The spread of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict has not only stirred up waves between Ukraine and Russia, but also set off uneasy waves in Belarus. Belarusian Lukashenko recently sent a sobering signal at an internal meeting, warning that the country could fall into political turmoil, and he also proposed three options that the West could use to overthrow the Belarusian regime.
The first option is for the Western and domestic opposition to incite people during the election campaign, triggering mass riots, and then organizing an armed coup or violent seizure of power. This tactic has long been commonplace, but Lukashenko has a solution.
Second, use this year's elections as a rehearsal and starting point for a coup d'état in preparation for a coup d'état during next year's ** elections. The West may pour all its forces and resources into provoking contradictions with the people and creating a new wave of ** in order to indirectly overthrow the current regime.
The last option is the alternative, in which after the failure of the first two options, the West will make extensive use of "soft power" tools such as politics, economics, finance, information and culture to push the situation in Belarus in the direction they want. This game is long-term and will not stop as long as Belarus exists as a sovereign state.
Of the three scenarios, the second was already tried in 2020, the Belarusian political crisis. After the election, demonstrations broke out in Belarus, Western countries did not recognize the election results, and Lukashenko was forced to turn to Russia for support, which eventually stabilized the situation.
In addition, Belarus has foiled an assassination attempt against Lukashenko and his son, with the suspect admitting to working for the US intelligence service. The incident highlights the interference of foreign powers, which Lukashenko blames on the United States.
Although the Russia-Ukraine conflict has brought instability to Belarus, as long as Putin is there, Lukashenko will not fall easily. Lukashenko's steadfastness and Russia's support make it difficult for the West's plot to succeed. As long as Lukashenko remains in power, the fate of Belarus will not change.
This series of events reminds the Belarusian people to be vigilant and jointly defend the stability and security of the country. The future of Belarus is still full of challenges due to the interference of external forces, but with Lukashenko's firm leadership, I believe that Belarus can overcome all difficulties and usher in a brighter future.