The stalemate Russia Ukraine war, low key Medvedev

Mondo International Updated on 2024-02-26

Before discussing this topic, we need to understand why the conflict between Russia and Ukraine broke out. Ukraine is trying to join NATO, and Russia is against it.

This has led to tensions and constant conflict between the two sides. For those who do not understand, it may be thought that Russia is intervening out of boredom and senselessness to try to prevent Ukraine from joining NATO.

However, if Russia does integrate Ukraine into Europe, then the geographical proximity between Russia and Ukraine will be very close, which could allow the United States and NATO to compete for power within Ukraine and use Ukraine to threaten Russia.

Therefore, Russia cannot allow this to happen.

Therefore, the war continues, and almost a year has passed since the two countries went to war, yet Russia has not been able to fully occupy Ukraine, and Ukraine has not been able to take back everything that belongs to itself from the territory occupied by Russia, which has led to a stalemate between the two sides, and the Russian-Ukrainian war has become a protracted war.

The gap in power between Russia and Ukraine is obvious, and this war would not have lasted so long without the countries that have made trouble from it. The United States is the country that sows discord.

Ukraine's ** turned out to be a comedian of Jewish descent, his energy was mainly focused on his acting career, and he did not have a high level of political literacy, and was easily provoked by the United States, a calculating country.

The United States is a young country, with a history of only more than 240 years, and more than 90% of the time in these 240 years has been involved in or provoking wars, making the most significant profits from them.

In the Russia-Ukraine war, the US intervention was like a grain of rat droppings, which had an immeasurable impact on the situation. They took advantage of the ambitions of the former Ukrainian theater actor and used various interests to promise to match Ukraine to join NATO.

This decoy made Ukraine, which could only play the role of a grandson, suddenly have the illusion of being a grandfather. After that, Ukraine did not talk about the introduction of NATO countries and the words of NATO countries, and continued to expand, making Russia unbearable, which eventually led to a war.

Although Russia is strong, it is also under pressure from the United States, which has been stirring up relations between Europe and Russia, bringing them to a freezing point.

The United States took the opportunity to woo its European allies so that they would no longer buy Russian gas, but turn to the United States.

The United States has put pressure on Russia by co-opting NATO countries, which has led to tensions between Europe and Russia, which in turn has undermined the natural gas relationship between Russia and Europe. In order to solve this problem, the United States began to hype up the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, which made the situation in Europe tense and caused financial panic in the world to attract capital flows to the United States.

The United States took this opportunity to harvest domestic finance and solve the problem of inflation at home.

The United States uses the confrontation between Europe and Russia to control the gas market in order to satisfy its own economic interests. However, this despicable tactic has been widely condemned internationally.

By provoking regional contradictions and wars, the United States can gain more economic benefits and further enhance its own strength. In the future, the United States will continue to dominate the rules of the world, making other countries feel powerless to resist.

There are two different ways to respond to Russia's economic sanctions. One is the moderate, represented by Medvedev, who wants to resolve the dispute through diplomatic means and mitigate the impact of sanctions.

On the other hand, there is the military faction represented by the hardliners, who believe that national interests can only be protected through strong military force. Either way, Russia's top brass will need to face serious challenges.

Let's look at how strict the economic sanctions of the West are against Russia, almost 80% of Russian banks are blacklisted by the West, banned from participating in the payment system, and 80% of their overseas assets are frozen, making them impossible to cash.

At the same time, the reserves of Russian banks and foreign exchange are also frozen by the European Union. Russia has long been working on dollar assets, increasing its holdings and purchases of yuan, and after a long period of efforts, the proportion of US Treasury bonds and the dollar has indeed decreased.

Although Russia** has large foreign exchange reserves, the central bank cannot cash in if it needs cash urgently or wants foreign exchange to flow. Therefore, in the long term, it will be very difficult for ** to stop the depreciation of the ruble by ** foreign exchange.

In addition to the European Union, the United States, Japan, the United Kingdom and other countries have also imposed sanctions on **, causing foreign investment and residents in ** to sell rubles and buy dollars and euros to avoid risks, and the United States has harvested a large number of financial assets to cope with domestic inflation.

In this case, a large amount of cash was withdrawn, and the situation was not optimistic.

In the face of the current situation, Russia**, under the leadership of the top leadership with Putin at its core, has begun to develop a series of countermeasures to protect the ruble and the Russian economy.

First, Putin issued an order requiring the Central Bank of Russia to implement the requirement that exporters must account for 80% of foreign exchange earnings in order to stabilize the ruble exchange rate. Secondly, Russian banks ban everyone in their hands in order to stabilize the trading market.

