Will pensions for retirees be carried out in 2024**? At present, judging from the current judgment, the pension in 2024 may usher in an increase as scheduled. Some retirees suggested that if the pension is raised in 2024, the pension will not rise if it exceeds 8,000 yuan, and the **10% below 3,000 yuan is feasible?
Now the number of retirees in the country is as high as 13.6 billion people, so whether the pension in 2024 will rise or not, the number of people involved is very huge. Someone said, why do you say that 2024 may usher in an increase in pensions? On what basis? There has been no official announcement yet.
In fact, there are two main reasons for judging that the pension in 2024 may usher in ** as scheduled, that is, the reference factors of the two aspects, what are they?
First, a number of provinces have clearly proposed in the work report to increase the pension of retirees. Henan clearly proposed to increase the basic pension of retirees in the report, and Shanghai also proposed to raise pensions and other social security benefits.
Some people have said that this is only a few provinces that will increase pensions, not that the whole country will increase pensions.
In fact, because of the increase in the basic pension of retirees, each province cannot decide privately, it must be arranged by the state, and the pension of 31 provinces will be carried out**. Therefore, these provinces announced an increase in the pension of retirees in advance, and they must have known that the pension of retirees will continue to rise this year, so this is also the most favorable signal for judging the pension increase in 2024.
Second, there are also many favorable conditions to support the pension increase in 2024. In 2023, China's economy will achieve positive growth, and the growth rate will expand to 52%。In addition, the per capita disposable income of residents, including wage income, has also achieved positive growth, and prices have also increased positively, with an increase of 02%。
A more critical condition is that the data of the Ministry of Finance show that the cumulative balance of the national enterprise employee pension insurance is about 6 trillion, which is not bad money.
Therefore, based on the above two aspects, we judge that it is still very interesting to continue to raise the pension in 2024.
For some people such a suggestion, that is, that if the pension of retirees exceeds 8,000 yuan, it should not be raised, and the pension is less than 3,000 yuan, it can rise by 10%, although the purpose of such a proposal is to narrow the gap between pensions, but in fact, it lacks feasibility and is not feasible.
Why?
First, it violates the principle of pension increases。If the retiree relies on his own high payment and long-term payment to obtain a pension of more than 8,000 yuan, others do not have any qualifications to deprive him of the right to raise the pension.
Everyone is equal in front of the pension adjustment, as long as it is within the scope of pension adjustment personnel, generally retirees before the end of the previous year, they can enjoy the pension increase. It is also unfair that there will be no difference in pension because of the level of pension.
After all, some retirees pay more when they are on the job, pay more, and the high pension is naturally more work, while some people pay less, pay for a short time, and the pension is relatively low, but they want to rise more, which is not in line with the incentive mechanism of pension insurance.
Second, it will also affect the healthy operation of the pension insurance system. If this is really done, it will weaken the incentive mechanism of pension insurance to pay more and pay more for a long time, so that some people may be reluctant to extend the payment, unwilling to increase the payment, because anyway, the pension is low after retirement, but it will rise more, so that a negative incentive will be formed, more and more people choose to pay low, the income of pension insurance will be reduced, and the healthy operation of pension insurance will also be affected. Therefore, it is impossible to do this, such a suggestion will do more harm than good, and it will not be adopted and implemented.
In addition, it should be pointed out that if the pension continues in 2024, it is expected that it will continue to be adjusted in accordance with the fixed adjustment linked to the adjustment and the tilt adjustment, and the pension will rise more for the elderly retirees and retirees in difficult and remote areas who meet the tilt adjustment.