Recently, I saw this report that starting in 2024, US military advisers will be stationed in Kinmen and the Penghu Islands to help Taiwan train its armyAmphibious special operations battalion. At home during the Spring Festival, I reviewed the situation in the Taiwan Strait in the past few years, made some analytical reflections, and wrote this article for my colleagues' reference.
It has been planned for a long time and implemented step by step
As early as 1951, the United States sent a "U.S. Advisory Group to Aid China" to Taiwan, increasing the number from the initial 12 to more than 2,300, and sending one non-commissioned officer stationed in the US military to supervise the Taiwan military's navy, army, and air force at and above the battalion level. It was not until the formal establishment of diplomatic relations between China and the United States in 1979 that the remaining members of the US military advisory group left Taiwan one after another, and the American Institute in Taiwan (AIT) was newly established to be responsible for arms sales, technology and exchanges undertaken by the original advisory group. Since then, in line with the principle of only doing and not talking, in fact, the US military has been sending officers to Taiwan again.
The reason why the United States wants to send military personnel to Taiwan is that, in addition to routinely helping Taiwan train soldiers and improve the combat capability of the army, I believe that there are two main strategic considerations behind it: First, it insists on "using Taiwan to contain China." Through the form of stationing military personnel, we should cultivate Taiwan troops with a high sense of identification with the US military, so as to achieve the goal of containing and even counterattacking our side if necessary. The second is to persist in "front-line operations". These US personnel stationed in Taiwan are working on the front line and play the role of "eyes and ears," and are able to collect information on the situation conducive to US decision-making in a timely manner through infiltration and surveillance of the Chinese and Taiwan sides, and assist the military intelligence departments in making accurate and timely assessments and judgments on the Taiwan Strait issue.
Based on this, although the United States has always refused to admit that there are still military personnel stationed in Taiwan, it is not difficult to see the shadow of the participation of personnel with US military backgrounds in the anti-landing exercises, special forces exercises, and "Han Kuang series" exercises organized by the Taiwan military in recent decades.
There are so many news that have really publicly reported on the activities of the US military in Taiwan, and I have sorted them out:
In October 2020, Taiwan ** reported that a group of U.S. Marines came to Taiwan and taught the Marine Corps and amphibious special service squadron about assault boats and speedboats infiltration operations in the Kaohsiung Zuoying Military Region for a month, and there is a precedent for this military security cooperation.
On October 7, 2021, the U.S. "Wall Street**" published an exclusive report that members of the U.S. Special Forces have been secretly training local troops in Taiwan for at least a year to "strengthen Taiwan's defenses."
In October 2021, Tsai Ing-wen confirmed for the first time that there were US troops in Taiwan in an interview with CNN, but she did not specify the specific number, but only replied "not as many as everyone thinks". Taiwan's "Defense Minister" Chiu Kuo-cheng has been stressing all along that the US military is "assisting," not "stationing," and that it is an exchange of military personnel. Subsequently, CNN cited Pentagon records that the number of US troops stationed in Taiwan increased from 10 in 2018 to 32 in 2021.
In 2022, former White House national security adviser John Bolton said in a speech that the United States should "defend Taiwan" through more deterrence means, and that in addition to both Taiwan and the United States should significantly increase their military budgets, the U.S. military should also be stationed in Taiwan as it did before 1979.
On February 24, 2023, "Wall Street**" reported that the Taiwan Army's "542 Armored Brigade" and "Jibu 333 Brigade" will each send one joint battalion to the United States for short-term training this year. At the same time, it was reported that the number of US troops stationed in Taiwan will more than quadruple in the coming months. In early May of the same year, 25 US arms dealers organized a delegation to visit Taiwan and peddled ** to the Taiwan military.
In April 2023, the U.S. Army Special Operations Command (USASOC) simulated an exercise in North Carolina to fight in Taiwan, the main unit of the U.S. military reform in Taiwan, with the aim of leading Taiwan to "Ukrainian-style resistance."
On May 9, 2023, Taiwan ** reported that the US special forces rehearsed the first exercise to intervene in the Taiwan Strait and simulate Taiwan's urban environment operations; Experts say that the United States is trying in vain to teach the Taiwan military its experience in urban warfare and instigating it to "resist reunification by force."
All of the above news has been seen in the newspapers, and the sinister intention of the United States to find a way to send troops to Taiwan step by step has been clearly exposed.
openly provoke trouble and harbor evil intentions
**On February 5, according to Taiwan's "United Daily News", after the implementation of the US "National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2023", the US military will send special operations teams to Kinmen, Penghu and other places under the actual control of local armed forces in Taiwan from this year onwards, and will be stationed in various special operations battalions of the Taiwan military from time to time. In addition, since last year, the US military has been assisting Taiwan's special operations units in learning how to use the "Black Hornet" micro-UAV, as well as assisting in writing guidelines and lesson plans. Taiwan's military said a comprehensive training agreement between the United States and Taiwan has been officially launched.
