Kunpeng Project
The fate of fuel vehicles Li Bin sighed silently at the fuel vehicles, and the new energy era is at the right time
In recent years, the development of new energy vehicles in China has been very active, and the current penetration rate of new energy vehicles in China is about 30%, and the market share will further increase in the future.
The rapid growth of new energy vehicles has had a great impact on traditional fuel vehicles, and the sales of fuel vehicles in the market have gradually declined.
In this regard, the field of new energy vehicles and the field of traditional fuel vehicles have also fought a battle: new energy vehicles look down on traditional fuel vehicles, and traditional fuel vehicles also look down on new energy vehicles.
For example, Toyota, the global auto giant, does not like new energy vehicles very much, and even believes that new energy vehicles have no technical content.
However, new energy vehicle manufacturers believe that new energy vehicles are the world's leading future, and fuel vehicles no longer have any advantages compared with new energy vehicles.
Weilan Li Bin: Aside from the smell of gasoline, I really don't understand why people buy gasoline cars?
In 2021, Li Bin, the founder of Azalea, said at the press conference of the Azalea Festival:"I don't understand how people can still buy gasoline cars, what else is good about gasoline cars except for the smell of gasoline? "
Li Bin believes that new energy vehicles will always replace traditional fuel vehicles, as early as 2021, he ** by 2030, the penetration rate of smart electric vehicles in China will exceed 90% of new car sales.
Judging from the current development trend of China's new energy vehicles, everything seems to be developing in the direction of Li Bin.
Taking 2023 as an example, the production and sales of new energy will reach 95870,000 and 94950,000 units, with an average annual growth rate of 358% and 379% and a market share of 316%。
According to this development trend, the market share of new energy vehicles will be further strengthened in the future, and after two or three years, the market share will exceed 50% sooner or later.
But with the rapid development of new energy vehicles, are gasoline cars really worthless? Is it only worth smelling gasoline?
The Spring Festival makes everyone rethink new energy vehicles.
During this year's Spring Festival, China's car travel is extremely popular, and many people drive new energy vehicles back to their hometowns for the New Year, but this Spring Festival has caused many new energy vehicle owners to encounter a lot of embarrassment.
The first is embarrassing, it is troublesome to charge in a small place.
Although China's new energy vehicle infrastructure has become more and more perfect in recent years, and there are more and more charging piles, the charging facilities in many small places are still imperfect.
As a result, during this year's Spring Festival, we saw many netizens report that many new energy vehicle owners gathered around the charging station to slowly queue up for charging, and even some car owners fought in order to charge.
The second embarrassment, not being able to charge when stuck in traffic on the highway.
This year's Spring Festival return trip is indeed very congested, and many highway service areas are full of cars.
In the traffic jam army, there are many new energy vehicles, if these new energy vehicles are out of power on the highway, it is not so easy to find the charging service area, and they may not even be able to drive, or the car will have to wait for a long time to charge.
Another aspect that cannot be ignored is that on the highway, the energy consumption of trams is very fast, and the cruising range of many new energy vehicles is much shorter than the official range, so many owners of new energy vehicles have to charge once in two or three hours, and if they travel long distances, they have to charge four or five times.
The third annoying charge is expensive.
The reason why many people want to buy new energy vehicles is actually because of the low cost of driving, and the charging cost of many new energy vehicles in the past is actually very low, especially during off-peak hours, when each kilowatt-hour is only 0About 4 yuan, according to the calculation of 18 degrees of power consumption per 100 kilometers, the cost of 100 kilometers is only six or seven yuan, which is much lower than the cost of current fuel vehicles.
However, with the increase in the number of new energy vehicles in China, the demand for charging is increasing, so now many charging piles are also increasing. At present, in some large cities, the charging cost per kilowatt-hour has basically reached 1More than 3 yuan, and even more than 2 yuan in some places. In this way, the energy consumption per 100 kilometers is also close to 40 yuan, which is not much advantage compared with gasoline vehicles.
I think that only the owners of new energy vehicles can truly appreciate these three constraints after being tested during the Spring Festival this year.
This time, we really realized that although new energy vehicles have many advantages, they cannot completely replace traditional fuel vehicles in the short term, at least from the perspective of long-distance travel, fuel vehicles are still the best choice.
If new energy vehicles really want to eliminate traditional fuel vehicles, there are several things that need to be done:
First of all, to increase the autonomy of the car itself.
Currently, many new energy vehicles have a range of only 300 to 600 km, which means that short-distance travel is not a problem, but long-distance travel is even more problematic.
Second, reduce range shrinkage.
Many new energy vehicles have the common problem of reduced autonomy, and the autonomy of some cars can be lower than 40% or even higher than the official autonomy, especially on the highway, the autonomy of high-speed driving is more serious, but the reduction of autonomy is to give more protection to the majority of car owners.
Third, improve the loading speed.
Now, fast charging is basically possible on the highway, but it usually takes about an hour to fully charge, which is much slower than refueling.
If the charging speed can be increased to 10 to 20 minutes in the future, this will greatly reduce the time people spend queuing up to charge on the highway.
Fourth, continue to promote the modernization of highway charging facilities.
At present, some of the new highway charging facilities are generally relatively perfect, but for some old highway charging facilities, the number is small, or the charging speed is slow, so if you want to promote the development of new energy vehicles, you need to update these old highway charging facilities.
In short, in the long run, new energy vehicles to replace traditional fuel vehicles will be an inevitable trend, but to make the majority of car owners safer, mileage, charging efficiency, charging facilities and other aspects must be improved, is to increase the anxiety of the majority of car owners, in order to make the majority of car owners voluntarily buy new energy vehicles.