Recently, North Korea has taken the initiative to amend its constitution, designating South Korea as its number one enemy and dismantling a large number of relevant ministries related to the peaceful reunification of the Korean Peninsula. This move directly means that if North and South Korea seek reunification, the only way will be military reunification. This signal release has had a profound impact on the pattern of Northeast Asia. Although North Korea may appear to be poor and weak on the outside, judging from its recent frequent actions, its national defense strength has gradually improved, and even gives people a sign of starting a regional arms race.
North Korea's ongoing underwater nuclear tests, coupled with the deployment of nuclear submarines, suggest that it has a more robust nuclear deterrent. This news also has a negative impact on China. Although Sino-DPRK relations have been friendly for a long time, the DPRK is widely regarded as a vassal of China. In this context, the interdependence of the two sides is on the rise. If North Korea insists on escalating the situation on the peninsula at this time, China will find itself in a dilemma. On the one hand, the situation on the peninsula may affect the security of China's borders; How China responds to North Korea's request for help has also become a difficult question.
Against this background, the North Korean side acted frequently. In the Northeast Asian pattern, there is another important major power involved, namely Russia. Recently, there have been frequent interactions between Russia and the DPRK, with the DPRK foreign minister visiting Russia, Putin personally receiving him, and holding a strategic meeting with Kim Jong-un. After this strategic meeting, the two sides reached important cooperation, and the DPRK began to support Russian military equipment, and Russia also provided military technical support to the DPRK. This close cooperation has raised concerns about the situation in Northeast Asia.
On the surface, Russia is mired in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and relations between Russia and the United States are strained, so they can only cooperate with China in the Far East. But for Russia, they are far from satisfied. Sino-Russian cooperation is mainly at the economic level, and the conflict between Russia and Ukraine in the past two years has not only affected the Russian economy, but also posed a test for military reserves. In terms of military cooperation, it is difficult for China and Russia to have substantive cooperation, which is inconsistent with China's diplomatic strategy. Russia seeks more partners, and at this time the DPRK naturally becomes an important partner in Russian military equipment. During this period, the two sides will take what they need, with Russia ensuring the sustainability of military equipment** and North Korea receiving key technical information. This cooperation has exacerbated China's concerns about the situation in Northeast Asia.
Russia is facing a second term this year, with Putin expected to complete his re-election in March. The DPRK continues to send representatives to visit Russia, and Russia will also pay a return visit. Putin's visit to North Korea after his re-election may become an agenda, and the purpose of this visit is not simple. In the face of frequent exchanges between the DPRK and Russia, China, as a participant in Northeast Asia, also sent its deputy foreign minister to visit and meet with the DPRK foreign minister. The move shows that China is trying to detect whether there has been a major adjustment in North Korea's foreign policy. From the perspective of China's consistent policy and the maintenance of regional peace, China will try its best to avoid getting involved in the so-called "North Korea 2."0 war", regardless of whether Russia is making small moves behind its back. China will use diplomatic communication to avoid escalation on the peninsula, because the United States is only aiming to pressure North Korea, not to open up a new battlefield at this moment.
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