Many people lament that housing prices are too expensive, resulting in fear of having children or even getting married.
A few days ago, the Bureau of Statistics released a new statistical yearbook, and there were only more than 500,000 first marriages in the whole of last year, a decrease of 55% compared with 10 years ago.
At the same time, the number of newborns born in China fell by 45% from 17.65 million in 2018 to 9.56 million in 2022.
In recent years, housing prices have been getting higher and higher, and marriage and childbearing have been getting lower and lower, is there really a relationship between the two?
Will the high market price really lead to the "loss of children and grandchildren" of the people?
As domestic housing prices continue to be the best, it is becoming more and more difficult for ordinary people to buy a house. In recent years, even if any property market control policies such as purchase restrictions, sales restrictions, down payment increases, and mortgage interest rates have been used, the transaction volume of houses has not been able to effectively increase.
Housing prices seem to be **, but this is slowly from a very high level**, so the current housing prices are still too high for most people.
In order to meet the requirements of the mother-in-law, they must first buy a house and then get married, which leads to some young people being so busy making money that they don't even have time to find a partner, and some young people simply don't consider finding a partner.
The young couple finally bought a house and got married, but the 30-year mortgage was overwhelming, so having a child was postponed or even abandoned.
Not to mention, there really is a causal relationship between the two.
Now it seems that the real estate of the future is likely to have two contradictory phenomena, but each goes to two extremes.
On the one hand, wealthy people have multiple homes, but it is becoming more and more difficult to sell. On the other hand, ordinary people want to buy a house, but even if the price of housing drops, they still can't afford it.
In the past few years, some people with more funds have bought multiple houses and enjoyed the return of housing prices, but unfortunately these houses are only rich on paper as long as they are not realized, because it is becoming more and more difficult to sell the house now.
The real estate policy regulation has led to the emergence of housing prices, and the income of these investment properties will gradually decrease or even disappear, and a large number of properties in their hands may even depreciate because they are difficult to realize.
More and more potential home buyers are choosing to wait and see, and the number of second-hand housing listings in first-tier cities has increased dramatically, resulting in an oversupply in the real estate market.
Owners of these multi-homes may need to lower their prices to find a buyer, and may even have no one to buy for a long time, which means that the homes of the wealthy are likely to end up "rotting in their hands".
But at the same time, even though house prices have already begun**, low-income earners still "can't afford it".
Can't afford to buy a house is the resonance of countless people, and many netizens believe that housing prices are not the focus, and it is fatal if the income does not increase. Now that the general income is too low, the quality of life can only get lower and lower.
Although after the implementation of the new round of real estate reform, the first level of affordable housing provided in various places is lower than the market price, there will still be a situation where you cannot afford to buy a house.
For low-income earners, they still have to pay a certain cost of buying a house, which can lead to hardship and constraints in life.
In addition, young people who have just joined the workforce have a relatively low income level and are under great pressure to buy a house, and they usually have not accumulated enough funds to buy a house, and long-term loan repayment will also bring a burden to them.
Therefore, many netizens think that there are so many policies to promote real estate sales now, but they do not reduce housing prices, "as long as it is not aimed at reducing housing prices, it is a hooligan", which also has a certain truth.
Therefore, for this group of people, it is better to take off buying a house and wait until the economic conditions improve, or when the price of housing falls low enough.
This situation is likely to further exacerbate low fertility and even low marriage rates.