Thirdly, Russia raised the deposit rate to a record high of 20%, and further hikes are likely in the future. However, if the interest rate exceeds 50%, it can lead to a complete paralysis of the economy, which is not cost-effective for Russia.

In the worst-case scenario, the interest rate can only be raised to a maximum of 35%.

Although there is uncertainty about whether the implementation of these measures will be effective, the Russian leadership, led by Putin, has taken tough measures in the face of economic sanctions imposed by the United States and the West.

They made it clear that Russia will resolutely fight back against the "nuclear bomb" sanctions imposed by the United States and the West. Russia plans to counter the sanctions imposed on the capital markets of the United States and the West by affecting the flow of goods.

This includes the demand for Russian energy and resources by European companies. In order to further respond to the sanctions, Russia will stop exporting natural gas and oil to Europe, leading to the shutdown of European companies, and making European residents' electricity, metals, agricultural products and other commodities **serious**.

On the whole, Russia's top brass has shown a determined-for-tat attitude.

The top brass under Putin's leadership said that if foreign countries freeze all Russian assets and accounts, Russia will also retaliate against these countries. Such an approach could lead to losses for both sides, creating a lose-lose situation.

What does Medvedev think about this?

Medvedev was once hailed as Russia's most recognizable leader under Vladimir Putin, but after losing the election, he became low-key and barely appeared on the international stage.

In the past, during Putin's tenure, Medvedev was prime minister, and after he assumed the post of prime minister, Putin returned to the post of prime minister, a change that has caused accusations in the West that the two cheated.

But when Putin re-elected **, Medvedev ceased to be prime minister, but was appointed to the Federal Security Council, and his former prime minister was taken over by someone else.

Medvedev's cronies have been arrested one after another, including former Finance Minister Ulyukaev and Minister of Open Affairs Abezov, which has led to speculation: Is it because Putin and Medvedev disagree that Medvedev is being excluded?

In fact, the cooperation between Medvedev and Putin has been very tacit until 2013, when there was an hour-long **, in which Gaddafi directly accused Medvedev of being weak and incompetent, and chose to compromise with the West.

After that, it was widely believed that Gaddafi would die because Medvedev was at the mercy of the United States. So, what does this really look like?

So, what is the real state of affairs, and why did Gaddafi die? It's all about the UN Security Council Resolution 1973. The resolution voted on whether to impose a no-fly zone over Libya, and Medvedev abstained, which became Gaddafi's fatal wound.

Although Medvedev's decision was unanimously warned and warned by the Russian top brass and diplomatic ambassadors, he chose to ignore their objections. The ambassador who opposed Medvedev, upon his return, criticized his actions even more violently.

At that time, Medvedev was **, and Putin, as prime minister, also thought that Medvedev had been deceived after reading the documents. Using the US wars in Afghanistan, Iraq and the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia as examples for comparative analysis, he said that now the United States is using the same means against Libya.

Medvedev could not accept Putin's statements and even expressed disgust at them. He urgently held a press conference, claiming that his decision to waive his rights was justified and that Russia should not veto the resolution.

He also warned Putin not to try to escalate tensions through alarmism. However, the West reported that Medvedev had followed instructions from the United States before the vote, as he had a secret meeting with Obama before the vote.

Subsequently, Medvedev said that even if there is a war in Libya, it will not affect Russia's relations with NATO countries and support Ukraine's accession to Europe and NATO.

After Gaddafi's killing, the war in Libya continued, and Medvedev's mistakes made him the target of public criticism. Still, he privately canvassed and said he would continue to serve as a leader and push for economic reforms that were effectively subservient to the United States.

Medvedev suggested a compromise with the economic sanctions of the United States and the European Union so that the Russian economy would not come to a standstill. However, this opinion is not shared by all Russian top leaders.

They believed that Medvedev was too indecisive and that this weakness of his had led to Gaddafi's death. Russia, unlike other countries, could become a plaything for the rest of Europe and the United States if Medvedev remained in power.

His liberal approach to governance suits a country like Australia, but not Russia. For historical and geopolitical reasons, Russia must be tough and cannot compromise with the United States and the West.

Russia's GDP is only comparable to South Korea's and much lower than China's, so Russia's market size cannot be compared with China's. China's human, material and financial strength is daunting.

Russia, by contrast, could quickly be cannibalized and annexed if it is not tough enough. So, in the spring of 2012, many sober-minded Russian politicians chose Putin instead of Medvedev.

In the end, Medvedev lost even the post of prime minister and had to take a low-key back seat.

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