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Introduction (500 words):
The issue of Second Thomas Shoal in the South China Sea has long been in the spotlight, involving sovereignty disputes between countries such as China and the Philippines. Recently, the Philippines conducted a successful resupply and rotation operation at Second Thomas Shoal, and one notable thing is that the operation was not expelled by Chinese coast guard vessels. Behind this change is the exchange and communication between China and the Philippines on the South China Sea issue, as well as the common understanding of the situation on the ground. This article will discuss the policy adjustments and strategic shifts between China and the Philippines on the Ren'ai Jiao issue, and put forward prospects for future developments.
According to a statement from the China Coast Guard, the Philippines dispatched a small civilian ship on February 2 to replenish the ** of Ren'ai Jiao, and the Chinese Coast Guard followed the surveillance throughout the process. The action drew the attention of the China Coast Guard, which said it has sovereignty and law enforcement authority over Second Thomas Shoal and its adjacent waters. In previous similar incidents, the China Coast Guard took a more assertive stance, taking actions to dissuade, warn and expel them.
However, it is worth noting that the expulsion of the Chinese coast guard ship did not occur during this resupply operation, and the Philippines** and the military also emphasized this. This may be related to the recent talks between China and the Philippines, during which the two sides discussed strategies for dealing with the situation on the ground. In a briefing issued after the meeting, China's Assistant Minister Nong Rong and Philippine Deputy Minister Lazaro stressed the importance of handling the situation on the ground. This could mean that the Chinese side is somewhat open to the Philippines' actions to replenish supplies and rotate personnel.
In a statement issued yesterday, the Philippine military and coast guard called the resupply operation to Second Thomas Shoal a successful operation and described it as "perfect and precise." According to the Philippines, a small Philippine civilian ship approached the side of the landing ship Sierra Madre and began to carry supplies. This shows that the Philippine military has made substantial progress on the issue of Second Thomas Shoal, and that the living needs of the personnel stationed on Second Thomas Shoal can be effectively maintained through resupply operations.
The success of the resupply operation also benefited from the common understanding and tacit understanding between China and the Philippines on the situation on the ground. China's approach to the Second Thomas Shoal issue has been fine-tuned, shifting from "dissuasion, warning, and expulsion" to "full follow-up and vigilance." The Philippines said it would not send coast guard ships into Ren'ai Jiao, transport illegal materials, or speculate on supply operations. This shared understanding and mutual respect has facilitated the Philippine resupply operations.
During the talks between China and the Philippines, there was a clear discussion on the situation on the ground at Ren'ai Jiao. The two sides agreed to further improve the sea-related communication mechanism and properly handle maritime emergencies, especially the situation on the ground at Ren'ai Jiao. It can be seen from the briefing of the meeting that the two sides have a certain consensus on the situation on the ground, that is, they respect each other's presence in and its adjacent waters, and at the same time do not seek to expand their respective presence on Second Thomas Shoal.
There is no doubt that China still insists on its full sovereignty over Ren'ai Jiao on the issue of sovereignty. However, the Philippine side has put forward the need for material replenishment and personnel rotation of personnel stationed at Second Thomas Shoal. After comprehensive consideration, the Chinese side agreed in principle that the Philippines may, under the supervision of the Chinese side, send civilian vessels to Ren'ai Jiao on a regular basis for the supply of daily necessities and the rotation of personnel, on the premise of maintaining sovereignty over Ren'ai Jiao. This decision may explain why the Chinese coast guard vessels have exercised relative restraint in the resupply operation.
This consensus and adjustment has also reduced the confrontation and hype between China and the Philippines. In the past, there have been many fierce confrontations and collisions between Chinese and Philippine coast guard vessels in the waters off Ren'ai Jiao. However, according to the latest situation, the Philippines has not made a big report and exaggeration, and the Philippine military and coast guard have not made any further statements on this matter. This shows that the Philippines has instructed internally to deal with the Ren'ai Jiao issue in a low-key manner in the future.
In the near future, we may not see any more fierce confrontations and collisions between Chinese and Philippine coast guard vessels in the waters off Second Thomas Shoal. This will make the situation at Ren'ai Jiao relatively calm, and at the same time, it will also reduce the room for the United States to hype up the South China Sea issue. For China, this provides more time and options for a final settlement in the South China Sea.
The Philippine side has shown its "procrastinating" attitude by handling the Ren'ai Jiao issue in a low-key manner and avoiding direct confrontation with China. The Philippines is well aware that it cannot compete with China in terms of power in the South China Sea, so it is a way to reduce the likelihood of tensions and maintain relations between the two sides.
In short, China and the Philippines have reached a certain consensus and adjustment on the Ren'ai Jiao issue, and the two sides have fine-tuned their attitudes in handling the situation on the spot. This provides an opportunity for further communication between the two sides and the resolution of the South China Sea issue. China and the Philippines should continue to maintain communication and cooperation, strengthen mutual trust, promote a peaceful settlement of the South China Sea issue, and contribute to regional stability and development. Of course, the Ren'ai Jiao issue remains a point of contention in the South China Sea, and an appropriate solution needs to be found through the efforts of both sides and the participation of the international community.
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