The "constitutional amendment" of the Philippines has become an irreconcilable contradiction between the two families, Duartel and Marcos. A few days ago, former Rodrigo Duterte and Marcos Jr. held rallies one after another, scolding each other and even carrying out "personal attacks" on each other, completely tearing apart the differences between the two families. But this is only a signal flare for the beginning of the "struggle" between the two families, and the contradictions are intensifying, even developing in the direction of "civil war".
Duterte shouted the slogan of "independence".
You must know that in the last-for-tat confrontation between Duterte and Marcos Jr., Duterte even shouted to call on the military and police to stand up and "defend the Constitution", and these words have carried a lot of weight. After Marcos Jr. responded, he set off to visit Vietnam, and as soon as he landed in Vietnam, Duterte issued a heavier warning, saying that he wanted to "make for independence". Judging by Duterte's actions, this may not just be a warning, but an ultimatum to Marcos Jr.
The contradiction between Duterte and Marcos Jr.] First of all, Duterte held a special press conference, during which he specifically mentioned the act of promoting "constitutional amendment" by collecting signatures, saying that if such an act is reasonable, then the same means can be used to promote an "independence referendum" in Mindanao and make Mindanao "independent". This statement shows that Marcos Jr.'s actions to promote the "constitutional amendment" are likely to be irrational, and if such unreasonable actions can become reasonable, then Duterte's promotion of an "independence referendum" is also feasible.
And this proves that Duterte is really thinking about it. If Duterte is to be stopped, he must admit that he made a mistake in promoting the "constitutional amendment", and once he does so, the probability of success of the "constitutional amendment" will be greatly reduced. It can even be said that against the backdrop of a great risk of divergence between the north and south of the Philippines, once Mindanao is in turmoil, it is very likely that other regions will follow suit, and the Philippines may be in a mess at that time.
Duterte warned Marcos Jr. at the rallySeparatist sentiment is rife in Mindanao
Secondly, for the Philippines, Mindanao has always been special. On the one hand, the separatist sentiment in Mindanao is extremely serious, and it is the main area of rebel activities in the Philippines, which can be called the "base camp" of the armed forces. And this separatist sentiment is hardly to be eased in the short term, because this contradiction existed as early as the colonial period, and almost every country that colonized the Philippines met with tough resistance in Mindanao, so much so that these countries had to adopt a conciliatory attitude and only allow Mindanao to remain in a "semi-independent state". Under such circumstances, Mindanao's sense of belonging to the Philippines is not strong, coupled with the unbalanced development of the north and south of the Philippines, and the people's lives and economic development in the southern region are constantly squeezed by the north, which has made this separatist sentiment continue to grow for many years.
Based on the above factors, shouting "independence slogans" in Mindanao has almost become the norm, and it happens every now and then. Last year, for example, some Philippine lawmakers also proposed that if Marcos Jr. adheres to the current China policy, Mindanao should become "independent." It can be said that Mindanao's "independence streak" has become a thorn in Marcos Jr.'s heart.
Marcos Jr. is still in Vietnam] On the other hand, Duterte's significance to Mindanao is different from that of many Philippines in the past. Mindanao is Duterte's "hometown", and Duterte is also the first person in the history of the Philippines to go out of Mindanao**. Combined with the Duterte family's voice on the ground, even if Duterte has stepped down, he still has a lot of influence. During Duterte's tenure, he also alleviated Mindanao's "independent mentality" to a certain extent.
It can be said that Duterte has used many facts to prove his influence in Mindanao. Now that Duterte has begun to shout "old family help", how can Marcos Jr. not be worried, it is not an exaggeration to say that once the situation gets out of control, those *** armed forces may use force, and there may be a "civil war" situation in the Philippines at that time.
Duterte] may also be aware of the potential impact of Duterte's remarks that the Philippines**'s attitude towards this is very subtle. Some politicians who support Duterte also disagree, arguing that it is not constitutional, according to the Philippines**. In any case, Duterte's style is not impulsive, as was reflected in his administration. The slogan of "independence" is more regarded as a political bargaining chip, trying to make Marcos Jr. give up the "constitutional amendment", after all, once the "constitutional amendment" is successful, it means that the Marcos family's interference in Philippine politics will be greatly increased, and the Duterte family is likely to lose.
Moreover, the attitude of the United States is also crucial. Judging from the actions of the United States in recent years, the Philippines has been included in its so-called "sphere of influence" by the United States. Once the Philippines is in chaos, it will do more harm than good to the United States, so once the contradictions intensify, the United States will not sit idly by.