We know that Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban is the biggest stumbling block to the EU's assistance to Ukraine, and he has repeatedly opposed the EU.
Recently, some EU parliamentarians have decided not to put up with him anymore.
A veteran member of the European Parliament, Petri Sarvamaa of Finland, said the European Parliament had launched a petition to strip Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán of his right to vote in the Council of the European Union.
"This is very different from anything we have done so far in relation to Hungary – the procedure (deprivation of voting rights) in Article 7(2) of the EU Treaty has never been initiated," the statement said. "The European Parliament stressed that the EU's decision-making mechanisms have come to a standstill because of Orban.
If this ** is approved, then Orban will lose his voting rights in the Council of the European Union, which is a fatal blow to Orban, just like a dog, he is powerful, he can scream so wildly, once he castrates that thing, he has no ability.
This voting power is not the same as the previous EU veto, the EU voting decision should have two processes, the first process is to vote in the EU Council, which is a small scope, and the second is a larger range of a veto, before the EU abolished Hungary's veto, and now the second problem is Hungary's veto in the EU Council.
It's like a gate with a lock, and then there's a door inside, and a lock, and now the lock of the gate is opened, and the lock of the small door is missing, and the lock of this small door is the Hungarian Prime Minister Orban.
Perhaps feeling the pressure of going against the EU as a whole, Orban made a compromise, saying yesterday Hungary could waive its veto on the EU's aid package for Ukraine, but asked for an annual review of the funds.
This is clearly Orban abandoning his original position, but not being willing to be defeated like this, and then attaching a new condition.
I think that if Orban insists on going against the EU, his last condition will no longer be agreed to by the EU, and in the end, Orban will lose everything and have nothing because of his opposition to the EU.
The European Union is pressing on Orban for Ukraine, and there is good news from the United States.
The House of Representatives of the U.S. Congress passed the Border Security Act.
Since this border security bill is tied to aid to Ukraine, the passage of this border security bill means that an agreement has been reached on aid to Ukraine.
Some insiders pointed out that soon, the United States will pass an aid bill.
Once this happens, Ukraine will receive two-way assistance from the EU and the United States.
Let's take another look at the Ukrainian side:
In the new year, Ukraine should take a good look at how to fight Russia and regain its territory.
In the fight against Russia, Ukraine has had successful experiences and lessons from failures.
One of the biggest lessons learned is that when a big victory is achieved, it is not pursued by the victory, and it is not possible to maximize the results of the battle.
At the end of August 2022, Ukraine launched the Kharkiv ** battle and achieved a great victory.
But at that time, the Ukrainian army probably considered that the military aid was insufficient, and then the West did not provide heavy assistance, so it did not expand its results to the south in time.
At that time, the Ukrainian army was really difficult, but the Russian army faced an even more unfavorable situation. If the Ukrainian army continues to fight south, it may not be as passive as last year.
Because after the Ukrainian army stopped attacking, the Russian army quickly used the respite mechanism to build the Sunovakin defense line.
Then Ukraine waited for heavy equipment from the West, but by this time, the Russian Sunovakin defense line had also been constructed.
Since the United States did not supply Ukraine with F16 fighter jets, Ukraine did not have air superiority, which led to a major setback to the offensive in the southern theater.
Later, the Ukrainian army finally figured it out and finally understood that Crimea was Russia's weak link, so they crossed the Dnieper River and then advanced towards Crimea.
On the Dnieper River, why didn't Russia build the Sunovakin Line?
The main reason is that in June last year, Russia blew up the dam of the Kakhovka hydroelectric power plant, leaving a sea of water downstream and the Russian army was unable to build a defensive line at all.
When the floodwaters receded, the Ukrainian army was given the opportunity to attack.
This attack on Crimea is done right, in the art of war, it is necessary to mobilize the Russian army, not to be mobilized by the Russian army.
In the fight against an opponent like Russia, we must not let him complete his deployment, but constantly mobilize the enemy and disperse the enemy.
From the overall situation, the gains and losses of Crimea cannot determine the outcome of the war, but because South Kherson Crimea is the farthest from Russia and the most significant, the Russian army will inevitably mobilize more resources and troops to ensure that it is not lost, and the Ukrainian army has a huge advantage in fighting here, because this place is close to Ukraine, Ukrainian artillery shells can hit here, and then Ukrainian fighters can attack this place to the greatest extent.
Crimea is Russia's weakness and weakness, and Russia does not have the strength to consolidate Luhansk, Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia.
I think Ukraine can continue to repeat the classic example of 2022, attacking fiercely in the south, mobilizing all the Russian troops, and then suddenly launching a big offensive in the north.
In fact, when the offensive was launched on the Zaporozhye battlefield last year, it could have been successful, but the most critical air superiority, Ukraine did not have, so it suffered a major setback.
2024 will be different, Ukraine has F16 fighter jets,
Being able to seize air superiority, and then attract Russia to transfer Russian forces in eastern and southern Ukraine to Crimea, will lead to an empty force on the Zaporozhye battlefield, and Ukraine may launch an offensive on the battlefield to achieve better results.
If Ukraine had both F16 fighters,
and lifted one of the biggest stumbling blocks in the European Union, Orban
Then the United States unified its opinion and provided assistance to Ukraine
Then it is simply the right time, place and three haves
In this battle for Ukraine, there will definitely be a major breakthrough in 2024
Let's look forward to it
It's an exciting time!