Trump won two consecutive victories in the Republican primary, which can be described as a spring breeze, and the probability of winning the first has increased significantly. Trump is back in the ** race, and the probability of winning is getting higher and higher. Moreover, Trump's refusal to "protect Taiwan by force" has dealt a heavy blow to the Taiwan authorities. What made the Taiwan authorities even more uncomfortable was that Marcos also made up for it in time and dealt another heavy blow to the Taiwan authorities. The situation that the Taiwan authorities fear most has really come.
Taiwan is a province of China, and the issue of Taiwan Province is China's internal affair and is an issue left over from the War of Liberation。The Taiwan issue should not have become an issue, but with the collusion between foreign forces and diehards in the Taiwan authorities, the Taiwan issue has begun to become an issue. Even if foreign forces frantically stir up trouble, and even if the diehards of the Taiwan authorities continue to make trouble, there is no doubt that Taiwan is a province of China. Whether de jure or historical, Taiwan is a part of China, and this is a fact that no one can change. Although Taiwan Province has not yet truly returned to the embrace of the motherland, this is an issue left over from the War of Liberation and belongs to China's internal affairs.
Trump is in the limelight, and the likelihood of a comeback has increased dramatically。Against the backdrop of the United States maliciously disrupting the Taiwan Province issue, the United States has also begun to carry out internal activities. One of the biggest highlights of this time is the issue of Trump's comeback, and this trend is becoming clearer and clearer. Trump's biggest rival in the Republican Party, DeSantis, has announced that he has abstained from the race, while another candidate, Haley, has limited competitiveness and is largely incapable of challenging Trump. In other words, even if Trump is riddled with lawsuits, there is still a high probability that he will make a comeback. There is no longer much suspense that Trump will win in the Republican Party, and his biggest opponent is Biden.
Although Biden has used every means to attack Trump, and even directly sees Trump as a threat to democracy, this has not stopped Trump's super popularity. Biden's current approval rating is just over 30%, and the dissatisfaction of the American people with Biden has risen sharply. In the last election, Trump suffered because of the mail-in ballot, but this time Trump does not have that pressure. Judging from the current election situation, Trump's approval rating is still very high, and most people are optimistic about and support Trump. Trump is not under much pressure in the election, and if there are no major surprises, it will be a high probability that Trump will return to the White House.
Trump's maverick comeback will inevitably have a significant impact on the existing American political landscape. It will also have a great impact on the world。Trump's slogan of making America great again, claiming to save America, is an exaggerated slogan that works well in reality. Trump is not a traditional establishment, and his maverick is his greatest characteristic, which is also the biggest attraction of voters who are dissatisfied with the status quo. The United States has used the dollar ** to complete the harvest again in recent years, and the financial oligarchs and arms dealers have made a lot of money, but the vast majority of the American people have received nothing.
Most people can't stand the establishment, they can't stand the worsening living conditions, and when Trump appears, they naturally choose Trump. It's not that Trump has influenced the United States, it's that there have been huge problems in the internal workings of the United States that have created Trump. Trump's comeback is very likely, and this will certainly have a huge impact on the political landscape of the United States and a huge impact on the world pattern. Trump will inevitably reverse most of the policies of the Biden era, and he will inevitably change the policy of allies and the policy of dealing with world problems during the Biden years, which will bring great shocks to the world.
Trump has signaled that he will abandon the use of force to protect the Taiwan authorities, telling the outside world that he may abandon the Taiwan authorities。Trump is obviously not friendly to China, but Trump is an absolute refined egoist who will not trade at a loss. On the issue of Taiwan Province, Trump knows very well that if the United States protects the Taiwan authorities by force, it will undoubtedly lose for the United States. Trump publicly signaled that the United States should not come forward to protect Taiwan if China recovers Taiwan by force, because Taiwan "steals our business." Trump's meaning is very clear, that is, the United States should not protect the Taiwan authorities by force, because this is a loss-making deal for the United States.
Trump's winning rate is very high, and Trump's statement may become a bellwether for future U.S. policy。Marcos and Duterte in the Philippines have taken different routes and have chosen a strategy of firmly following the United States. Marcos put the future and destiny of his country on the side of the United States, so after Trump expressed his stance on the Taiwan issue, he himself immediately changed his previous wrong attitude. After the local elections in Taiwan Province, Marcos made a false statement. After Trump's clarity was clear, Marcos said on January 23 that he did not support "** and reiterated that the Philippines adheres to the one-China policy."
Marcos pointed out very clearly: "We have always adhered to the one-China policy strictly and conscientiously. Marcos stressed: "We do not support 'Taiwan is a province of China.'" "The country is small but not humble, the strength is small but not afraid of the strong, the unreasonable and insults the neighbors, the greedy and clumsy friends, but also perish. The Philippines understands the corresponding reasoning, so it quickly made a rational and pragmatic statement. Marcos called Taiwan a province of China, and this is his repentance for his wrong attitude in the past. The Philippines knows very well that even the United States does not dare to cross the red line of the Taiwan issue, knowing that touching the Taiwan issue is an absolute loss-making transaction.
The Trump effect is emerging, and the signal that the United States may abandon the Taiwan authorities is triggering a chain reaction。No matter what Trump does, no matter what the United States does, but the most powerful country in the world today is still the United States. Even if you don't like Trump, but after he is re-elected as the United States, the corresponding countries still have to adapt to the reality and adjust their strategies. German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius said in an interview that Germany is cautious in supporting Ukraine.
This shows that Germany has begun to prepare for the adjustment of its policy towards Ukraine after Trump's election. Similarly, Trump's change in attitude towards Taiwan Province will inevitably cause a chain reaction, and those countries that have been most active in interfering in the Taiwan issue will also adjust their attitudes one after another. Trump has previously signaled that the United States will not protect Europe if it is attacked. Trump said this mainly because he was afraid that American interests would be harmed. The general trend of the Taiwan authorities has passed, and cross-strait reunification has become an irreversible general trend.
More countries will, like the Philippines, take the initiative to commit to the one-China principle and take the initiative to recognize Taiwan as a province of China, and the situation of the Taiwan authorities will only become even more miserable。The Trump effect has emerged, and the situation of the Taiwan authorities is bound to become more passive. Marcos has emphasized in advance that Taiwan is a province of China, and more countries will adhere to this policy in the next step. As far as the Taiwan authorities are concerned, it will be inevitable that they will be abandoned by the United States and Western countries. The most correct path for the Taiwan authorities now is to persist in cooperating with the mainland and strive to find a sunny road for peaceful reunification between the two sides of the strait.