In the past, many people thought that market movements did not have much to do with the lives of ordinary peopleBut in recent years, we have realized a truth, that is, the economic market is closely related to everyone's life.
With the continuous improvement of the market, the income structure of the masses has changed significantlyA lot of people will set up some pig farmsPork is one of the most indispensable ingredients on the table of the masses in China.
Whenever it's the eve of the festival,There is bound to be a trend in pork everywhereNow that the end of the year is approaching, the domestic pig and corn markets have reversed, significantly and significantly.
The latest data from customs shows that:Corn and pork imports exceeded expectationsThere is speculation that pig prices may be winged in the future**, which is undoubtedly good news for farmers.
This year, the signs of economic recovery have been slow, and it should have been a period of pork ***I didn't expect that pigs and corn have been declining, and what will happen to the next trend of pigs.
Now everyone's income has increased significantly, and the variety of dishes on the table has become more and more abundantPork has always been one of the favorite meats of the masses in our countryIt is delicious and can be made into a variety of cuisines.
Every time it comes to the eve of the festival, pork will show a small ** trend,This is because the market demand for it will increase, and it will become inevitable.
It's been almost a month since 2024, and the New Year is approaching, and the masses around the country have entered the stage of purchasing New Year's goodsIt stands to reason that at this time, like pork, eggs, and all kinds of vegetables, its **will**, but this year it will not rise but fall.
Judging from the information of market feedback,During the Chinese New Year, prices in various places are in a relatively stable stateMany farmers also said that the pig ** has not been ideal.
Pigs are at the bottom and have not ushered in the peak season that should have been there a year agoMany farmers are even facing losses, and corn ** has also seen a collapseDeep processing of corn in many places has hit a new low.
There are many people who feel that corn is the main feed for breeding pigsTherefore, the market of the two must have the characteristics of advancing and retreating togetherBut we also need to know that there are many factors that affect pork.
The reason why everyone thinks that the price of pigs is that they may be plugged in nextBecause not long ago, the Ministry of Agriculture released the latest data on the import of agricultural productsIt shows that imports of corn and pork have both increased more than expected.
This has sparked heated discussionsIt is believed that the trend of hogs will also be red all the wayHowever, we need to know that the increase in the import price of corn and pork is not necessarily proportional.
Because of the ** fluctuations of each commodity,It may be affected by supply and demand or seasonal factors, and the adjustment of national policiesIt will also affect the ** float of the product.
So we can't generalize the import of corn and pork with the final hogIt can only be said that there is indeed a correlation between them, but it is only one of the factors that affect each other.
China is a country with a large population, and the demand for various commodities is bound to be hugeTherefore, there is unlimited potential in China's market, and a large number of products need to be imported from abroad every year.
There is a lot of land that can be used for cultivation in our countryBut even so, crops such as corn and soybeans are still dependent on importsIn addition, pork, beef, and other meats are imported in a fixed amount every year.
The data shows that in December 2023,China's imported corn reached 4.95 million tons, an increase of 4.70 million year-on-year8%，This has also led to a decrease in the enthusiasm of domestic corn procurement in the market.
Let's take a look at the pork side, in December 2023China's pork imports reached 90,000 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 543%，Now there is a slight trend of live pigs on the market.
The increase in imports of corn and pork will definitely have a big impact on the domestic marketThus affecting the ** of the pig, but the specific rise or fall should be combined with other factors.
The trend of the market is an extremely complex issue, we need to analyze it comprehensively, the reason why the first of corn will fall is because China has increased the amount of importsIn addition, the Spring Festival is approaching, and many growers will choose to concentrate on selling at this time.
Originally, the import volume increased, which brought an impact to the market, and then the growers began to go to the ** corn in large quantities,As a result, the stock of corn in the market has increased significantly, and there has been a further situation.
Now that the end of the year is approaching, the merchants who buy corn will also make multiple considerations at this time, and the corn market is facing the pressure of mismatch between production and marketing, so there are experts, and then corn will continue to decline.
In previous years, the pork ** on the market was quite considerable,At that time, many people were complaining that they couldn't afford to eat this meatHowever, in the past two years, pork ** has not been high, and there have been three consecutive declines in recent times.
This has brought huge pressure to the farmers, and the pork has seen a ** magnitude in recent times, which is also because the Chinese New Year is now approaching, and the demand for pork is indeed **.
