We can now get a very serious situation for China in 2025 - China and the United States will be completely deadlocked, and enter into a life-and-death economic showdown.
The United States has actually kicked off, and even if Trump is entangled in lawsuits, it can't stop him from becoming a candidate for the Republican Party. And, judging from the current election situation in the United States, if there is no big surprise, Trump's victory over Biden is certain.
And if Trump is re-elected, it is basically unlikely that the situation of "fighting but not breaking" that the relevant personnel have pinned hopes on will be maintained for the already extremely bad Sino-US relations.
Because, before Trump was elected, he had already made wild statements, promising that if he was elected, he would cancel China's most-favored-nation status, achieve "complete decoupling" from China, and increase tariffs on all Chinese goods by 60%.
You must know that compared with Biden, who is untrustworthy, Trump is a person who "keeps his word" and "does what he says". We can fully foresee what the situation between China and the United States will be like if Trump is elected.
It's important to remember the fact that U.S.-China relations quickly went to a low point after Donald Trump was elected to the U.S. in 2016. The beginning of all this originated from the ** war and technology war launched by Trump.
Trump's remarks such as "complete decoupling" from China were said in a speech at a dinner in Florida on the 21st local time, which was also part of his campaign.
In his speech, Trump highlighted the achievements of his economic policy on China, saying, "After years of economic surrender by past (American) leaders, I stood up against China, and the previous ** did not do that, allowing hundreds of billions of dollars from China to pour into our coffers, but the other ** did not even get 10 cents from them," Trump said
Then it announced that it would cancel China's most-favored-nation status after winning the United States in 2024 and achieve complete decoupling from China. There will also be a 60 percent tariff on Chinese products.
Trump, who is likely to become the next American leader, has clearly expressed his determination to continue to expand the economic and technological war against China, and has made a public commitment to American voters.
According to Trump's personality and behavioral characteristics, as long as he is re-elected, starting in 2025, China and the United States will definitely enter an unprecedented first-class war, a scientific and technological war, and a decisive battle.
Once the United States really cancels China's most-favored-nation status and completely decouples from China, it will be a very serious war for both countries, and it will also expand and affect the relationship between the two countries at all levels, and may even develop to the extent of severing diplomatic relations.
But is this really a bad thing for China?
Judging from the fact that the amount of China and the United States in front of us is indeed a bad thing. In 2023, the total amount between China and the United States decreased by 13%, but even so, the total value of China's exports to the United States was 5,002900 million US dollars, the total value of imports from the United States is 1641600 million US dollars, China's ** surplus with the United States reached 336.1 billion US dollars.
This surplus is the reason why Trump has threatened to "decouple" from China, and he has always believed that it is China that has taken advantage of the United States and robbed Americans of their jobs.
In turn, we can see how dependent the United States is on China.
In fact, Trump and Biden have been working on "decoupling" from China, but this will require a gradual shift in importing countries, which is a long process. Because China is the country with the most complete manufacturing industry in the world, Chinese goods are difficult to replace by any country.
However, judging from the continuous decline in China's exports of American goods in recent years, it proves that the United States is promoting "gradual decoupling" from China.
We can now conclude that the ultimate trend of the economic showdown between China and the United States is complete decoupling and breaking the chain, and it is only a matter of time. It will even develop to the point of severing diplomatic relations between the two countries.
Quality Author List Since the trend is like this, should we wait until the "gradual decoupling" of the United States develops to "complete decoupling"? Or do we take the initiative to decouple ahead of time and prevent problems before they happen?
Today's United States is a terminally ill United States, caught in a debt crisis that has not yet been solved, and has also fallen into a serious fiscal deficit gap that cannot be filled by funds, this year's deficit of $2 trillion in the budget has not yet passed, and the United States is still relying on the temporary appropriations bill to maintain short-term operation.
If China suddenly takes the initiative to fully decouple from the United States, it is highly likely to trigger a collapse of the US economy, and the chain reaction will inevitably trigger a complete collapse of the United States.
Therefore, we should actively decouple, not passively. We should decouple in a flash rather than a gradual one. The result of decoupling is equivalent to China getting a cold, but it can kill the United States, and China and the world will usher in peace from then on.