In January, while the winter snow in Davos at the foot of the Swiss mountains was picturesque, Trump, thousands of miles away, although he had not yet conquered his own ** government and the party primary had just started, he was already like a demon, shrouding this economic feast of political and business elites from all over the world.
At the Davos forum, the European leaders at the meeting could not stop their hearts from rushing and talked about the fact that the American populist who had made them sit on pins and needles eight years ago would make a successful comeback and enter the White House for the second time.
Davos. The American financial channel CNBC interviewed former British Prime Minister Gordon Brown on the sidelines of Davos, although he is no longer the core figure in Europe, Brown is obviously watching Trump 20 step by step approach.
Judging from a number of polls, he is almost certain that Biden's re-election will fail, and those who are buried deep in his heart are well aware of his past fears.
Brown made it clear that if Trump defeats Biden at the end of the year and takes office in 2025, he is afraid that he will be more familiar with the international political game and take bolder measures in US foreign policy than when he entered the White House as a political amateur in 2016.
What worries Europe is definitely Trump's announcement that he will end the Russia-Ukraine war within 24 hours after returning to the White House. It will also allow the United States to withdraw from the dead NATO. The new members of NATO, who have just joined NATO, could not stop worrying during the Davos forum in the face of possible dramatic changes in Europe's geopolitical preparedness in a year's time.
NATO headquarters. Dutch Prime Minister Rutte attended the Davos Forum and said in an exclusive interview with Bloomberg that he can actually understand Trump's dissatisfaction, because far away in Europe, the United States on the other side is the highest contributor to NATO's defense budget, accounting for 80%, but there are still 15 member states within NATO.
With the target of 2% of domestic GDP set in 2023 to meet the defense budget, Trump is not wrong in his criticism of NATO spending. Just Zelensky's recent complaints about the shortage of ammunition are hindering Ukraine's fight against Russia.
In the ranking of Western military aid to Ukraine, the United States ranks first, Germany ranks second, and the United Kingdom ranks third.
The United States, which accounts for half of its expenditures, will have serious consequences for the Russian-Ukrainian war in the future. If Trump is elected, it will be a source of concern for Europe, and if he is elected, the United States may withdraw from international organizations such as NATO, the International Currency**, the World Bank, and so on.
Even Trump proposed that the steel tariffs imposed during the US-EU war and the 20% auto tariffs he had proposed many times were considered to be possible to stage a Trojan horse slaughter of Europe's core industries. There are also worries in the Asia-Pacific region, South Korea, and Australia that each have a Trump nightmare in their hearts.
On the question of whether the United States will intervene in the Taiwan Strait dispute and assist in defense, Trump said that if he is elected, he will tend to continue the strategic ambiguity pursued by the United States for many years.
Worried about Trump's return to power, it is rumored that the South Korean authorities have made preparations in advance to adapt to the new owner of the White House in order to actively consolidate the defense alliance between the United States and South Korea.
Yonhap News Agency reported that Yoon Suk-yeol has taken the initiative to negotiate with the United States on a defense cost-sharing agreement, and may offer to increase Seoul's share of the shares.
Australia** is also nervous because of Trump's imminent assumption of power. The decisive alliance with the United States and the establishment of nuclear submarine combat capabilities have also made the regional situation more tense.
Australian think tank scholars warn Australia**: The United States will inevitably slowly find out over time that it is not worth paying a huge price to confront China and Russia, so it will continue to reduce its defense spending. And that's the central idea of Trumpism.
Trump 2The countdown to 0 is the most feared sound in the hearts of many leaders.