Civil strife in the Philippines Lao Du is a black hand ?

Mondo International Updated on 2024-02-01

The Philippines has shown an extremely offensive posture by provoking the South China Sea at the beginning of the new year. Unexpectedly, however, there is a turbulent situation in the Philippines, and the slightest mistake can lead to chaos. According to domestic reports, the Philippine military and police departments have recently expressed their positions. First of all, the Chief of Staff of the Philippine Military, Brawner, publicly stressed that the Philippine military will be faithful to its duties and firmly defend the Philippine Constitution. Then, the Public Affairs Officer, Colonel Siki Jeanida, also issued a statement saying that they would unite under the leadership of the Commander-in-Chief to defeat all conspiracies that threaten peace and security. After the military made a statement, the Philippine National Police Force also began to take a stand.

Spokesman Farhadao said he was closely monitoring the "destabilization" and was ready to address it. He also denied the conspiracy to "subvert **", saying that these were rumors. These statements may make people suspicious, but my first reaction is, isn't this "there are no silver taels here"?A number of military and police personnel stressed one after another that the domestic situation in the Philippines is obviously quite grim. Since the middle of last year, rumors of a military coup have been circulating in the Philippines. Brawner even publicly stated at the end of last year that there was a coup d'état planned and that it had to be handled carefully. So, why did the situation in the Philippines evolve to this point?In fact, this is all due to the fact that the current Marcos Jr. has changed the China policy of his predecessor Duterte.

As we all know, during Duterte's tenure, the relationship between the Philippines and China was relatively friendly, and the two countries also had frequent exchanges. Duterte initially supported Marcos Jr. in power, expecting him to continue his China policy. However, less than a year after Marcos Jr. took office, he turned to the United States in an all-round way, gladly served as the vanguard of the United States to contain China, and constantly provoked China's bottom line on the South China Sea and Taiwan Strait issues. As a result, economic cooperation between China and the Philippines will naturally be affected, resulting in greater financial pressure on the Philippines and accelerating the process of Marcos Jr.'s reform of the military and police departments and pension system.

It is worth mentioning that Marcos Jr.'s reforms include a reduction in the welfare package of mid- and high-ranking officers in order to ease financial pressures, which undoubtedly touches the interests of many retired uniformed personnel. And during the Duterte years, the treatment of uniformed personnel has been greatly improved. The political struggle in the Philippines is fierce, the confrontation between the two sides is obvious, and the interests of the Duterte faction have been damaged by the changes in Sino-Philippine relations. In order to consolidate its power, Marcos Jr. began to suppress the influence of Duterte's faction, causing the political struggle to become more open. Marcos Jr. even plans to re-integrate the Philippines into the ICC system to investigate Duterte externally in order to eliminate Duterte once and for all. Against this backdrop, Duterte certainly won't sit idly by.

Last November, former House Speaker Alvarez publicly expressed support for Mindanao's independence, a powerful riposte to his opponents. At the same time, there is also an undercurrent surging within the military and police departments, with some people suggesting that Lao Du is "secretly contacting all parties and ready for a fierce confrontation at any time."

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