In 2023, the world has witnessed the global popularity of ChatGPT. The advent of a new generation of artificial intelligence, represented by generative artificial intelligence, has changed the development trajectory of artificial intelligence technology and applications, accelerated the interaction between humans and AI, and is a new milestone in the history of artificial intelligence development. What trends will the development of AI technology and applications show in 2024?
2024 Artificial Intelligence Development Trend
From AI models to general artificial intelligence
It is reported that OpenAI is training the next generation of artificial intelligence, tentatively named "Q*" (pronounced Q-Star). "Q*" may be the first AI to be trained in a "scratch-up" approach. It is characterized by the fact that intelligence does not come from data from human activity, and it has the ability to modify itself** to adapt to more complex learning tasks.
In 2023, OpenAI predicted that artificial intelligence that surpasses human level in all aspects will appear within ten years; Nvidia founder Jensen Huang said that artificial general intelligence could surpass humans within five years.
Of course, we should not overestimate some of the statements made by Silicon Valley giants, because there have been three "AI winters" in the history of AI development, and there are many examples of grand technological visions that have been shattered due to various limitations. But what is certain at present is that there is still a lot of room for growth in large-scale model technology.
02Synthetic data breaks the bottleneck of AI training data
Synthetic data is data synthesized by machine learning models using mathematical and statistical science principles on the basis of simulated real data.
It is shown that the scale of the model must reach at least 62 billion parameters before it is possible to train the "chain of thought" ability, that is, to carry out step-by-step logical reasoning. But the reality is that there isn't so much non-repeating, high-quality data that humans have produced so far. Using generative AI such as ChatGPT to generate high-quality synthetic data in unprecedented quantities, the AI of the future will achieve higher performance as a result.
Quantum computers may be the first to be applied to artificial intelligence
As the most cutting-edge application of electronic computer development to today, artificial intelligence has always had the hidden concern of insufficient computing power. A few months after ChatGPT came out, OpenAI President Altman has publicly stated that it is not encouraging more users to sign up for OpenAI. In November 2023, OpenAI even announced that it would suspend the registration of new users with paid subscriptions to ChatGPT Plus to ensure that existing users have a high-quality experience. Obviously, as the world's most powerful AI, ChatGPT has encountered bottlenecks in computing power and other aspects. In this context, discussing the application of quantum computers in the field of artificial intelligence has become a promising future solution.
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AI and no-software development brings a "shockwave".
In terms of AI applications, it is worth paying attention to the "shock wave" brought about by AI** and no** software development in 2024.
The first is the impact of AI on the structure of the labor force. So far, at least nearly 200 million people around the world have used AI models. But instead of being content to sit in front of a computer and "chat" with AI, people are starting to develop tools that can automatically prompt AI based on the needs of the task. When the automatic prompting tool is combined with the large model, AI** is born.
The second is the impact of software development on digital economy innovation. At present, the programming assistance tools based on the AI model have been developed to a new stage, which can generate software or web pages based on very vague instructions from the user**. For example, in the 2023 GPT-4 demo, the presenter simply handwrote a very scribbled schematic diagram of the structure on A4 paper, and GPT-4 automatically generated a web page that could actually be accessed. This undoubtedly greatly lowers the threshold for developing IT services.
Information**: Artificial Intelligence Project, Institute of Science and Technology and Cyber Security, China Institute of Contemporary International Relations).
"Blue Bridge Future" popularizes artificial intelligence knowledge
With the development of AI technology, the demand for talents with AI knowledge and skills is also increasing, and it is very important to cultivate young people's AI awareness.
In this context, "Blue Bridge Future" came into being, equipped with an experienced team of teachers, providing a free learning platform for teenagers, and bringing the latest artificial intelligence knowledge to help teenagers increase their understanding of artificial intelligence and improve their comprehensive quality. At the same time, by learning artificial intelligence, teenagers can better adapt to social development and prepare for future career planning.
To learn more about the free public welfare courses for young people, please pay attention to Blue Bridge Future***