What is the intention of the United States in making this strategic decision at this time? First of all, let's understand why we are stationed in Kinmen and Penghu for a long time.
From a strategic location,These two strategic points are on the front line of the confrontation between military forces in the Taiwan Strait. Among them, Kinmen Island is only 8 kilometers away from Xiamen, Fujian Province, with an area of less than 16 square kilometers, and is located in the western part of the Taiwan Strait. The Penghu Islands are located at the southern mouth of the Taiwan Strait, with an area of about 130 square kilometers, and are the front-line combat bases of the Taiwan military against our side. Once the military unification begins, the Penghu Islands must first be taken, otherwise they will be flanked by the Penghu defenders.
From the point of view of strategic value,Of course, the Americans understand that if their special forces can be stationed in Kinmen and Penghu, the combat value of the special forces will be brought into full play, and they can directly send special forces to infiltrate China's Xiamen and other coastal cities, conduct special operations and reconnaissance operations, and gain time and initiative for the United States to send troops.
From the point of view of military purposes,In fact, it is to re-display the tricks that the US military has played in Ukraine after 2014 in Taiwan, increase the skill training of defenders, improve the skills of urban combat, and cultivate resistance organizations. U.S. special forces will also be responsible for delivering to the Taiwan military before and during the war. Now you understand, the US military is not only sending special forces, but is directing a Trojan horse plan with evil intentions, the US military's special forces have trained the Taiwan army into a second Ukrainian army, even if the PLA successfully lands on the island, it will arrange special forces to carry out sabotage and attacks on China's coastal areas, and sabotage attacks on our military targets and landing fleets, so as to turn the war in the Taiwan Strait into a war of attrition and tug-of-war like the Russian-Ukrainian war, and then cooperate with economic sanctions and blockades to achieve the attempt to drag down our country.
Some students feel that the special forces of the US military are not worth it in front of the million-strong division that I sang "Decisive Victory", don't forget, Russia is enough NB, now look at it, it's not like this, the Russian-Ukrainian battlefield is more about special operations and local wars.
The morale of the army was weakened, and the people were anti-war
The Taiwanese army does not want to fight.
On June 15, 2023, the military security expert exchange group of the American think tank "Defending Democracy" met with Tsai Ing-wen in Taiwan, and Zhang Yanting, former deputy commander of Taiwan's Air Force, said, "As soon as war breaks out in the Taiwan Strait, 40,000 soldiers will flee." "Taiwan has no psychological defense, and there is no national defense, only military defense. The implication is that the Taiwan people do not want to fight, and the strength of the Taiwan army is not good, so they simply "do not need to fight." If war breaks out, deserters will account for nearly a quarter of the strength of the standing force of the Taiwan army at the first opportunity! ”
According to Taiwan media reports, in response to the statement put forward by the United States that "deterrence is more important than war", Zhang Yanting said in a program on June 16, "Deterrence depends on strength, and it is empty talk to talk about deterrence but not strength." Strength emphasizes ability and determination, but our (Taiwan's) ability is in **? And why fight? ”
According to data released by Taiwan's defense department, the total strength of Taiwan's armed forces is about 210,000, and the official military establishment of the standing force is 1880,000 people. As a matter of fact, the Taiwan army cannot recruit troops, so it cannot be fully staffed, and the average number of units can only reach 90 percent of the establishment, so according to this plan, the standing force of the Taiwan army is about 1690,000 people. If it is really as Commander Zhang said, the 40,000 soldiers of the Taiwan army are deserters, which is equivalent to one out of four people escaping as soon as the war starts, how can this battle be fought? !
The army's spirit is unstable, and the earth shakes. The reason why the Taiwan military's will to fight is so weak is that in recent years, the Taiwan military has reached a consensus from top to bottom that the war between the two sides of the strait is "the fault of the first-class forces, and the Americans are fighting a war of the first-class people, and once the war starts, they will definitely hide behind the scenes and command remotely, and in the face of the PLA, the Taiwan army can only become cannon fodder for the first-class forces, so it is reasonable for the soldiers to have no intention of fighting."
The people of Taiwan yearn for peace.
