Analysis of the distribution and collection value of the 5 jiao issuance of plum blossoms

Mondo Collection Updated on 2024-02-15

Plum blossom 5 jiao was released from 1991 to 2001, a total of 11 years, since the end of the issuance has been 22 years. Because of its beautiful design and small total circulation, it is widely loved by collectors, and although it has not yet been delisted, the lowest premium of the original optical roll in the market has been 15 times.

However, the author found that there are different versions of the original light roll market of Meihua 5 Jiao Bank. For example, in '91 and '92, some were 600 yuan and 600 yuan respectively, some were 750 yuan and 760 yuan, some were 850 yuan and 1,200 yuan, and some were 650 yuan and 850 yuan. **Different, it must also be related to its circulation, the number of survival, some of which are respectively 800 yuan and 650 yuan.

Regarding the existence of plum blossom 5 corners, especially has been circulating for decades, because plum blossom 5 angles are similar to ** to build, a small part is smelted by the folk to make jewelry, and the bank has implemented "only collect and not pay" for more than 7 years, it is difficult to count specific data. Even the approximate data of the bank's original optical roll is difficult to calculate.

The only thing that can be used to estimate its collection value is the issuance data and the stock ratio data of each year.

Regarding the circulation of the 5 corners of the club, there are also several versions: version 1, 91 year 2400 million, 92 years 4800 million, 93 years 2400 million, 94 years 2400 million, 95 years 6400 million, 96 years 4400 million, 97 years 6800 million, 7 in '98200 million, 600 million in '99, 800 million in '00, 1 billion in '01; Version 2, about 80 million in '91, about 80 million in '92, about 30 million in '93, about 50 million in '94, unknown in '95, unknown in '96, 1 billion in '97, unknown in '98, 99 in 9300 million, 1 billion in 00, 1 billion in 01.

Regarding the circulation of plum blossom 5 jiao, the approximate data can still be deduced through the China Financial Publishing House's "Contemporary Banknote Printing and Minting Chronicles 1948-2000".

According to the "Contemporary Banknote Printing and Minting Chronicle 1948-2000", "in July 1991, when the production of 5 dime coins, punching, lighting, washing, and inspection all used 1 equipment, and in 1993 began to carry out technical transformation, in 1996, the introduction of 1 double spiral annealing furnace of the German BAK company, in 1997 the introduction of SAK-100 high-speed punch 1, and later the introduction of SAK-160 high-speed punching 3 sets, ST50S high-speed coin blank cake hemming machine 4 sets, There are 4 sets of seven-station tower pickling and finishing devices, and 5 sets of automatic inspection machines for bad cakes are imported from Israel, forming an advanced production line for bad cake washing, lighting, washing and inspection. Finished product printing, inspection, packaging The introduction of M150 type horizontal printing machine 7 sets, the purchase of domestic YBW150 type horizontal press. 4 printing machines; Introduced 4 sets of automatic inspection machines for bad cakes in France; The introduction of 8 sets of German A105 automatic packaging machines and 2 sets of CW2013 automatic packaging machines have formed the production process of printing, finished product inspection, counting and rolling, cartoning and boxing.

From July 1991 to 1995, the annual production capacity of 5 Jiao Copper coins increased from 100 million to 500 million pieces, and from 1996 to 1997, after the introduction of some equipment, the annual production capacity of 5 Jiao Copper Coin reached 1 billion pieces. In 2000, the production capacity of 5 jiao coins reached 2 billion, but the actual production of 5 jiao copper coins was 1 billion in that year. ”

That is, in 91 and 92 years, the old equipment was used, with a production capacity of 100 million; In 93, technological transformation began to be carried out, with a production capacity of slightly more than 100 million; In 94 and 95, the production capacity reached 500 million; In 96, 1 double spiral annealing furnace was introduced, with a production capacity of slightly more than 500 million; In 97, after the introduction of 4 high-speed stamping machines, 4 coin hemming machines, 4 acid washing and finishing devices, and 5 scrubbing machines, the production capacity reached 1 billion; In 98, 99 and 00, the production capacity is 10-2 billion. Another netizen mentioned that "technological transformation began in 1993 and reduced production to 1994".

Combined with the current 96 years of plum blossom 5 jiao stock proportion calculation, the author thinks that the plum blossom 5 jiao issuance in 91 years about 80 million, 92 years about 80 million, 93 years about 30 million, 94 years about 50 million, 95 years not more than 500 million, 96 years not more than 3900 million, no more than 1 billion in '97, 1 billion in '98, 1 billion in '99, about 1 billion in '00, and 1 billion in '01.

