Time flies, the winter moon has come to an end, in the domestic pig market, pig prices fell into the "ice cave", recently, by the pressure of production and marketing mismatch, pig prices are cold "low", the market shows a continuous bottom-finding trend, the north and south of the country, the center of gravity of pig prices hand in hand down, especially, in the southern region, the inversion of pig prices in many places is becoming more and more obvious, then, the pig price has fallen, how long will it fall?
From the analysis of market feedback, at present, the average price of lean pigs in the country is 681 yuan catty, the price of pigs decreased by 0 compared with the previous day04 yuan, the market continued to move sideways lower, the domestic market continued a wide range of trends, especially, in the southern region, pig prices in the southwest, South China, Central China and East China, pig price spread in many places upside down, pig transportation is not smooth, and some areas appear "South Pig North" trend!
According to institutional analysis, at present, the pig market, pig prices are facing multiple pressures!On the one hand, the financial pressure on the breeding end has increased sharply, and some domestic head pig enterprises have "thundered" The capital chain is facing a severe test, enterprises in a variety of ways to save themselves, sell assets and accelerate the enthusiasm of production capacity elimination has increased sharply, which has also caused the phased breeding end of the pig price prospect to consider the reduction, the realization of the return of funds sentiment is stronger, under the financial pressure, many large factories in the south are competitive slaughter, however, due to the southern region, the demand for pork has weakened, the demand for pickled meat has cooled, and the demand for residential catering and group consumption is weak, the slaughterhouse is mostly sold to set production, the pig source is sufficient, some slaughterhouses are high in stock, the price mentality is higher, and the pig price in the south is more than expected** Trend!
On the other hand, by the competitive slaughter of large factories in the south, pig prices in some areas are inverted significantly, and some pig sources in Guangdong and southwest China have begun to be transferred, which has also intensified the pressure on the market in East China and North China
Therefore, under the impact of pig prices in the south exceeding expectations, pig prices in the north are also under obvious pressure!Superimposed, the lack of significant improvement in the consumption of pork in the stage, the demand for sausages in the north has decreased, the cured meat in the south has basically ended, the household consumption demand of residents is average, and the fresh pork is not smooth, and the domestic frozen pork storage capacity rate is high, and the phenomenon of frozen pork has appeared in the warehouse one after another, which further exacerbates the pressure of weak pig prices in the stage!
From this analysis, under the mismatch of production and marketing in the stage of the pig market, the pig price shows a trend that exceeds expectations, and for the prospect of pig prices, I personally believe that at present, the pig price has basically touched the previous low, after entering the bacon, the northern region, pork consumption demand or will rebound steadily, the breeding end of the pig farm price recognition enthusiasm or will weaken, market sentiment is expected to improve, pig prices or will gradually form a bottoming trend!However, the focus is on the performance of the group pig enterprises slaughtered and the change in the operating rate of slaughterhouses in the southern market!
Pig prices are cold and "low", production and marketing are upside down, how long will pig prices fall?Pig price on January 11What do you think about this?The above is the author's personal opinion!Hogs**