The United States has entered a white-hot stage, and the former Republican Trump won a big victory in the first primary, overwhelmingly defeating the other contenders and obtaining more than half of the votes, showing his strong influence within the Republican Party.
In stark contrast, the current ** Biden's approval rating has continued to decline, hitting a new low in more than a decade, and even below the level of Trump's administration.
Biden has also faced many challenges and doubts within the Democratic Party, and his policies and actions have not been widely recognized and supported. In such a situation, the likelihood of Trump's return to the White House has increased significantly, which has caused unprecedented panic among European leaders.
According to the "Reference News", the American **company** said that the World Economic Forum in Davos was held in Switzerland, and the news of Trump's primary victory quickly spread throughout Europe.
One of the geopolitical experts who participated in the forum said in an interview that everyone is talking about it, and there [Switzerland] is freezing and snowy, just under the ice, and you may see that every European leader is undoubtedly in extreme panic.
The expert's words have a pun on them, not only because the continent is in the midst of a cold winter, but also because Trump's election could be an icy blow to European politics.
He also noted that this (Trump's re-election) is the biggest risk to Europeans since the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989.
Why are European leaders so afraid of Trump's election? There are many reasons for this, but one of the important reasons is that Trump's policies and attitudes towards Europe during his tenure have made Europe feel tremendous pressure and unease.
Trump's "America First" policy has had an impact on Europe's security, environment and other fields. Trump's actions have made Europe feel that the United States is unreliable and unfriendly, and it has also impacted Europe's multilateralism and international cooperation.
European leaders are forced to find a balance between maintaining relations with the United States and defending their own interests, while also seeking a more independent and autonomous foreign policy.
However, Europe is also facing internal divisions and dilemmas, such as Brexit, the Franco-German leadership struggle, populism in Eastern Europe, and the economic crisis in Southern Europe, all of which limit European integration and unity.
As a result, Europe feels the uncertainty and potential crisis of Trump's re-election.
Trump's primary victory has sent European leaders in a panic, but does that mean Trump will really have a disastrous impact on Europe?
First, we need to recognize that just because Trump wins the primaries doesn't mean he will be elected. He also needs to face the challenge of the Democratic Party, as well as the choice of American voters.
While Biden's approval ratings have dropped, he still has some advantages, especially in some key swing states.
Moreover, the U.S. electoral system is not a simple majority, but a complex Electoral College system, which means that Trump needs to have enough support in every state to win the election, rather than relying only on the votes of a few large states.
Therefore, Trump's election is not a foregone conclusion, and there are many variables and uncertainties. Second, we also need to recognize that Trump's policies and actions are not entirely determined by him personally, but are constrained and influenced by the US system and national conditions.
The United States is a democratic country with a political system with a separation of powers, and Trump, as the **, needs to consult and cooperate with Congress, the Supreme Court, the states** and other institutions to implement his policies and actions.
Moreover, the United States is also a pluralistic society, with different interest groups and social forces, and Trump needs to take into account the demands and reactions of his supporters and opponents in order to maintain his political foundation and social stability.
Therefore, Trump's policies and actions are not arbitrary, but they are also not fully in line with international rules and multilateral cooperation.
Trump's foreign policy is largely guided by the principle of "America First", emphasizing American interests and dominance, and being skeptical and critical of Europe's alliances and multilateral institutions.
Among European leaders, the French Macron is the one who dares to confront Trump the most. Not only has he had fierce confrontations with Trump on several occasions, but he has also been a sharp critic of American democracy in public.
He said that he accepts the choice of the American people and will do his best to cooperate with whoever is elected, but he will not give up his principles and positions either.
Macron referred to his experience working with Trump, saying that they were sometimes able to find common goals, but there were also many differences. He said he had tried to persuade Trump not to withdraw from the Paris Agreement and the Iran nuclear deal, but without success.
Macron also said that he had dissuaded Trump from taking military action against Iran, but Trump still ordered the assassination of Iranian General Soleimani, causing tension and crisis in the Middle East.
Macron also boldly criticized the American democratic system, saying that the United States is a "democracy" that is going through a crisis.
Macron said that the United States is trying to prove the so-called "democracy" with **, but this way of counting heads is just a self-comforting "democracy", and he cannot elect a leader who represents the interests of Americans, but will lead Americans into the abyss.
Macron said that the American democratic system has lost its efficiency and fairness, is manipulated by money and power, and cannot solve the problems facing the United States, such as social inequality, racial discrimination, gun violence, and climate change.
He said that the democratic system in the United States is no longer a model for Europe and the world, but a system that needs to be reformed and renewed.
Macron's remarks are undoubtedly a provocation and challenge to Trump and the United States. He tried to establish his leadership position in Europe and internationally, to show his courage and wisdom, and at the same time to fight for more space and voice for French interests and prestige.
Macron is also trying to unite Europe and promote European integration and autonomy in response to US pressure and influence.
However, Macron's remarks may also trigger the resentment and retaliation of the United States, exacerbate the contradictions and conflicts between the United States and Europe, and even lead to the deterioration and rupture of US-European relations.
However, Trump's primary victory does not guarantee that he will be elected**. He also needs to face the challenge of the Democratic Party, as well as the choice of American voters.
Moreover, Trump's policies and actions are not completely determined by him personally, but are constrained and influenced by the US system and national conditions. Therefore, Trump's influence is not impossible to resist and overcome.