But before the New Year's Festival, most farmers will concentrate on the pig resources in their handsThis has led to an oversupply in the market.
We also have to take into account that since the end of the epidemic, everyone really has no money in their hands, everyone's consumption level has declined significantly in the past two years, and the number of reservations for Chinese New Year's Eve meals in major hotels this year is very bleak.
This has had a huge impact on China's catering industry and the real industryThe demand for pork has declined in various places, so combined with the overall situation, the pork market has not ushered in the expected peak season.
Due to the large number of farmers concentrated at this time, the number of pork in the market soared, and in the state of oversupply, it is not easy to want, which also puts pressure on pig prices.
Then there is that China has always had a fixed import volume in pork, and there are more domestic cold storage pork inventories, which will definitely flow into the market in large quantities during the Chinese New Year.
Under the influence of various factors,It is almost impossible for pigs to achieve wingingNow the pig price is still facing the suppression of the first end, so there is still uncertainty in the pig price.
For the problem of pig prices, we should look at it rationally, but farmers do not need to worry too much, because they will definitely regulate the market.
The state can't afford to let farmers take too many risksAfter the market fluctuates, ** will intervene to regulate, which is not the current pork import volume has dropped a lot.
Judging from the data released by the Ministry of Agriculture in recent days,The average price of pork in the wholesale market is 20 per kilogram100 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15%。
Many meat stalls will be appropriately adjusted according to the purchase price of the market**, and you can ask a few more when buying meat, because some businesses will carry out related ** activities in order to attract customers.
In the past few years, pork ** was ridiculously high, and it could even compete with beef and muttonAt that time, the farmers made a small profit, and after seeing the huge profits, many people invested in this industry.
In just one or two years, there have been many new pig farmers in the market, which has led to the fact that the market has always been particularly sufficient, and even oversupply.
This can also be regarded as the follow-up impact of the continuous rise of pork ** in the past few years, judging from the national data,In 2023 alone, pork production increased by 46%。
I thought that ** could last for a while, but I didn't expect that this year's pork ** showed a cliff-like decline, and the people could be regarded as realizing pork freedom.
Consumers are happy, but farmers are worried, in order to coordinate the balance of the market, the Ministry of Agriculture has also strengthened the regulation and controlFirst it reduced the amount of pork imported, and then it allowed farmers to reduce their production capacity.
Judging from the current situation, pork is slightly unreasonable, and it is unlikely that pigs want to insert wings in a solid line, so everyone is still dead.
From the available data, it can be seen that domestic pig farmers are gradually reducing the scale of breeding, in the past two years in the pig breeding lost money, the number of farmers has also declined significantly.
This also indicates that the number of pigs in the hands of farmers will decrease, and the number of piglets will be less and less in the future, which will reduce the demand for feed.
In the next few years, there will be ** of live pigs and porkBut the magnitude should not be particularly large, and the main use of corn is in aquaculture.
The decrease in demand from downstream industries will definitely affect the growth of corn, which means that corn may continue to decline next, and everyone should be psychologically prepared.
We also have one more caveat,That is, now China's imported corn is gradually replacing domestic cornMainly because imported corn has more transportation and tariff costs, its ** is much lower than domestic corn.
In the process of operation, enterprises will definitely consider the issue of profit firstImported corn** is more dominant, and its market demand will be greater, which is not good for growers.
Ordinary people at the grassroots level are the main force of the country's economyAt present, the state has been emphasizing the need to generate income and increase production, and to increase peasants' incomes as much as possible.
But affected by the market environment,Farmers' incomes are shrinking, and grain is continuing to declineAs a result, it has also affected the breeding industry and the production enthusiasm of farmers.
In summary, the import of corn and pork has increased, which is to meet the market demandPigs want to achieve rapid speed, and it is hopeless at the end of this yearCorn and hogs** are likely to continue to move lower.
But we also have to grasp the crux of the problemA large number of low-cost corn is imported, which has brought a huge impact to China's marketDon't forget that in the past few years, we have imported a lot of cheap soybeans, but we have suffered a lot of losses.
Whether it is for farmers or growers, it is inevitable that everyone pays more attention to market dynamicsThere is no need to worry too much about the direction of various commoditiesIf there is abnormal volatility in the market, the state will definitely take action.