Regarding the number of plum blossoms 5 jiao in the world, there are also several versions, one of which is about 10 million pieces of circulating products in 91 years, and about 1.6 million pieces of brand new products; In 92 years, there are about 40 million to 50 million products in circulation, and about 480,000 new products; In 93 years, there are about 1.5 million to 2 million products in circulation, and about 12-150,000 new products; In 94 years, there are about 25 million products in circulation, and about 7-80,000 new products; In 95 years, there are about 300 million products in circulation, and about 1 million new products; In 96 years, there are about 6000-700000000 products in circulation, and about 15-200,000 new products; In 97, there were about 300 million products in circulation, and about 2 million new products; In 98 years, there were about 100 million products in circulation, and about 2.5 million new products; In 99, there were about 300 million products in circulation, and about 1 million new products; 00 years of circulation of about 300 million pieces, new products about 1 million; In 01, there were about 300 million products in circulation, and about 1.2 million new products.

I don't know how this stock data came about, but from the perspective of the logic of money circulation loss and the collection logic of rapid economic development, the confidence of this data is extremely low.

From the perspective of currency circulation loss, regardless of the number of issuances, the longer the circulation time, the higher the circulation frequency of the year coins, the greater the proportion of loss, so the earlier the issuance of the plum blossom 5 jiao coin loss ratio, the higher the economic development of the area of plum blossom 5 jiao loss proportion, if the 91 and 92 years of circulation is not much different, the number of circulating goods in the world or different, but generally only a small difference.

As for the bank's stock of raw optical rolls, it is related to the issuance volume on the one hand, and the economic situation at that time on the other hand. From 91 to 01, the domestic economy was in a stage of rapid development, and people's incomes increased accordingly. The original boxes and original volumes that can be left are generally more powerful collection groups, and with the growth of people's income, the number of people who have the strength to save the original boxes and original volumes will be more and more, and the corresponding number of new products will also be more and more. The author believes that in the first five years, due to different issuances, the stock of brand-new products in each year is different, and in the next six years, because of the huge issuance, the economy is relatively more developed, and people's incomes are higher, relatively speaking, there is more stock of brand-new products.

Regarding the existence of different ** versions on the market, the author thinks that because the plum blossom 5 jiao has not been delisted for the time being, or it may have a definite relationship with the different amounts of currency in various regions, some netizens mentioned:

In 91, it was mainly put in the northwest provinces, Shaanxi, Gansu, Ningxia, and Qinghai, which accounted for more than 30% to 40%, and the rest of the provinces did not exceed 5% on average.

In 92, it was mainly put in the southwest Yunnan, Guichuan and Sichuan, and the three northeastern provinces were particularly few, accounting for less than 5% in total.

93 years mainly put in Yunnan, Hebei, Jiangsu and other places, of which Yunnan accounted for a particularly high proportion of nearly 25%, so there are friends to find 93 years of plum blossoms, to Yunnan to find is undoubtedly a good choice, because the proportion is relatively high, followed by Hebei and Jiangsu about 5% each.

In 94, it was mainly put in the southern region, mainly in Guangzhou, Hainan, and Fujian, and the coastal proportion reached about 30%, and the remaining years were basically put in every region in the next few years, so we often see it. ”

It is difficult to find reliable historical data and statistics for reference as to the specific circulation and information of each year of the plum blossom 5 jiao. At present, the original volume of plum blossoms in 93 has been hyped to exceed 10,000 yuan, and the original volume of plum blossoms in 94 has also been hyped to exceed 2,800 yuan, and the specific circulation of them is still a mystery. Judging from the stock ratio of the statistics released by some netizens at present, the stock in 93 and 94 is indeed less, but the plum blossom 5 corners in 93 can be pushed to such a high **, mainly related to "hype". By hyping the 93-year-old "Coin King", more collectors will hold the 93-year-old plum blossoms in their hands, so that the 93-year-old plum blossoms on the market are more scarce.

The author thinks that compared with other years, there is more room for value-added in the 91 and 95 years of plum blossom 5 jiao original light volume. The original volume of '91 is 650 yuan, which is lower than the 850 yuan volume of '92**; 400 yuan volume in 95 years, lower than 550 yuan volume in 00 years**.

Compared with the original light volume of the chrysanthemum that has been delisted and has a huge circulation, the current plum blossom 5 corners still have a large premium space. For example, the chrysanthemum 1 dime coin king, the online circulation is 77.3 billion, but the original light volume ** 1750 yuan, the network circulation is 93 years of plum blossom 5 jiao 258 times, according to the magnification calculation, 93 years plum blossom 5 corners ** should not be less than 45,000 yuan; And 91 years of chrysanthemum 1 jiao, the network circulation of 2 billion, **280 yuan, the network circulation is 91 years of plum blossom 5 jiao 25 times, according to the multiplier calculation, 91 years of plum blossom 5 jiao ** should not be less than 7000 yuan.

Recognized as the most beautiful circulating coin, the plum blossom 5 jiao will soon be withdrawn from the market. It is believed that with the blessing of the current hot live broadcast e-commerce, once delisted, the transaction circulation rate of the Meihua 5 corner market will soon reach a climax and realize its due market value.

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