A poll in Taiwan shows that 93Six percent of the people on the island do not support cross-strait reunification, but 90 percent of the people on the island also do not want war to break out. This shows a problem, the majority of the people in Taiwan want to maintain the status quo, and the reason why they are unwilling is that they are worried about the outbreak of war between the two sides of the strait. Since the authorities launched the policy of "extending the compulsory military service period on the island for one year", it has caused a lot of controversy on the island and the boycott of Taiwanese youth, and many Taiwanese young people have taken to the streets to speak out and speak out about what the authorities have done. More and more Taiwanese people, especially Taiwanese youth, have clearly seen that "* means war, and ** the authorities' collusion with external forces to manipulate "seeking independence by force" will only aggravate the tension and turbulence in the Taiwan Strait, seriously damage the security and well-being of the Taiwan people, and sacrifice the future of Taiwan's youth.
Judging from the above two aspects, there is no fundamental force to support the use of force to seek independence, and the Americans' plan to fight a war in Taiwan is afraid that it will be in vain.
Prepare for battle, and win the battle
In February 2024, Wall Street** further disclosed that the number of US troops stationed in Taiwan will increase to one or two hundred. The three principles for the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and the United States clearly stipulate that "severing diplomatic relations, withdrawing troops, and abrogating treaties" clearly stipulates that no matter how many US troops are stationed in Taiwan, even if they assist in the training of Taiwan troops, it is a serious interference in China's internal affairs and a serious violation of China's sovereignty, not to mention the stationing of troops.
In response to the collusion between the United States and Taiwan, Defense Ministry spokesman Wu Qian said that the Taiwan issue is purely China's internal affair and brooks no foreign interference. The development of military ties between the US and China's Taiwan region has seriously violated the one-China principle and the relevant provisions of the three China-US joint communiqués, seriously undermined China's sovereignty and security, seriously undermined peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait, and sent a seriously wrong signal to the "leading forces." We urge the US side to pull back from the precipice and take concrete actions to fulfill its commitment not to support "**".
Are we going to be helpless, of course not, in fact, we have been prepared for a long time.
One isIn August 2022, nine H-6K bombers of the PLA Aviation Force were fully loaded with live ammunition to penetrate the north and south while crossing the Taiwan Strait in both directions, demonstrating that our army has the ability to strike at close range.
The second isIn September 2022, mainland drones flew over Kinmen Island, demonstrating that our military can fully use military drones to achieve reconnaissance and strikes on strategic targets on Kinmen Island in wartime.
The third isIn April 2023, the Eastern Theater of the People's Liberation Army (PLA) conducted combat readiness patrols around Taiwan Island and held the "Joint Sword" military exercise in the Taiwan Strait and the northern, southern, and eastern seas and airspace of Taiwan Island. In September, the PLA Air Force dispatched 158 military planes within 48 hours to practice new tactics in the Taiwan Strait to encircle the island and deny the United States. In October, another live-fire exercise was conducted near the island of Taiwan.
In view of the United States' blatant announcement of the deployment of special forces in Taiwan, I believe that it is still necessary to play a good first move and take the initiative.
First, it is necessary to make overall plans for the deployment of troops. In addition to conventional combat units, it is necessary to get a good grasp of the deployment of special operations units such as the Marine Corps of our army, hold exercises at an appropriate time, and openly show their swords.
Second, it is necessary to conduct reconnaissance on a regular basis. We should study the tactics of the United States against us in the South China Sea, play close reconnaissance at every turn, and see what kind of training the US special forces are engaged in, so as to gain the initiative on the battlefield to the greatest extent.
Third, we must adhere to international justice. Using diplomatic channels to comprehensively publicize that the Taiwan issue is purely China's internal affair and brooks no foreign interference. We urge the US side to abide by the one-China principle and the relevant provisions of the three China-US joint communiqués, stop US-Taiwan military contacts and Taiwan sales, and stop "destroying Taiwan" and "harming Taiwan". We are warning the authorities to stop the activities of "selling Taiwan" and "bringing disaster to Taiwan".
Fourth, it is necessary to demonstrate the force of a major power. China is no longer afraid of the China threat, and the United States has already seen the whole world in blocking our face, and this time it openly sent special forces to the front line of the Taiwan Strait, and they did not do so in Ukraine, which shows that the United States is determined to intervene to disrupt and destroy peace in the Taiwan Strait. In response to such acts, it is necessary for us to normalize regional military exercises in the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea, as well as multi-service and multi-country exercises, so as to demonstrate our strength and determination to recover Taiwan.
Our nation has gone through too many wars of aggression and paid the price of blood, and our People's Liberation Army today is for the party and the people, fearless of life and death, a righteous teacher, and a lot of help, victory will surely belong to us, and the motherland will be reunified.
The above belong to the words of a family for fans to refer to, and if there is something inappropriate, please correct it a lot.