Strategic miscalculation on the Sino Indian border

Mondo Military Updated on 2024-02-24

China and India are the two largest countries in Asia and the two most populous countries in the world, and the relations between the two countries not only affect peace and stability in the region, but also attract the attention of the international community. However, there have been long-term disputes and frictions between China and India on the border issue, and in recent years, there have been many armed confrontations and clashes, resulting in the loss of personnel and strategic trust. Analyzing the crisis on the Sino-Indian border, it is not difficult to find that there is a fundamental miscalculation of strength between the two sides, which is an important reason for the tension and military game.

There are two aspects to the miscalculation of the strength of the Sino-Indian border, one is that India underestimates China's strength, and the other is that China overestimates India's strength. Both of these miscalculations stem from both sides' one-sided and biased understanding of history and reality, as well as blind and optimistic expectations for the future.

India's underestimation of China's strength is mainly manifested in two aspects, one is its contempt for the combat effectiveness and fighting will of the squadron, and the other is its neglect of the squadron's equipment and infrastructure. This underestimation of India has both historical roots and practical motives.

Historically, India suffered a crushing defeat in the Sino-Indian border war in 1962, which left India with deep trauma and shame. However, India did not learn from the defeat, but used various excuses and justifications to cover up its mistakes and weaknesses, believing that the victory of the squadron was accidental and temporary, while its own defeat was inevitable and past. India believes that the combat effectiveness of the squadron is based on numerical superiority and geographical advantage, while its own army is subject to qualitative disadvantage and political interference. India has ignored the fighting will and fighting spirit of the squadron, as well as the military theory and military organization of the squadron, believing that the squadron is a backward and conservative army with no innovation and progress.

In reality, in the Sino-Indian border confrontation and conflict in recent years, India did not see its own shortcomings and China's advantages from the performance of the Chinese team, but used its own subjective wishes and one-sided information to judge the strength of the Chinese team. India believes that the deployment and movement of the squadron at the border is out of fear and nervousness, while its own army is motivated by confidence and determination. India believes that the equipment and infrastructure of the squadron on the border are backward and weak, while its own army is advanced and powerful. India has ignored the updating and improvement of the squadron's equipment and infrastructure, as well as the squadron's strategic planning and tactical application, believing that the squadron is an army that lacks creativity and flexibility, and there are no changes and breakthroughs.

China's overestimation of India's strength is mainly manifested in two aspects: first, it respects India's national will and national goals, and second, it recognizes India's national capabilities and potential. China's overestimation is due to both historical and practical considerations.

Historically, China once won the victory of the squadron in the Sino-Indian border war in 1962, which brought honor and self-confidence to China. However, instead of being complacent about its victory, China has used various ways and means to ease and improve its relations with India, considering India an important neighbor and partner, rather than a hostile rival and competitor. China respects India's national will and national goals, recognizes India's status and role in South Asia and the Indian Ocean, supports India's participation and voice in international affairs, and hopes to achieve peaceful coexistence and mutually beneficial cooperation with India.

In reality, in the Sino-Indian border confrontation and conflicts in recent years, China has not seen its own advantages and India's disadvantages from India's behavior, but has used its own objective analysis and comprehensive assessment to judge India's strength. China believes that India is a large country with a population of 1.3 billion, a huge market and resources, a long history and culture, a pluralistic ethnic and religious diversity, a complex political and social structure, a strong military and diplomacy, and lofty dreams and ambitions. China recognizes India's national capabilities and potential, its achievements and challenges in economic development and social progress, its contributions and influence in scientific and technological innovation and cultural exchanges, and India's responsibilities and responsibilities in regional security and global governance, and hopes to achieve peaceful development and common prosperity with India.

The miscalculation of strength on the China-India border has brought huge risks and losses to both sides, and has also provided important opportunities and enlightenment for both sides. The two sides should face up to and correct their miscalculations, enhance and improve their understanding, build and maintain their own trust, seek and realize their own interests, avoid and defuse their own conflicts, promote and deepen their own cooperation, and make positive and responsible contributions to the health and stability of Sino-Indian relations and to peace and development in Asia and the world.

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