The United States will attract worldwide attention in 2024, and Biden's Democratic Party has opened the curtain of the party's election campaign. 
Biden could not hide the good news of victory in the first battle (NBC).A few days ago, in South Carolina, the first stop of the Democratic Party primary, Biden won with 96 votesA landslide victory of 4% confirmed an early victory in the South Carolina primary. According to NBC, the Democratic state of South Carolina has voted 75 percent of the votes, leaving 380,000 votes have not yet been drawn, and Biden currently has 108,753 votes, with a vote rate of 964 percent, beating the main rivals political activist Marianne Williamson (2,254 votes) and Minnesota Rep. Dean Phillips (1,848 votes).
South Carolina Democrats believe Biden is the most likely Democratic candidate to defeat Trump in November, with many voters praising Biden's handling of key issues such as immigration, health care and the economy, and emphasizing that Trump would be the country if elected.
In the past few days, a number of national polls by independent pollsters have shown that Biden's approval rating lags behind the former Trump, but CNN said on the 3rd that these national polls are of little significance, because ** is to win state elections through the Electoral College. For now, Biden's re-election strategy would be to win the key Great Lakes states, not the Sun Belt swing states. In 2020, CNN said, the most intense battleground states were either key states around the Great Lakes (Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin) or the Sunshine Belt (Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina). 
In this election, as long as Biden can win all the states in any of the aforementioned regions, and win other states that he won in 2020, he will receive more than half of the 270 electoral votes and be successfully re-elected. CNN mentioned that two polls released by Fox News on the 1st showed that Biden and Trump were tied in Wisconsin; Biden won the state by less than a percentage point in 2020. As for Georgia, another state where Biden also won by less than one percentage point in 2020, polls show that Trump is now eight percentage points ahead of Biden.
At the same time, Trump has a clear advantage in Arizona, Nevada polls are generally in favor of Trump, and the limited polls in North Carolina are not ideal for Biden. But according to polls at Franklin & Marshall College and Quinnipiac University in Pennsylvania, Biden received slightly more votes in Pennsylvania than Trump; It's just that his advantage is within the margin of error.
The weakest state Biden surveyed on the Great Lakes battlefield was Michigan, but he did better in the Michigan polls than any sunband swing state. Biden is doing better in the polls among likely voters in Michigan than registered voters. The New York Times Nyt Siena College fall poll found that Biden and Trump are evenly matched in likely voter support, but Biden trails Trump by five percentage points among registered voters. CNN notes that the fact that a look at national polls shows that Biden is doing better in the Great Lakes than in the sunshine belt makes sense. However, even if Biden wins these three states, he will have to win the other states he won in 2020 at the same time to get the minimum of 270 electoral votes to win by a majority. This means that Biden cannot afford to make any mistakes. Biden's national approval ratings among Latino and African-American voters are at the lowest level in Democratic history, and if he wants to improve his polling performance in the Sunbelt, he must work to boost his Latino and/or African-American voter ratings by November. 
Biden interacts with people at a restaurant in Detroit on February 1 to canvass for votes (Reuters).The United States is a United States, and its states are relatively independent like "countries within states", so its electoral system is very different from other European and American countries, and it is an electoral system. Electors are elected by the electors in the federal vote**, so the results of the polls are likely to be very different from the results of the actual elections. With the current international and domestic situation facing the United States, Biden's real public opinion base is obviously better than Trump's, especially his attitude towards immigrants and minorities and welfare policies, the overall world economic recession and foreign policy are also a help for Biden. One thing to emphasize is that the results of the US poll are not necessarily the true intentions of voters, and it may only be an emotional catharsis of dissatisfaction with Biden**, which does not mean that he really supports Trump during the election. 
The recent attention to pop diva Taylor Swift in the United States illustrates the uncertainty of public opinion itself. According to the New York Times, the Biden campaign is looking for ways to win the support of Thales, who said that last fall Thales called on fans to register online to become voters, and more than 35,000 people registered in a day, showing her amazing appeal.
USA Today reported that Thales' fans are mostly young liberal voters, and Republicans believe that Thales' expansion of liberal influence may have an impact. Sean Hannity, a die-hard Trump supporter and host of Fox News, recently accused Thales of misunderstanding Republican values and alluding to her lack of understanding of Biden's policies and background, warning of the risks of endorsing Biden. In response to Hannity's remarks, American liberal writer and "SHERO News" commentator Amee Vanderpool retorted on platform X: "Dare to warn young women who are richer and more powerful than you to think twice before supporting Biden is really the ultimate white male privilege in 2016." Right-wing commentator Jack Posobiec also questioned the gossip about Thales and her boyfriend, which was actually a propaganda ploy to boost the NFL game, suggesting that Thales and conservative singer Kid Rock and pro-Trump rock singer Ted Nugent co-host concert. Kayla Wong, a 28-year-old Taylors fan, complained: "These arguments don't hold water, and they make everyone think that the Republican Party wants to turn things around because of its shrinking influence." In addition, a new poll released by Quinnipiac University found that Biden's female voter support is rising, along with former Trump and former columnist Carroll (E. Murray).Jean Carroll) lost another defamation case, giving a glimmer of hope for Biden's re-election prospects. The Hill reported that 58 percent of women in the survey said they supported Biden, up from 53 percent in December. According to the Pew Research Center, Biden won 55% of women's votes in 2020; Trump won 44 percent, up from 39 percent in 2016. Tim Malloy, a polling analyst at Kunibekstan University, pointed out that Biden's head-to-head confrontation with Trump in the past few weeks, driven by female voters, has gradually turned into a slight lead. There are all kinds of indications that even if the current public opinion is more in line with the real attitude of the voters, there may be a huge reversal. 
Trump himself is riddled with lawsuits, his foreign policy allies are generally unacceptable, his attitude towards ethnic minorities and social welfare at home remains an obstacle that he cannot overcome, and his outstanding personality and scandalous history are also his flaws.
Of course, there are two key factors in this, that is, who Trump's running partner is, and even whether the final Republican candidate is Trump or not remains to be determined.