The wheel of history enters 2024, if the world's number one news in 2020 is the battle between Trump and Biden, then the world's number one news in 2024 will fall on these two old men.
At present, Trump and Biden are the only ** candidates for the Republican Party and the Democratic Party respectively, and the interesting thing is that Trump is indicted, and Biden will be **, two lawsuit-ridden people running **, which will be the first time in the United States and the first time in the world, the United States is really breaking records.
At present, the United States is deeply involved in the two wars of Russia and Ukraine and Palestine and Israel, Ukraine is undoubtedly dead this time, no one can save Ukraine, if Biden is elected, the hostile relations between the United States and Russia will not change in a short time, and the sanctions against Russia by the United States and Europe, Japan and other countries will not be loosened much, because Biden is a big believer in Cold War doctrine, Trump is different, he has long propagated that he wants to ease relations between the United States and Russia, I expect that Trump will be the first to meet with Putin if he is elected, and US-Russian relations will improve in an all-round way, Ukraine will be completely abandoned by the United States. NATO will then be in vain.
Trump's last term of office was really miserable for US-EU relations, and if he is re-elected this time, it is certain that US-EU relations will only get worse, which will be a huge benefit to Russia and China, and Europe will most likely take the initiative to improve relations with Russia, and Russian-European relations will be basically normalized, because without the big brother of the United States, the European coalition against Russia will not work at all, and the deterioration of US-EU relations is bound to be a natural opportunity for the improvement of Sino-European relations. China can strengthen its economic and trade ties with Europe through the Belt and Road Initiative, making up for Biden's loss of decoupling from China.
Under Trump's America First policy, the world pattern will inevitably develop in the direction of multipolarity, with China, Russia and the United States each playing an important role, and a new political and economic order in the world may be formed.
The most test of Trump is the Palestinian-Israeli war, Trump's previous move of the US Embassy in Israel to Jerusalem can prove that Trump is obviously more pro-Israel than Biden, Trump's last term is the only one in the history of the United States that did not start a war, this time if Biden leaves the Palestinian-Israeli war to Trump, it will be an extreme test of Trump's political wisdom, how to stop the war in the future? How to discuss the two-state plan is a very thorny issue, at present Israel has no intention of armistice to cease, although Biden has warned Israel, but the effect is little, if the war continues to the ** election period, it will be the biggest topic of bipartisan competition for American political capital.
If Biden is re-elected, it is certain that his policy will not change, sanctions will continue on Russia, and China will continue to encircle, suppress, and decouple, no matter who Trump and Biden are elected, China and Russia will sing the leading role in the new international political and economic order in the future, and the United States and NATO can only stare dryly, and the decline of the United States and NATO will be unstoppable.