Kim Jong-unThe sudden expression of condolences to Fumio Kishida has aroused widespread concern and doubts from the outside world. AlthoughIt is normal practice for various countries to express their condolences to Japan, butKim Jong-unThe move's unusual focus on Japan has sparked some speculation. First of all, we want to be clear that Japan is related toHistory of KoreaThere have been serious contradictions and frictions, especially the Sino-Japanese War and the Sino-Japanese WarWorld War IIDuring this period, the aggression against the DPRK brought a great gap in the relations between the two countries. SoKim Jong-unThe sudden expression of condolences to Fumio Kishida must have hidden some subtle changes and demands.
First, take into accountThe severe impact of the disaster on JapanKim Jong-unThe condolences are the superficial causes. After all, this timeNearly a hundred Japanese people died, and there were huge onesEconomyLoss, this is undoubtedly a serious disaster, and any country will express its condolences when it encounters such a situation. North Korea's offer of condolences shows their humanitarian concerns, but this is not enough to explainKim Jong-unWhy did you choose this time to show goodwill to Japan?
Second,Kim Jong-unBehind the condolences to Fumio Kishida is a hint that North Korea wants to improve relations with Japan. North Korea has always had a hostile relationship with Japan, but in the current tense situation on the peninsula, it is possible that North Korea will try to improve relations with Japan out of national interests. Despite the fact that Japan does not have a formal army, it has a highly developed oneSelf-Defense Forces, its combat effectiveness and technical strength should not be underestimated. If the DPRK intends to launch against South KoreaMilitaryaction, it is necessary to take into account not only the intervention of the United States, but also the reaction of Japan. Japan, as South Korea's most immediate neighbor, can provide rear support, which is undoubtedly a big threat to North Korea. Therefore,Kim Jong-unExpressing condolences to Fumio Kishida may imply an attempt to reduce Japan's interference in the war situation, maintain a quick and decisive battle in the war, and avoid a protracted war.
At present, the situation on the Korean Peninsula is tense, and if the situation gets out of control, war is on the verge of breaking out. For North Korea, in addition to the factor of countering the United States, it is necessary to take into account the influence of Japan. As an ally of the United States and one of the most developed countries in Asia, Japan is not only powerfulSelf-Defense Forces, as well as advanced scientific and technological prowess, which makes it more difficult for North Korea to strike South Korea. Therefore, Korea needed to minimize Japanese intervention as much as possible before the war.
North Korea must recognize that Japan's involvement would bring a series of complications to the war, and that the duration of the war could be greatly prolonged. Obviously,Kim Jong-unWith Chen Youliang's lofty ambition in Chinese history that "the first battle is a decisive battle, and the first battle will determine the outcome", he does not want to see the war turn into a protracted war of attrition. In the face of such a situation,Kim Jong-unIt may be decided to adopt a certain diplomatic strategy before the outbreak of war, trying to reduce Japan's reaction and ensure that it has a greater advantage in the conflict.
The DPRK's first expression of condolences to Japan also reminds us that the DPRK's strategic layout is constantly being adjusted to respond to the changing situation. Kim Jong-unIt is possible to realize the need to improve relations with Japan, which is a strategic consideration for North Korea. By establishing better relations with Japan, we can not only reduce external pressure when war breaks out, but also strive for greater diplomatic space before the outbreak of war, thus laying the foundation for Korea to achieve better results in the war.
China has always played an important role on the Korean Peninsula issue. As a friendly country of the DPRK and an ally of NATO, China plays an influential role in the DPRK's strategy. China has always advocated resolving the DPRK issue through dialogue and diplomatic channels, and supported the legitimate rights and interests of the DPRK in its security and development.
At present, the stability and development of Sino-DPRK relations are of paramount importance to the DPRK. in the DPRK facing external pressure andEconomyUnder difficult circumstances, China's support and assistance are crucial to the stability and development of the DPRK. North Korea will undoubtedly gain China's support in relaxing its relations with China and trying to improve its relations with Japan. After all, the stability of China-DPRK relations is in China's interests, which can maintain peace and stability in Northeast Asia and ensure the security of China's border areas.
In addition, China has provided many useful lessons and suggestions to the DPRK through its own development experience. As oneEconomyA fast-growing country with strong scientific and technological strength, China can provide development for North KoreaEconomyStrong support for political stability. China's successful experience also provides a viable development path for North Korea that can help it achieve thisEconomytransformation and social stability.
In short,Kim Jong-unBehind the condolences to Fumio Kishida may be a hint that he is trying to improve relations between North Korea and Japan and prepare for a future war. In the current tense situation on the peninsula, North Korea must carefully deal with Japan's role and reaction to ensure that it has a greater advantage in the war. At the same time, China, as an important ally of the DPRK, has an important influence on the strategic layout and development of the DPRK. China's support and suggestions are very important for the stability and development of the DPRK. The DPRK must recognize the impact of China's policies on its strategy and work closely with China to create a favorable environment for its stability and development.