On February 7, when accepting American journalist Carlsonson, Putin frankly pointed out that Ukraine and Belarus do not have the status of sovereign states, and the integration of Russia, Belarus and Ukraine is their demand.
This is the fundamental purpose of Russia's annexation of Ukraine: to conquer Ukraine, annex Belarus, and thus achieve its fundamental strategy. However, this strategy does not conform to the trend of history and the post-World War II international order, and it cannot be realized at all, and this is the biggest mistake Russia has made in its strategic concept.
One. Not in line with the historical trend.
Annexation between countries, waging wars for the annexation of territories, is a thought and action that does not conform to the trend of history.
In the process of Russia's rise, there were 8 major wars with Sweden between 1561 and 1809, Peter the Great led Russia in the 5th Russo-Swedish War in 1700, defeated the Nordic power Sweden, obtained the mouth of the Gulf of Finland and a large area of surrounding land, and built St. Petersburg;
During the reign of Catherine the Great from 1762 to 1796, the Russian Empire expanded to the south and west, gaining parts of right-bank Ukraine, Belarus and Lithuania in the three partitions of Poland by Russia and Austria, and the Black Sea coast and Crimea ...... against Turkey
Peter the Great. All of the above are in line with the trend of the times: combining vertical and horizontal, and the weak eat the strong. But the present is no longer that era, otherwise wars will continue to break out between countries, with the lethality of modern **, if so, humanity may eventually destroy itself!
Two. Not in line with the post-World War II international order.
After the catastrophe of two world wars, mankind finally established the international order with the UN Charter at its core.
In the UN Charter, it is clearly stipulated that the territory and sovereignty of member states are sacred and inviolable. Russia was a successor state to the USSR and one of the founding states.
Annexation of Ukraine and even Belarus. This first violated the 1991 signing of the Belovezh Agreement between Russia, Ukraine and Belarus, which is also known as the agreement.
About the establishment. Independent state.
The agreement of the consortium", as the name suggests, the three countries recognized their independence from each other.
In violation of the UN Charter, Russia, Belarus and Ukraine have been internationally recognized as member states since the day they joined the UN.
On December 8, 1991, the leaders of Russia, Ukraine and Belarus signed the Belovezh Agreement, marking the dissolution of the Soviet Union.
Strictly speaking, it is understandable to say that Russia sent troops because of NATO's eastward expansion to Ukraine, which affects its security, and then sent troops to demand Ukraine's neutrality; The earliest request to support the independence of the two states of Luda and Donton did not violate the UN Charter. However, by the time the referendums in the four regions of eastern Ukraine were annexed to Russia, they had already made a strategic mistake: they had lost their legitimacy in sending troops and had fallen into isolation.
It turns out that its original strategic concept was subversive: to subvert the post-World War II international order!
Three. Conclusion.
Putin once said: When Peter the Great occupied St. Petersburg, which country recognized it?
It means: as long as you occupy it, for a long time, it's okay. But now is not the era of Peter the Great, from the current point of view, although the United States aid to Ukraine bill is stuck in the House of Representatives, but a number of European countries are desperately supporting Ukraine, following the United Kingdom, France signed a mutual security agreement with Ukraine on February 16, and then Germany, Italy, Poland and other dozens of countries are waiting to sign.
Europe has begun to rapidly increase military spending and increase military production capacity, and it can be expected that once 2024 passes, EU ammunition production will be enough to support Ukraine to fight the war of attrition.
In a few years, when Europe is armed again, Russia will face an even more difficult situation to manage:
It cannot subvert the world order, and its backlash will also be world-wide!