A few days ago, Eurasia Group, an American political risk consulting company, released a report titled "Top 10 Risks in the World in 2024". In this ** report, the American think tank made a ranking of the various risks that the world may face in 2024. And very interestingly,The "infighting in the United States" may trigger civil unrest in the United States is ranked first among the top ten risks by the think tank.
The American think tank believes that both Biden of the Democratic Party and Trump of the Republican Party are actually very unsuitable for the position of the United States.
Biden is seriously old, and if he can be re-elected, by the end of his second term in the United States, Biden will be 86 years old, and the vast majority of Americans will not want such an old man to lead the United States. Trump is now facing dozens of serious criminal charges, and his previous attempts to deny and overturn the results have also made many people lose confidence in him.
Although the Republican side is trying to use other candidates such as Haley and Sanders to divide some of Trump's supporters. But the final poll results show that Trump is far ahead in the polls among Republicans. If the Republican Party wants to win the United States in 2024, then being "kidnapped" by Trump seems to be an inevitable option.
If Trump wins in 2024, then America's foreign relations will be severely affected. In Europe, Trump is likely to continue his previous tough stance on European allies, demanding that America's European allies bear more military spending and share more pressure on the United States economically, which will directly lead to more tensions between the United States and European allies.
At the same time, Trump is likely to fulfill his promise to cut off aid to Ukraine and stop material support for Ukraine. In this way, Ukraine will not have enough resources to continue the war, Russia will win the Russian-Ukrainian military conflict, and the situation in the entire European region will be completely rewritten.
And the disaster is not over here, Trump will show a tougher stance on Iran in the Middle East. In this way, Israel will be encouraged by Trump, and Netanyahu is likely to act more aggressively in the Middle East. For example, directly abandoning the United States and choosing to take action against Iran. At that time, the entire Middle East region will be in a pot of porridge, and the established US strategy in the Middle East region will all fail.
In order to avoid this from happening, it is very likely that the Democrats will choose not to accept the result of Trump's re-election as the United States** and consider his election results illegitimate.
What if Trump doesn't win?The results could be even worse. Trump is likely to repeat the previous riots, and many of Trump's supporters will take to the streets in support of Trump. Given the wide distribution of Trump's supporters at the moment, the chaos is likely to ripple directly across the United States.
This will directly lead to a rapid decline in the credibility of US finance, and the stability of investment in the United States will also be severely affected because of the obvious chaos in the United States. In this case, not only will the motivation of foreign investors to invest in the United States decrease. Even investors in the United States will choose other safer and more stable overseas investment regions, and will not continue to choose the United States, and the national economy of the United States will be seriously damaged.
Personally, I think that at least in 2024, in terms of the United States, the American political risk consulting company is still relatively reliable. Of course, this American think tank, consciously or unconsciously, does not talk about the underlying contradictions in the United States, that is, the fundamental contradictions between the American people and the American ruling class.
In order to be able to divide the resistance forces at the bottom to the greatest extent, the US ruling class has constantly subdivided the people at the bottom of the United States, and groups such as "Black Lives Matter" and LGBT are the direct results of this method. The price of this is that in order to strive for more interests, the different factions at the bottom of the United States will engage in more fierce confrontation and confrontation with each other, which will eventually lead to the loss of the stability of the basic plate of the entire American society.
As for what will eventually happen to the United States in 2024, let's wait and see. Project Sword