The current global situation is becoming less and less optimistic, and many people feel that war or conflict is inevitable. The contradictions and games between China and the United States have also become even more irreconcilable.
If there really is a conflict, then the battlefield will be in **? Is it the Middle East or East Asia?
Everyone knows that there are several powder kegs in the world, such as the Middle East, the Korean Peninsula, the Taiwan Strait, etc. Now the Palestinian-Israeli conflict in the Middle East has broken out, in addition to the Russia-Ukraine conflict. There has always been the possibility of friction between the Korean Peninsula and the Taiwan Strait in East Asia.
Some time ago, there was a vicious incident in which Taiwan violently drove away a fishing boat from the mainland, killing two fishermen, and this was a provocation and a temptation by the Taiwan authorities. When the United States needs it, it will certainly detonate the Taiwan issue to destabilize East Asia. Although our strategic determination has always been very strong, the United States actually holds the initiative to detonate it.
Once the Taiwan issue breaks out, we will not be able to resolve it quickly. Then it may be followed by the flight of capital and industry, the comprehensive sanctions and isolation of Europe and the United States, and the challenge to economic and social stability is very great. So we can't let the United States control the rhythm unless absolutely necessary.
So what can be done to grasp the initiative?
First, the United States cannot afford to detonate the conflict; The second is to let the United States get caught up in the Middle East and have no time to look eastward.
On the Korean Peninsula, North Korea continues to test missiles and make harsh words, and it looks nervous, but in fact there is nothing wrong. The DPRK is cooperating with us, and every missile test is to deter the United States and South Korea, letting the United States know that once a conflict breaks out in the Taiwan Strait or the South China Sea, the Korean Peninsula will inevitably take the opportunity to start the process of reunification, so that the United States and South Korea will have no time to take care of it. At that time, the United States is likely to lose the entire East Asian base in order to deter the United States and make the United States dare not act rashly.
Controlling the Middle East is the basis of dollar hegemony, and Israel is the fulcrum of the United States in the Middle East, so Israel is a point that the United States must save. Now in the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, Israel is becoming more and more passive, and even the conflict is spilling over, and the United States is at risk of being dragged into the water. This involves a large amount of strategic resources of the United States, leaving the United States with no time to look eastward.
Now the United States is simply a headache, and it clearly wants to quickly resolve the Palestinian-Israeli issue and avoid the spillover of the conflict. The strategic focus is on East Asia to contain us. However, anti-US forces from all walks of life in the Middle East have been constantly harassing and attacking, either attacking US merchant ships or US military bases, causing the United States to be very embarrassed.
There is also a force within the United States that wants to push the United States into the water, Biden has always wanted to control the conflict in the Middle East, even if the US military has been attacked many times, he will not announce it, and he always uses "brains" to prevaricate, and he is even more reluctant to point the supporters behind him at Iran.
But recently the United States suddenly admitted that the Houthis were provided by Iran, which is very important news. It shows that there are forces within the United States that want the US military to send troops. Probably the Jewish Capital Group. Because there is a lot of Jewish capital in the United States, their influence is very great, and even big capital like Musk is forced to compromise and bow to Jewish capital. It is indeed difficult to say which of the Jews or the Angsa will prevail and dominate American policy.
The United States is about to face a conflict in the Middle East, and there may be great variables about what strategy the United States will adopt. But there is one thing, the more troublesome the United States is in the Middle East, the more stable our side will be.
So, this Sino-US game. We still use the "you hit yours, I hit mine" strategy. No matter whether the United States is making trouble in the Taiwan Strait or the South China Sea, we will never find a way out. The focus of the game has always been on the Middle East.
In the current situation, it is becoming more and more difficult for the United States to get out of the Middle East, while East Asia is still relatively stable, so there is no need to worry too much.
Extended reading: The Middle East Game Broken Down (1): Who is the Real Chess Player Behind the Conflict?
The U.S.-China Middle East Game (2): Why Contain the U.S. in the Middle East?
The U.S.-China Middle East Game (3): How Important Is the Middle East to Us?
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