In the vast territory of Ukraine, a modern battle is in full swing. According to authoritative surveys, Russia has lost more than 3,000 tanks since the outbreak of the war of aggression, which is more than all of its reserves before the war. However, it is surprising that, despite all the damage, Russia's inventory of armored vehicles still looks like a bottomless pit.
It will be a heavy blow for Russia to lose its tanks, but Moscow does not seem to lack ways to continue. Indeed, according to the International Institute for Strategic Studies, Russia is pulling its inventory of old tanks out of its inventory at a rate of 90 units per month in exchange for more troops to maintain the initiative in the war. From the older T-55 to the newer T-80 and T-90, they all have considerable combat capabilities, although their level of technology is not consistent.
Ukraine is lost, Western aid, stalemate, the future is uncertain.
At the same time, Ukraine has suffered heavy losses in this war. However, Ukraine, unlike Russia, receives a lot of military support from Western countries. This assistance has not only allowed Ukraine to receive some compensation, but also improved its quality. The help of Western countries has helped Ukraine a lot, allowing it to stand firm in the face of Russia's onslaught.
The report from the International Strategy Institute also indicates that Russia now has 750 battle tanks and 4,000 in its inventory. This means that even without the manufacturing capacity for new equipment, Russia will still be able to rebuild enough tanks from its reserves within three years to cope with the attrition of the war. This situation underscores a stalemate that currently exists in the war and threatens to drag it out until the end of 2024.
However, there will never be only one direction in the war. Although Russia has a large stock of tanks, prolonged high-intensity combat and wear and tear of obsolete equipment are also a problem that cannot be ignored. In addition, due to the support of Western countries, Ukraine's military strength is gradually increasing, which will have a major impact on the entire war pattern.
Speculation and Analysis: Potential Directions on the Battlefield.
So, how will the next war be fought? One possibility is that Russia will use its huge tank arsenal to sustain an offensive in certain areas. However, when obsolete equipment is worn out, and the war is more intense, such an attack will be weakened. At the same time, with the help of Western countries, Ukraine has the opportunity to gradually reduce the military distance between itself and Russia and surpass it in a number of areas.
Another possibility is that, under certain conditions, the two parties could temporarily cease fighting or solve the problem. After all, a long battle is a heavy burden for both sides. But achieving this goal will require important concessions and compromises on both the political and diplomatic fronts, which remain a daunting task for now.
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