My article was stuck last night, but ** worked fine. I removed some sensitive words.
1. My point of view.
The index is actually 8 consecutive yang, and the CSI 300 is even 9 consecutive yang, which is really amazing and strong. However, most people's funds are probably still stuck around 2700 and 2800. Behind the strong index** this time, it is mainly driven by the trend of high dividends, especially the banking, coal, oil and other sectors have contributed a lot of weight. It is worth mentioning that many heavyweights, such as China Shenhua and CNOOC, have hit record highs. So, after the index rises to this level, what should we do next? Last night I recorded a **, a detailed analysis of the market, I recommend you to collect, take the time to study it on the weekend, I believe it can improve your understanding of the market.
Today, the three major indices continue to be the first to appear, the Shanghai Composite Index is showing a trend, but the ChiNext has entered the ** mode. At present, various sectors cannot outperform the Shanghai Index, and the index cannot outperform**. Therefore, focusing on ** and giving up ** is the best choice. Judging from the graph, there are signs of stagflation in a row, but the space is limited, so it may continue later. The hot sector *** is also a buying point.
Sooner or later, the market will return to its own laws, that is, policy market, logic speculation and fundamental speculation. Now the index is around 3000 points, and the valuation tends to be reasonable, but there are still many ** that have not yet made up for the rise. After these ** make up for the rise, the valuation of the market will be more reasonable, and everyone will return to the same starting line. Therefore, as long as the ** you hold has logic and growth, there is no need to worry too much, they will make up for it.
I posted a micro-headline yesterday about small-cap late-cap stocks, which sparked some controversy. My starting point is that the new leadership has strictly supervised the market, which is bound to have a great impact on the next sitting capital. There are more than 3,000 small-cap stocks in the market, but not many have grown into great companies. Therefore, the focus is still on identifying those potential "three good students".
Second, the four major plates and the leading ** (emotion only).
The emotional data for the five days after the Spring Festival has been in a state of climax, which is rare for a long time. However, despite the high sentiment, the GEM rose by just 18%, indicating that market fragmentation and structural problems still exist. Overselling** and sentiment hype have peaked, but trend stocks are still failing to show strong momentum. Next week, the index and the Alpha may enter mode, as a short squeeze like this one is unlikely to last every week.
This week, there was a rotation offensive of coal, oil, banking and insurance on the main board, which caused the index to fail**. At the same time, theme stocks are also gradually gaining strength. However, judging from the tick trend, the heavyweights could not continue on Friday afternoon**, and the index had reached 3,000 points, so the strength of the heavyweights to rescue the market has weakened. In the afternoon, themes** and small and mid-cap stocks started to come alive. Huawei's computing power and domestic computing power led the gains, while the application side and Wensheng** also performed strongly.
As for the optical module sector, although there has been a situation of rising and falling, I have mentioned in the review on Wednesday and Thursday that we need to pay more attention to the direction of domestic substitution. Judging from the statement of the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, domestic computing power is the direction of the later increment. Optical modules are overly dependent on foreign markets, which has certain risks. Therefore, I am more inclined to switch between high and low positions in the optical module section, but it will still remain active until the logic is not falsified.
In addition, for a long time, after speculating on AI, robots or storage were speculated, and the robot sector also broke out on Friday afternoon. This shows that the hype of this type of sector will always have a certain memory effect. The theme as a whole remained strong after the heavy stocks retreated in the afternoon. Therefore, we need to be patient and hold on to logical thematic stocks, which will show similar movements. Therefore, as long as the index remains stable, logical theme stocks will definitely make up for it.
3. Summary. The complexity and variability of the market cannot be ignored. Although analysts analyze the market from an objective point of view, they often make mistakes. There are no absolute facts in the a** field, and those who cling to one point of view are not trustworthy. At the same time, the gossip, advertising cooperation, financial management and sales of software courses in the live broadcast are also unreliable. Therefore, we need to be cautious, analyze the market rationally, and make informed investment decisions.
Happy Lantern Festival to all!