Beijing Shanghai property market, don t save or don t dare to save?

Mondo Social Updated on 2024-02-06

At the end of the year, chatting with friends is nonsense, and you can find a noticeable change:

The house is basically no longer a mainstream topic of conversation.

People are a little too consistent about the house.

I can't see the hope of **, there is no disagreement, there is nothing to talk about, and chatting and chatting has become a miserable scene.

Seeing this, many of our shareholder friends probably disagree, no matter how miserable it is, can it be compared to Myanmar A?

It's really miserable, but at least there are still a lot of people who are scolding it and talking about it.

In fact, we all know that the greatest contempt for things is not invective, but ignorance.

Mourning is greater than dying, and the more you scold, the more you scold.

For example, the more fiercely the two people scold when they quarrel, the more true the feelings; If you don't even bother to scold, that's ......

The chart above is the residential sales data of the past two years, and it can be clearly seen that the year-on-year increase is mostly negative.

The brightest one was in March last year, which was just touching the zero axis, and then going down again.

Friends who are familiar with technical analysis were stunned when they saw this, and then drew a line and remarked eight words.

The resistance is strong and the trend is not good.

Throughout 2023, real estate rescue policies will emerge one after another, what is the effect?

Many people will say that the effect is zero, but in fact it is negative, not only did it not play a role, but the belief of the market was punctured.

For example, in the past, Guangzhou was limited to purchases, and everyone could only go to Foshan and Dongguan to buy houses.

Last year, there was no restriction on purchases in the suburbs of Guangzhou, and the suburbs of Foshan, Dongguan, and Guangzhou all cried.

Now there is no restriction on purchases in Guangzhou, and the whole of Guangzhou is crying.

The big move was thrown out, and it turned out to be a squib, and the last obsession and belief in people's hearts were completely out of reach.

In the past, people found that the third and fourth lines were no longer working, and the first and second lines of faith were still there.

The suburbs are no longer good, and the faith in the first- and second-tier nuclear urban areas is still there.

The second-tier urban areas are no longer good, and the first-tier core beliefs are still there.

Now, do you dare to save the first-line core, it is the crown jewel of China's property market.

If it's also a squib, it's really troublesome.

How much effort did it take to bail out the market in 2015.

Five interest rate cuts and four RRR cuts.

The down payment ratio for the first home is reduced.

The CPF down payment was reduced to 20%.

Housing provident fund off-site loans.

The second-hand housing business tax is "5 to 2".

The "90 70" policy was officially loosened.

Lifting purchase restrictions stimulates house purchases.

The withdrawal of the foreign restriction order stimulates the demand for foreign guests to buy houses.

Cancellation of single certificate.

Mortgage interest is deducted from individual income tax.

The two-child policy has been fully liberalized.

Shed reform encourages farmers to buy houses.

The household registration system was liberalized.

Reduce the difficulty of financing real estate enterprises.

* The working economy conference sets the tone for a new type of urbanization.

The whole country tried their best to cooperate, and the combination of punches fought together before and after, with precise punches and powerful punches.

The third and fourth-tier property markets were accurately launched by the Tianliang Shed Reform Currency, and the Shanghai Composite Index ignited the fire of the first- and second-tier property markets at 5,000 points, and the money was ......

The difficulties facing the market today are not easier than they were back then, but there are many strange things, such as.

Experts are still questioning why ordinary people don't spend money when they have money.

The state media still feels that the whole country is filled with an optimistic atmosphere.

We don't know whether to pretend to be stupid or pretend to be stupid, in fact, you can take a look at the following manuscript:

With a mortgage of 10 million, I feel like a multimillionaire.

Don't dare to spend money if you have money! The reason for the sluggish consumption has been found by experts again.

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