Recently, tensions have risen on the peninsula, and North Korea took tough steps against South Korea earlier this month, scrapping an agreement with South Korea to promote economic cooperation and dismantling the first agency that promoted inter-Korean relations. That suggests North Korea is preparing to sever diplomatic ties with South Korea, but South Korea has also responded quickly by formally establishing diplomatic relations with Cuba, a move that has brought a sense of surprise to North Korea.
According to South Korean media reports, on the 14th, South Korea announced the formal establishment of diplomatic relations with Cuba, and the two sides signed relevant documents at the United Nations headquarters. Today, North Korea and Syria are the only UN member states that do not have diplomatic relations with South Korea. The backdrop to the establishment of diplomatic relations between South Korea and Cuba is quite dramatic, and it comes against the backdrop of North Korea's "legitimate occupation of South Korea" even in an emergency, after North Korea has designated South Korea as its "number one enemy." This decision undoubtedly came as a surprise to North Korea, but it also confirmed the reality that in today's international arena, there are no permanent friends, only eternal interests.
The U.S. issued an immediate statement on the matter, saying it respects South Korea's right to determine its own diplomatic relations, while stressing that the U.S.-South Korea alliance remains impregnable. Some outsiders have questioned whether South Korea is "stabbing the United States in the back" because the United States has been imposing sanctions on Cuba that have not yet been lifted. As an ally of the United States, it is impossible for the ROK to make decisions on its own, and the United States naturally has its own calculations on this matter. This event will trigger a new political landscape, in which the complex relationship between the United States and Cuba also plays a role.
North Korea's pressure and threats to South Korea, South Korea did not succumb. In fact, North Korea immediately showed its countermeasures, and Kim Jong-un's sister Kim Yo-jong openly expressed her willingness to improve relations with Japan and hoped that Japan would let go of its hostile ideology and obsession. The shift also suggests that North Korea does not want to see a further strengthening of the paramilitary alliance between the United States, Japan and South Korea amid continued pressure from the United States and South Korea. It is also a clear signal to Japan that South Korea will not bow its head under threats and pressure.
North Korea will not give in to South Korea's retaliation. The recent missile test campaign shows that North Korea is preparing for the worst-case scenario, and the ultimate course of the situation remains unknown. In the process, the United States came out to express its support for Japan-North Korea engagement, but expressed a tragic view of the "abduction issue." This shows the implicit intention of the United States to exert pressure on the DPRK on this issue and disrupt the course of the Japan-DPRK talks.
At present, the situation on the peninsula is complex and volatile, and North Korea has conducted several missile tests, including cruise missiles carrying nuclear warheads. The actions of the DPRK show that they are preparing for the worst. In the face of this situation, the international community is full of uncertainty about the future direction of the Korean Peninsula.
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