Avalanche Avalanche Snowball superimposed restrictions on securities lending and small ticket themes

Mondo Entertainment Updated on 2024-02-01

**Review:

The three major A-share indexes continued their sluggish performance today, and the Shanghai Composite Index fell 148%, once again fell below the 2800-point integer mark, closing at 278855 points; The Shenzhen Component Index fell 195% to close at 821284 points; The GEM index fell 066%, closing at 157337 points.

The market turnover reached 758.2 billion yuan, and the northbound funds were net 37 today0.1 billion yuan.

Technical Analysis:

At the same time, 500 and 1000 broke the point of the snowball knocking in again today, and the snowball burst and the restricted shares of securities lending were smashed down together.

The two cities have nearly 5,000 ** for 3 consecutive days, the decline is jaw-dropping, and the weight protection disk can not be protected, 50 and 300 began to make up for the fall, ** fell below 2800 points.

* Although it fell below 2800 points, there is still a certain distance from 2724, on the contrary, it can better reflect the market's double creation and 500 and 1000 index brushed to a new historical low, three consecutive days of extreme killing and falling market short-term will enter the divergence stage, ** weight 50 and 300 will be a good choice, away from the theme of double creation.

TomorrowKey points, resistance, support

Underlying analysisSSE 50

SSE 50**061%, the weight ** continued to make up for the 50 target to break the 21 line, the daily line fell below the bullish trend ** began to weaken, but the weight of 50 is mainly the central state-owned enterprise target, the market is sharply ** low probability is not large, short-term risk release, the market outlook will be dominated by dips.

Key point 23, support 2280, resistance 2330

CSI 300

CSI 300**065%, the CSI 300 continues to adjust, and the weight of more than 5,000 companies in the two cities is not spared, but the overall weight is the base camp of the national team, and it may be bottomed out in the short term after three consecutive days.

Key point 3220, resistance 3250, support 3200

CSI 500

The CSI 500 fell 261%, 500 is the hardest hit area of the snowball, and it is also part of the pressure area of the theme of securities lending, and there are more restricted stocks.

Analysis of the underlying option

Affected by the restrictions on securities lending, the double standard continued to lead the decline sharply, with a decline of 177%, and nearly 071%, the 500 index fell more than 261%, a new low, causing the snowball to hammer in further.

The theme and the double creation are subject to the suspension of securities lending and the restriction of the refinancing of restricted stocks, and a large number of institutions have to clear out in the short term, resulting in a sharp fall, and the double put has risen sharply, and the subscription has generally fallen, and the volatility is still in a negative correlation rising wave.

In terms of volatility

Volatility continues to maintain a negative correlation, and today's double creation and 500 indices continue to be sharply**, and volatility** rises, 1001%, volatility has broken through 19 and closed at 1902 position, the daily volatility of the market outlook has little room for a sharp rise, and the market is still dominated by a high level of ** near the Spring Festival, and there is not much room for a wave reduction.

In terms of market statistics

In terms of market statistics, 260,000 contracts were subscribed and 100,000 contracts were added, and the sell-to-purchase ratio was calculated as the total position ratio of 50 and 300, and the ratio of the subscribed position to the put position.

The sell-to-purchase ratio is 071 yesterday's selling ratio was 077, the sell buy is 06. The subscription is large**, and the structure of selling positions is too large.

Summary

The index ** fell below the 2800-point mark, the daily line comprehensively lost all **support, continued**, more than 5000 in the two cities**, the support pressure level was exchanged, the short-term five-day line and the 21st line will form resistance, weight and theme**break collective**, there will be bottoming and reverse pumping demand in the short term, tomorrow's strategy: buy more and fast in and out, do a good job of taking profit and stop loss.

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