With the U.S. election just around the corner, what is the outlook for U.S. China relations?

Mondo International Updated on 2024-02-19

The United States will hold a ** election in 2024. The incumbent Biden has announced his re-election, and the person competing against him is likely to be his predecessor Trump, who won the Democratic primary. An important question in this election is, will the United States elect a leader who is resolute about China? This is of great significance for the future relations between China and the United States.

In recent years, Sino-US relations have faced unprecedented difficulties and challenges. Trump launched a war against China, imposing various repressions and sanctions on China from all angles, which made the relationship between the United States and China fall into a "cold" state for a while. However, this hostility towards China is not an American created by Trump alone. Since the Obama administration, the United States has been committed to containing China's rise and maintaining its position as the hegemon, implementing a strategy called "rebalance to the Asia-Pacific." The United States has never really valued and recognized China's growth and interests, on the contrary, it has always regarded China as a potential competitor and threat.

The U.S. approach to China is at a fork in the road. China and the United States are currently in a dangerous state, and if they continue to develop further, it will be difficult to establish mutual cooperation and mutual trust. The pattern of power between China and the United States has also changed, and the United States has surrounded China in all directions, not only failing to curb the rapid growth of China's economy, but also causing the United States itself to be impacted, with a series of problems such as inflation, debt crisis, chain breakage, and industrial recession. If the United States continues to adopt a hostile and confrontational attitude towards China, the cost will be even greater. In addition, the United States is under a lot of pressure because its international strategy is to deal with Eastern Europe, the Middle East, and maintain its influence in the Asia-Pacific region. So the U.S. has to take a tougher stance on keeping it on China, or talk to China and make concessions.

Now it seems that both Biden and Trump want to maintain good ties with China. After Biden took office, he did not cancel the Trump-era policy against China, but did not increase pressure on China, on the contrary, he expressed his willingness to engage in dialogue and cooperation with China. At the same time, Biden also clearly expressed the position of the United States on "** and demanded that the two sides of the strait deal with it in a peaceful way, showing that he has no intention of interfering in China's internal affairs." After winning the party election, Trump publicly praised his friendship and cooperation with the leaders of China and Russia, and pointed out the importance of maintaining friendship with the leaders of major powers. Some analysts have pointed out that both Biden and Trump will remain "stable" without fundamentally changing the relationship between China and the United States.

However, US political circles are not completely devoid of anti-China voices. One of the Democratic lawmakers, Nikki Haley, has made some radical remarks against China in public, calling China an "enemy" and calling for tougher sanctions against China. Haley's unwarranted criticism of China before she was elected shows that there are still some "hawks" in American politics who may pose a huge hidden danger to the stability between China and the United States. In fact, since 2022, the far-right forces in the United States and Western countries have gradually risen due to a series of internal and external crises. The rise of such ultra-rightist forces poses a serious threat to China's international situation and must be taken seriously.

Overall, the U.S. election is of great significance to the relationship between China and the United States. The friendly cooperation between China and the United States is beneficial to both sides and to the peace and development of the entire world. I hope that the United States will make the right decision in mutual respect and cooperation with China and will not fall into confrontation and conflict again.

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