Wall Street Breakfast FM Radio February 15, 2024

Mondo Social Updated on 2024-02-15

CPI day" turned the day, U.S. stocks **, the Nasdaq rose more than 1%, and the Dow bid farewell to the low level of this month. Among the seven major technology stocks, Apple fell alone, Nvidia rose nearly 25%,This week, it once again recorded a record high, surpassing Google in terms of market capitalization。AI concept "demon stocks".SMCI rose 11%., hitting a record high on the eighth day in a row. Lyft rose 35% after the earnings report.

The UK CPI unexpectedly did not accelerate growth, and the two-year UK bond yield fell by more than 10 basis points. At one point, the two-year Treasury yield fell more than 10 basis points from its two-month high. The U.S. dollar index retreated after hitting a three-month high. The yen has not recovered 150 after a three-month low.

Bitcoin rushed to 5$20,000, another high in more than two yearsThe market capitalization exceeded $1 trillion for the first time in more than two years。U.S. oil rose more than 1% in the intraday session and then turned downEnded a seven-game winning streak, which fell to a more than two-week high. U.S. natural gas hit a new low in more than three years on the sixth day, falling nearly 6% intraday. **Five consecutive declines, the revenue hit a two-month low. Lunxi stopped six consecutive yangs, London copper fell back and fell to a nearly three-month low, and London nickel rose to a two-week high for three consecutive years.

In the Chinese market, the U.S. stock market session,The China Concept Stock Index rose more than 3%., Bitcoin mining machine giant Canaan Technology rose more than 20%, Weilai and Xiaopeng Motors rose more than 5%, and Jingdong and Station B rose more than 4%; The offshore yuan regained 7 after hitting a new low in nearly three months23, once rose more than 100 points.

Response".Real estate whitelistThe four major banks have successively posted the schedule;Report: The total financing of 65 typical real estate companies in January increased by 25% month-on-month5%, and the scale of bond issuance increased by 274%。

BerkshireQ4ApplesIncrease your holdings in ChevronwithOccidental PetroleumAlibabaobtained".Big shortsAdded to the number one heavy positionCanada's largest pension** also entered the market

BofA investigationShow long US stocks".Seven Sisters"YesThe most crowded transactions at the moment;Billionaires have seen almost all of their wealth growth this year come from AI.

Zuckerberg Vision Pro testThe Quest 3 is better, comfortable, more cost-effective, and the Vision Pro screen resolution is higher

The most talked-about AI applicationsMicrosoft Office AI falls short of expectations, "Useful, but not worth the price"; Microsoft Cloud Azurescale".Catch up quickly"Amazon Cloud AWS.

IsraelCalled GazaCeasefire negotiations have not progressed

U.S. stocks: The Dow rose 04%, the S&P 500 rose 096%, Nasdaq rose 13%。

European stocks: Europe's STOXX 600 index closed up 05%。Germany's DAX 30 index closed up 038%。France's CAC 40 index closed up 068%。Britain's FTSE 100 index closed up 075%。

A shares: A shares are closed.

Bond market: The yield on the benchmark US 10-year Treasury note fell 550 basis points at 42593%。The two-year Treasury yield fell 842 basis points at 45736%。

commodity: WTI closed down 1 in March$23, down 158% to 76$64 barrel. Brent closed down 1 percent in April$17, down 141% to 81$60 barrel. COMEX closed down 014% to 2004$30 oz. LME copper closed down $63 at $8,197 tonnes.

Domestic macro

In response to the "real estate whitelist",The four major banks have successively posted the schedule;Report: The total financing of 65 typical real estate companies in January increased by 25% month-on-month5%, and the scale of bond issuance increased by 274%。According to the Shanghai ** Daily, at present, the four major state-owned banks of industry, agriculture, China and construction, joint-stock banks such as Industrial Bank, China CITIC Bank and Everbright Bank, and urban commercial banks such as Bank of Shanghai have successively released news on the progress and effectiveness of the work related to the implementation of the urban real estate financing coordination mechanism. According to the report released by CRIC Research, although the "white list" opens the gate for the financing of real estate enterprises, not all real estate companies or real estate projects can obtain financing from financial institutions, and major banks are still cautious about real estate loans, considering that the debt repayment pressure of real estate enterprises in the first half of the year is still largeFinancial support policies need to be accelerated to solve the bottleneck of the last mile. Domestic companies

