First question: Why today**?
Friends who have been watching the market recently will find that the trend of ** is very consistent, and the sudden rise and fall occur almost at the same time, which is caused by a certain team selling through ETF**.
Therefore, the current big ** is dominated by a certain team, and the ups and downs are completely decided by a certain team. If a team wants it to rise, it will rise, and if it wants it to fall, it will fall. So today, it was a certain team that made it fall.
Then the second question comes: Is a certain team now shipping and harvesting?
A certain team of funds enters the market, stabilizing the market is one thing, and making money is the real purpose, so if it wants to make a profit, it must achieve high-level shipments. If it ships today, can it make money? I judged that it was impossible to make money. First of all, a team starts to buy from 2600 and pulls the index up to 3000 points, and its cost is about 2800 points. If it is shipped at 3000 now, and the goods are to be shipped out, the final ** will be about 2800 points, which is equivalent to selling flat. However, there is a cost to the operation of a certain team's funds, and it is absolutely impossible to operate in this way. And now that it is shipped, the index will fall to 2600 again, and it will cause a more serious stampede effect, and it is possible to fall to 2000 points in the end. The above has just been replaced, is it possible? No way.
If a team wants to ship profitably, and at the same time does not cause market panic, there must be a premise: that is, when a team ships, there are enough funds to undertake. Now that the market is like this, do you think this condition is met? Necessarily not satisfied. Now the chips in the market are very unstable, whether it is the profit order at the bottom of the early stage, or the flat market that entered earlier, as long as there is a little wind and grass, this part of the funds will take profit and go out. It is unrealistic for a certain team to ship at this time, not to mention that there is no capital to undertake below, and there is a bunch of pressure plates above, so it is definitely not a shipment now.
The third question is that since a certain team has not yet shipped, why does it have to rise so well, so that everyone is unhappy?
In fact, this is the only way to build market confidence, only when the market confidence rises, a team can ship safely. Let's hypothetize, is it possible for the market to rise every day, not at all? Of course, it is possible that as long as a certain team maintains a stable ** every day, won't the market rise every day, and with the financial strength of a certain team, it can be done. But the consequence of this will only be that there are fewer and fewer participants in the market. To put it to the extreme, all the chips were bought by a certain team, ** is up, but who will take over? A certain team simply can't cash out. Today's market participants are more rational than in the past, and there are fewer and fewer people who dare to chase high, and the more fierce they rise, the more panicked everyone is.
Since it can't go up every day, then go up for a while, so it's okay? Don't say it, it's really good. Today's**, do you think it's**spontaneous? I'm telling you, absolutely not, it's all grass on the wall, which way the wind blows. Now that the market has reached a crumbling tipping point, as long as a certain team sells a small part through the ETF, the market will react, and the ** who is on the sidelines will immediately follow suit and ship. The position equivalent to the highest point is smashed by a certain team, but the follow-up ** is caused by the market being guided by a certain team. Yesterday's small composition, all kinds of rumors, do you think it is groundless? Today's ** will definitely be particularly violent, because there are too many profit-taking orders after Balianyang, and there will definitely be no hesitation to sell profit-taking orders. Later, as long as a certain team remains not, the market finds that there is no **, and the follow-up will continue spontaneously.
After 2-3 days of washing, all these chips are washed out, because these chips will not help in the subsequent rally. These guys who are going to sell chips now, do you expect him to increase his position if he doesn't **continue**? Instead, it can cause stress.
However, the time should not be too long, at most 2-3 days will be pulled back, because those who do not sell in these days will not be sold later, and it is useless to wash again. Moreover, it is easy to hit the confidence of the market that has just been rebuilt. My own judgment is that the effect of washing for 2 days is the best, and it is a bit long to wash for 3 days.
* 2 days, and then start pulling, on the one hand, a team's own holding cost is reduced, on the other hand, to enter the market with short funds, and third, tell the person who sold before **, you are wrong, and the person who did not sell, you are right (note, this is very important). Through such repeated pull-ups, ** and then up, and then **, and then up, whether it is short funds or selling funds, will continue to return to the market, and everyone will form a cognition: ** is temporary, and it will rise again soon, there is no need to sell it because of a short **. When this perception is formed, it is the real last moment.
Therefore, it is still early, it is necessary to buy it, and it is not recommended to make a price difference, because it may be 1 day or 2 days, it is easy to sell it, just take it. Today is just a wash, not too much, the future is still the probability is greater, don't move those who have already held positions, because I don't know when it will end, it's not worth selling it. Empty positions can be used at any time**, and every day is an opportunity.