January 11, 2024, the first day of the lunar month, is also known as the "bite disaster festival" on this day of the people, according to the traditional point of view, because in the feudal society, the New Year is a "hurdle" that many laboring people are difficult to pass, just like "Yang Bailao", it is also the stage of landlords to collect rent, therefore, the folk custom has the saying of "biting the disaster", this day will eat some special food, such as rice cakes, glutinous rice balls, etc., and also hope to be able to have more than one year, peace and joy!
Nowadays, the first day of the lunar month is coming, in the domestic livestock and poultry breeding industry, pig and egg poultry breeding is also facing a sad situation! In the pig market, in 2023, breeding will lose money almost all year round, and after the New Year's Day holiday, the trend of pig prices will deteriorate further, and pig prices will "fall significantly", and the center of gravity will be close to last year's low value. In the egg market, the egg price trend is stable, the rise and fall is "stagnant", and the market is facing multiple pressures! The specific analysis is as follows:
In the hog marketAccording to the analysis of institutional data, on January 11, 2024, the number of foreign ternary pigs** dropped to 1362 yuan kg, down 007 yuan kg, pig price from the previous 13The low value of 56 yuan kilogram is only 005 yuan kg of "rich", pig prices are at the bottom of the stage, although, the decline in feed costs has slowed down the pressure of loss at the breeding end, but due to the long-term losses of mainstream pig enterprises, some pig enterprises are facing severe financial pressure!
From the feedback of the regional market, in the north and south of the country, pig prices continue to fall for most of the time, and this time the pig price is **, the decline is "from south to north"!
On the one hand, the end of the peak season of pickled meat consumption in the south, the market demand for thick pork procurement weakened, and the pork in the wholesale market was sufficient. ”
On the other hand, in the southern region, the pig production capacity is slow, the breeding end of the stock of suitable weight pigs is higher, with the reduction of the demand for pickled meat, the price spread of standard fertilizer has narrowed significantly, and some pig farms are facing the pressure of production capacity.
Pig prices in the south have fallen sharply, pig prices in the north and south have increased, and the low-cost pig sources in the south have increased. The southern region of the pig source transferred to East China, which also limits the performance of the pig source transfer in North China and Northeast China, the northern region, the pressure of pig surplus increases, the difficulty of slaughtering enterprises to collect pigs is weakened, and the pig price is also showing a weak adjustment trend!
Nowadays, pig prices are running at a low level, the center of gravity is gradually moving down, from the latest feedback from the market, at present, Muyuan white strip and Huabao white strip again down 200 yuan ton, two days after tomorrow, the price of pigs in the north will deteriorate, the market in the south will still maintain a weak situation, it is expected that the decline in pig ** or will expand, pig prices or will hit a new low!
In the egg and poultry market,From the analysis of institutional data, in recent days, the domestic egg market has maintained a stagnant situation, among which, in the production area market, the north and south regions of the country, the egg goods in the production area have stabilized 409 yuan catty, the average price of eggs in the sales area market stabilized 419 yuan kg, the egg price in the production and marketing market is low sideways, and the market long and short game is more intensified!
On the one hand, from the point of view of egg production capacity, in accordance with the rhythm of the chicks and the performance of the old chickens, from a rational point of view, this month's new laying hens for the September to fill the column of chicks, and the average age of the old chickens eliminated to 534 days, for the 22 years of 8 September to fill the column of chicks, theoretically, this month's laying hens inventory increased slightly month-on-month, and the egg capacity is more sufficient! In particular, entering the wax month, the chicken supplement column has entered a gap period, and some hatching enterprises have stopped hatching, and the market has become a phenomenon of breeding eggs becoming commercial eggs!
On the other hand, the general demand for egg consumption, recently, by the previous downstream market stocking positively, the market is mainly based on inventory consumption, and the food factory is not high in the mentality of replenishing the warehouse at a low price, colleges and universities are about to usher in the winter vacation, the group consumption demand is weakened, the business performance is cautious, and the wait-and-see mentality of the downstream demand of the market is enhanced! However, due to the difficulty of egg storage, and the reduction of feed costs, the loss pressure of the breeding end has been slightly reduced, and some farmers have a certain sentiment of reluctance to sell at a high price!
Therefore, based on the market egg market showing a situation of low purchase and sales, after entering the wax moon, the New Year's flavor will gradually become stronger, and the support of consumer demand will gradually become stronger.
On the first day of the lunar month, pig prices "fell dramatically", and egg prices rose and fell "stagnated", what happened? What do you think about this? Everyone is welcome to leave a message!