Since the beginning of 2024, the situation in the Asia-Pacific region is still permeated with a dangerous atmosphere. In terms of the situation in the Taiwan Strait, Taiwan Island is facing the 2024 election, and once Lai Qingde is elected, the period from January 13 to May 20 is the most critical moment for the situation in the Taiwan Strait, and the war fuse may be ignited at any time.
The situation in the Taiwan Strait is like this, and the South China Sea is not far behind. Throughout last year, the Philippines has been stubbornly trying to occupy these two major islands and reefs over the issue of Scarborough Shoal at Ren'ai Jiao. But it didn't work out. In 2024, the Philippines will strengthen military cooperation with the United States in an attempt to create difficulties for China, and the joint patrol of the United States and the Philippines in the South China Sea is the precursor.
While China, the United States and the Philippines are fighting in the South China Sea, the fire on the Korean Peninsula cannot be suppressed, and there is a possibility of war breaking out at any time. Now North Korea has already begun to act.
It has been learned that a few days ago, the DPRK fired 200 coastal artillery pieces into the waters west of South Korea, and the specific locations were in the vicinity of Baeknyeong Island and Yeonpyeong Island. Yeonpyeong, a place that many people are not unfamiliar with, has once had a conflict between the two armies of the DPRK and the ROK. Now it's here again.
Regarding North Korea's sudden move, the South Korean Joint Chiefs of Staff said that "all the 200 shells fired by the North Korean side fell into the Yellow Sea, and no South Korean personnel were killed, and South Korea will retaliate." ”
South Korea may be pretending to be calm when it says this, because then the South Korean side has issued an emergency evacuation order for residents, ordering residents of Yeonpyeong Island to take shelter, claiming that "artillery training will be conducted, please take refuge in a shelter." ”
It can be said that this incident may become the fuse for a large-scale fight between the DPRK and the ROK, and the atmosphere of war will once again permeate the sky over the peninsula.
In fact, the DPRK's large-scale shelling has already taken precedent. On December 31, 2023, Kim Jong-un officially announced that he would characterize inter-Korean relations as "hostile relations between the two countries" and proposed that he would never achieve reunification with South Korea.
What does Kim Jong-un mean by this characterization of inter-Korean relations?
As a matter of fact, both the DPRK and the ROK want to reunify the peninsula, the DPRK stands for peaceful reunification under the model of one country and two systems, and the ROK stands on the principle of upholding the basic principles of freedom and democracy to achieve peaceful reunification. Therefore, although relations between the DPRK and the ROK are not good, their stance on reunifying the peninsula is the same, and both are inclined to peaceful reunification.
But now that North Korea's thinking has changed, the North Korean leader has decided that peaceful reunification is impossible, and has designated South Korea as an enemy, which is a very dangerous signal that North Korea may solve the problem by force in the future, as it did more than 70 years ago.
Prior to the shelling of South Korean waters, the North Korean leader had ordered the Korean People's Army to be prepared to pacify the south, that is, South Korea, in the event of a crisis.
If the Korean War really breaks out, the possibility of nuclear war cannot be ruled out. Because North Korea has already listed South Korea as an enemy country, it means that nuclear power may be used at a critical moment.
Regarding the tense situation on the Korean Peninsula, Chinese spokesman Wang Wenbin said, "China is closely following the changes in the situation on the Korean Peninsula, and the confrontation situation on the Korean Peninsula has continued to be tense for some time now. ”
The meaning of my spokesman is very simple: on the situation on the Korean Peninsula, China will continue to pay attention to it and will continue to promote dialogue and consultation to avoid war.
The Sword Plan However, having said that, the DPRK feels that there is no hope for peaceful reunification and has already solved the problem in another way, which is also a reminder to the Taiwan authorities. Because on the issue of cross-strait reunification, Chinese mainland has never promised to renounce the use of force, and if the authorities repeatedly gain an inch, then reunification by force is not a possibility!