Milosevic, who once ruled Yugoslavia, was sent to The Hague, the Netherlands, for trial in 2001 due to both domestic and Western pressures, and died in 2005. This incident caused an international uproar, and it was jaw-dropping that a country was forcibly taken abroad for trial. Recently, Duterte, a former Philippines leader, seems to have sensed some alarm, perhaps thinking that he could fall into a fate similar to that of Milosevic. Duterte, through former spokesman Harry Roque, said that he thinks he may **, and even admitted that once extradited to the International Criminal Court, he may not survive. Roque also revealed that Duterte believes only Philippine law can bind him, urging Marcos Jr.'s authorities not to cooperate with the ICC. So why is Duterte at odds with the ICC? Why did the ICC arrest Duterte?
It all goes back to the "war on drugs" during Duterte's tenure. In order to completely reduce the threat of drugs to the Philippines, Lao Du launched a large-scale anti-drug operation during his tenure. Because drug-related mafia forces are deeply entrenched and powerful in the Philippines, Duterte's anti-drug campaign can almost be described as a small-scale war. Among the narcotics he arrested and investigated were 11 mayors and 6 deputy mayors. Although Duterte's "iron-fisted anti-narcotics" has been effective, it has also aroused the disgust of many people, and the international community has also complained about it, especially the International Criminal Court, which is extremely dissatisfied with Duterte. Duterte's response was to withdraw directly from the ICC, provoking an uproar in the West.
During Duterte's tenure, the ICC was unable to take a hard line against him. Now that Duterte has stepped down, if Marcos Jr., the incumbent of the Philippines, has a heart, then Duterte's situation can be described as unlucky. Unlike Milosevic, Duterte wields considerable power. The Duterte family has a deep influence in Mindanao and Davao City, and with so many protégés, it is difficult for Marcos Jr. to interfere in local affairs. Lao Du had a good relationship with the local tribal armed forces, and he granted autonomy to the local tribes during his tenure. The International Criminal Court or the Philippine authorities may face considerable difficulties in arresting Lao Du.
The contradictions between Duterte and Marcos Jr. are well known. Marcos Jr. allegedly has allowed ICC "investigators" to enter the Philippines. Although it is difficult to arrest Duterte at present, there is no doubt that once Duterte is arrested, or even extradited to The Hague for trial, his fate may not be better than Milosevic's. Unlike Milosevic, Lao Du currently holds real power, and in the face of such a situation, he may be able to weigh it.
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