Alibaba was overweighted by the "big short".The number one heavy position, Canada's largest pension**Also entered。Michael Burry's Scion Asset Management increased its stake in Alibaba by 250,000 shares, to 750,000 shares with a market capitalization of $5.81 million; Increased holdings in JD.com by 750,000 shares to 200,000 shares, with a market capitalization of $5.78 million. Ali and JD.com are also Canada's largest pension **cppib in the fourth quarter of last year. TCL Zhonghuan's acquisition of Maxeon has a floating loss of 2.1 billion yuan. maxeon's last trading day** was on 503 US dollars, the market value of TCL Zhonghuan's position is only 61.8 million US dollars, equivalent to 4 yuan4.5 billion yuan, with a floating loss of 214.6 billion yuan, with a floating loss ratio of 8284%。TCL Zhonghuan also holds Maxeon 13The RMB5.4 billion convertible bond will mature in 2027. In total, TCL Zhonghuan has invested nearly 4 billion yuan in Maxeon. Overseas macro

The "new bond king" warns: the current stock price level of U.S. stocks is the same as the start of the last bear market in 2022Similar。Bank of America survey showsLong U.S. stocks "Seven Sisters" is currently the most crowded trade;Billionaires have seen almost all of their wealth growth this year come from AI. In the Bank of America survey, more than 60% of the world's ** managers believe that long seven technology giants is the most crowded transaction at present. Among the billionaires on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, their net asset value increased by $124 billion this year due to their holdings of AI concept stocks, accounting for 96% of the total new wealth this year. The US CPI exceeded expectations in January and exploded the market, and the PCE data on February 29 became the focus of attention. PCE will be more important than CPI。Da Mo**, the core PCE month-on-month growth rate in January will rebound slightly to 029%, and the timing of the rate cut was postponed to June. The yen fell below 150, Japan's premium currency ** sternly warned: ".Ready to respond 24 hours a day, 365 days a yearJapan will announce its GDP and may fall to the top of the world.

Fourth, it lags behind GermanyAccording to the analysis, in the next few years, Germany and Japan will be surpassed by India. Exchange rate depreciation and an ageing population are the main factors. Bitcoin briefly broke through 520,000 US dollars, with a market value of more than a trillion US dollars, and funds flow out of **. On Wednesday, Bitcoin's market cap topped the $1 trillion mark for the first time since late 2021, surpassing Tesla, TSMC, Eli Lilly, and Berkshire to become the 10th most valuable asset in the world. However, the analysis points out that the inflow of funds received by bitcoin seems to come at the expense of the outflow of funds from **ETF. Israel claims that no progress has been made in the Gaza ceasefire talks. According to CCTV News, the Israeli Prime Minister's Office issued a statement on the 14th, saying that Israel has not received any new plan for the release of detainees in the negotiations, and Israel will not compromise with Hamas's "whimsical" demands, and only Hamas can make concessions to make progress in the negotiations. According to Israel**, due to the lack of progress in the negotiations,Israel will not send a representative to Cairo to participate in the negotiations on the 15th.

Overseas companies

Zuckerberg Vision Pro test: Quest 3 is better, comfortable, more cost-effective, and the Vision Pro screen resolution is higher. Zuckerberg's review shows the growing competition between Apple and Meta in the field of mixed reality devices. Xiaozha said the Quest headset is "more comfortable", with a deeper library of immersive content, a wider field of view, more accurate hand tracking, and a brighter screen, while the Vision Pro screen has a higher resolution and its eye tracking is also "very good." Berkshire Q4ApplesIncreased holdings in Chevron and Occidental Petroleum。However, Apple is still the largest heavy stock, accounting for 50% of the disclosed holdings, and other heavy stocks include Bank of America, American Express, Coca-Cola, and Chevron. Cisco's sales growth stagnated, lowered its first-quarter performance guidance, announced a global layoff of 5%, and its stock price fell more than 5% after hours3%。

AI topics are relevant

With the blessing of AI, Microsoft Cloud Azure scale".Catch up quickly"Amazon Cloud AWS. Microsoft's cloud business has reached three-quarters of the scale of Amazon Cloud, and the latest revenue growth rate of cloud business is twice that of Amazon. The most talked-about AI application, Microsoft Office AINot as expected, "Useful, but not worth the price"; ”。According to the report, Excel and PowerPoint software, which integrate with the Copilot service, have some flaws and are very error-prone, and the trial users think that the $30 monthly subscription fee does not seem to be so "worth the money". Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang advocates "national AI":Each country should take control of its AI infrastructure autonomously。He stressed that this approach allows the country to have its own smart production, thereby protecting its own history and culture, data security, and economy. Analysts believe that from the perspective of market potential, Huang's concept of "national AI" is particularly important to Nvidia, and if each country is committed to building its own AI infrastructure, Nvidia's AI-accelerated hardware products will cover every country in the world. OpenAI is developing a web search product that is partly powered by Bing, a division of Microsoft.

U.S. retail sales in January.

U.S. TIC Report.

The number of initial jobless claims in the United States last week.

U.S. industrial production, manufacturing output for January.

San Francisco Fed President Daly speaks.

ECB President Christine Lagarde speaks.

Japan's real GDP in the fourth quarter.

UK flash GDP for Q4.

The IEA publishes its monthly** market report.

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