the market also needs to pay attention to whether the Fed can implement the decision to cut interest rates in March!
The trend of the dollar on Thursday exceeded the expectations of Shanhai, and I did not expect to get out of a wave of sharp declines in the European market, and even fell to 1031 low, but fortunately, after the opening of the U.S. market, the dollar has room to rebound, and the ** price is still at 1038 nearby, then, the test of the low point, more determined the demand for the dollar, in such an environment, the dollar is more optimistic about the continuation of the **, Friday probability in a state of slow rise, bullish to 1042 above.
When people are on the road, they can change their shoes if they are worn out, but the road must be walked by themselves; The heart is in the heart, and the joy can be shared with others, but the injury can only be carried by oneself. Don't make excuses for being tired; Don't be anxious about the bitterness, there is no bitterness in the bitterness, how can it be sweet. You can't stop the tide from ebbing and flowing, but you can learn to ride the waves. Since life has to go on every day, why shouldn't you work hard for a good life! What really defeats you is not your opponent, but your desperate heart; At the bottom of your troubles is not the pain of others, but your own withdrawal. From today onwards, do not indulge in fantasies, and do not disturb yourself. In addition to the US dollar in the market on Thursday, there are large fluctuations, and they all reflect good performance, among them, the spot market rises first and then falls, the highest in 2035, the lowest in 2020, or the performance, the 2032 short given by Shanhua, the 2027 empty are profitable, and the spot ** is at 231 high-altitude continues to hold in the current, Shanghai gold, Rongtong gold has no way to trade, Shanghai silver high-altitude holding expanded profits. **The volatility is large, first falling and then rising, and the empty view of 78 given by the mountains and seas is the lowest at 772, but the midnight reversal higher, reflecting the strength, today to give a new trading tips.
At the beginning, the direction and important points of the day's **: the end of Friday is still ** performance, the top is still empty at 2032, and the bottom is looking at 2020, 1995! So far this week, it has been four trading days, the first four trading days are **up, reflecting the strength, although Thursday rushed to around 2034, but after the rapid fall, the lowest at midnight in 2020, or belong to the **state, if you execute the high altitude of 2032, you can still get the maximum profit margin of the whole day. After the change of the midnight market, **is still around 2026, it can be seen that today**high probability is still going to go**, but the words that Shanhai said on Thursday remain unchanged, although **for the time being** upward trend, but still have hope for the bears! Technically speaking, there is no certainty in the rise and fall of the temporary **, the daily cycle is near the Bollinger middle track on Thursday, closing the doji, the long and short are evenly matched, and it is impossible to judge whether it will rise or fall, rationally speaking, ** can go to 2050, ** can go to 1995, so there is room for 20 30 US dollars up and down. The h4 cycle ** strength is more obvious, after Wednesday, Thursday on 2020 test not broken, to determine the strength of the low support, then, Friday ** to fall, or to see whether 2020 is broken, do not break continue to look at the high **, break and then look at the big drop space. The suppression above this cycle is also more obvious, the trading remains unchanged near 3032, the Asian and European markets are waiting for the short point, and the US market is waiting for the short strength to appear.
The spot ** is weaker than **, and after this week's **, the sole of the foot is currently down to 226, 23 of the front layout1 short order has a good profit, but Shanhai does spot ** do not do ** trading, medium and long-term trading target this wave to see around 22, so, short orders in the end of Friday or continue to hold, patiently wait for the changes in the market on Friday. At present, the market is not enough to realize, but we must firmly believe that the best space will come out, and although the goal is far away, it will be reached.
The International stressed on Thursday to wait for a pullback to 768 lows are long, while the actual low is at 772, but the U.S. market short has seized a wave of ** space, from 78 to 772 lowest points. The trend is still the same, with a midnight surge at 788, ** at 782, then, under this bullish trend, **still have to see** space. Since H4 is temporarily closed in the small cycle, you can also short at a high level if you trade during the day, see a wave of ** performance, and pay attention to 78 above5 suppresses the air, and the following continues to look at 768 more, among them, the low is bullish when the trend is single, you can see whether it can come out of a new high.
*Aspect: 1: Shanghai Gold 2408 contract.
Shanghai gold Thursday also**slightly**, down to around 480, as mentioned earlier, Shanghai gold this cycle is still a bullish trend, so at a relative high point do not chase high, this idea to put an end to fans in 482 chasing long, for friends waiting to do long, Friday should be waiting for 480 below the transaction, so, Shanhai's strategy is still to maintain waiting for 480 below the long, cyclical ** target to see 486. It's better not to be in this kind of small ** short position!
2: Rongtong gold.
Rongtong gold ** volatility is not large, falling below 480 on Thursday, but the actual strength is not strong, not to 478 low, in this state Shanhai is refusing to trade. Maintaining the previous view unchanged, Rongtong Gold temporarily maintained a bullish trend, remaining in the 478 485 range**, mainly low. Therefore, there is no way to trade around 480 for the time being, and the recent Rongtong gold is the same as Shanghai gold and spot **, and can get out of the effective ** to give a long single layout, so it is recommended to close the short position of Rongtong gold in the near future, and wait to fall back to the key support point of 478 after the long.
3: Shanghai Bank 2408 contract.
Shanghai silver is relatively weaker than **, and like the spot**, in the weak**, it continues to refresh its lows, approaching the 5900 low on Thursday. Early prompts, this cycle to maintain the 6000 suppression point effective at the same time, pay attention to the 6000 5750 range of the range, on Wednesday, Thursday in a row, the early high-altitude expansion of profits, then, Friday to maintain the short single unchanged, continue to see the slow decline space, the target of the short order in the week is 5800. Wait until the end of the week to see if we can reach our goal on Friday.
4: Fuel oil 2408 contract.
Fuel on Thursday high**, as emphasized earlier, the near future fuel will be in the high range**, don't rush to short. The basic trend continues the range of the previous year, the large range is maintained at 3150 2950, the current price is still a little ** space, the cycle is waiting for 3120 30 layout, then, to maintain the previous idea unchanged, the current price is near 3110, Thursday, Friday to observe whether you can short at 3120 3130, if you determine the high point short, then, bearish after waiting for the 2950 target.
5: Soda ash 2408 contract.
Soda ash fell slightly below 1850 on Thursday, at present, ** at 1840, and did not get out of the big rise space, but at present, it has been determined that the 1800 low point support is not broken, then, a key to maintaining the front, as long as 1800 is not broken, the market can form a ** space here, above or see the 2000 high, soda ash can be long in this cycle, read the space of this cycle, and then see if you can lay out the long-term short single to see the big fall.
Written by Mountains and Seas.
The above article was originally written by Shanhai, **Please indicate the source. Shanhai warmly reminds that investment is risky, and you need to be cautious when entering the market. The above only represents Shanhai's personal views and is not used as a basis for operation, and the operation is at your own risk).