The Russia-Ukraine war entering 2024 seems to be more tragic than usual, with both Russia and Ukraine carrying out large-scale attacks at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, and Ukraine has even begun to attack Russian border towns. The Russia-Ukraine war seems to be entering a climax, and of course it may be coming to an end. The success or failure of every war, the gains and losses of right and wrong, will be defined by history. In 2024, the Russian-Ukrainian war will most likely usher in an end.In recent months, Ukraine has been in a relatively passive situation, and under the multiple shocks of internal and external troubles, it has been forced to switch to strategic defense and lose some positions. Although the situation is difficult, Ukraine remains confident about the war in 2024 and shouts:"Decisive battle 2024, drive out the Russian army, take back the Crimea with a loud war cry. "War is brutal, and it does take faith to fight it. For the Russian-Ukrainian war, Ukraine's victory can be defined differently, and there are about three levels of measurement, namely small wins, big victories and total victories.
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Returning to the 2022 border is an acceptable victory for Ukraine. At present, the front between Russia and Ukraine mainly revolves around the four eastern regions of Ukraine, which is the state of the front formed after the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian war on February 24, 2022. In the form of so-called independence referendums, Russia temporarily occupied part of the territory of Luhansk Oblast, Donetsk Oblast, Zaporozhye Oblast, Kherson Oblast, and other four oblasts. This is the focus of the war between Russia and Ukraine, and it is also the territory that the West believes Ukraine should reclaim. If in 2024, after fierce fighting, the Ukrainian army finally drives the Russian army away and completely recovers the occupied territories of the four eastern regions of Ukraine, it will already be a great result, and for Ukraine, it will be at least a small victory.
If Crimea is recovered, it will be a big victory for Ukraine. Crimea is a pain in the hearts of the Ukrainian people, who have been out of Ukrainian control for almost a decade. To take advantage of the Russian-Ukrainian war to completely recover Crimea seems to be the goal of Ukraine and the military in 2024, but this matter is estimated to be very difficult. Not losing Crimea is the lowest line for Russia, otherwise Russia will be defeated. If Ukraine really recovers Crimea with advanced ** such as F16 fighters and Taurus cruise missiles, it will definitely be a big victory.
To be able to get Russian war reparations is a complete victory for Ukraine. If the Russian-Ukrainian war ends with Russia being forced to sign a surrender agreement and pay war reparations to Ukraine, it will be a complete victory for Ukraine. But the probability of this happening is almost zero, and Russia will not be so weak as to be so vulnerable. As for the $300 billion in assets seized by the West from Russia, it is likely that it will be difficult to transfer them to Ukraine as war reparations.
The Russian-Ukrainian war in 2024 is likely to be divided into a victory or defeat, otherwise it will be difficult for both Russia and Ukraine and even Western countries to bear the war for too long.