Every move of the Federal Reserve always touches the nerves of the global financial market. And this time, at the January interest rate meeting, the Fed once again showed its "scheming". Maintain the policy rate at 525%-5.5% unchanged while hinting that there will be no rate cuts anytime soon. This undoubtedly brought an impact to the world, and Shanghai Gold also showed a trend of rising and falling.
Why is the Fed doing this? The answer is simple: you don't want the market to anticipate too soon. After all, cutting interest rates is not an easy task, and there are many factors that need to be weighed. And in this process, the Fed's "scheming" once again played a role. By adjusting the wording, it further clarified the end of the interest rate hike cycle, but did not rush to cut interest rates, leaving some room for the market to imagine.
However, the trend of ** is not easy to judge. Despite all the data and information, the sentiment, expectations, and liquidity of the market are constantly changing. It's like an enchanted forest, seemingly calm, but in fact there is an undercurrent. In this forest, we need to have a pair of discerning eyes to see the direction clearly.
Liquidity is the "lifeline" of ***. In the past year or so, due to the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and balance sheet reduction operation, the US dollar liquidity was once tight, which brought some pressure to ***. However, future liquidity expectations have brought some support to ***. Like lighting a lighthouse in the dark, the change in fluidity points the way for ***.
The impact of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy on *** cannot be ignored. Against the backdrop of a continued cooling of the U.S. economy, the Fed's monetary policy will turn from tight to loose, and historically, ** has generally performed better on the eve of the Fed's monetary policy easing.
To sum up, there are a number of factors that need to be taken into account when investing. From market sentiment, liquidity, the Fed's monetary policy to the global economic situation, etc., we all need to pay attention to them one by one. Only in this way can we seize opportunities and avoid risks in the complex and volatile financial market.
Looking at the technical side of Shanghai Gold, there was a speech yesterday evening, so the volatility is relatively large, and the uncertainty is high. As for the content of the speech, I told you above, let's see the benevolent. Again, the only thing that can be done in this position is to be empty, don't shout interest rate cuts every day, this process must be grinding, and the expectations should not be too big. Just follow the board. As I said yesterday, go into the bottom warehouse. At present, from a technical point of view, it is the first trend, we are shorting against the trend, or that sentence, friends who seek stability and so on the right side, now is the left side of the top stage, the stop loss is expected to be a little larger, this position is the risk of continuing to break through, the premise is to control the **. If this level continues to break upward, we should pay attention to 4843. In this position, when the time comes, pay attention to the opportunity to increase the position, as well as the opportunity for friends who have not entered the market to enter the market. The mentality is flat, the stop loss of a few points at the bottom position is acceptable, and it is good to hold it steady. Personal advice, for reference only. over