The natural transition of rivers and lakes is to welcome the New Year. 1. Turning Point in the Situation between China and the Philippines: In the long-standing dispute between China and the Philippines in the South China Sea, China and the Philippines have had some differences of varying degrees over the South China Sea issue. However, for the sake of the long-term interests of both sides, China and the Philippines have been working hard to resolve their contradictions peacefully, and have held many meetings on the South China Sea issue. At the eighth meeting, China and the Philippines finally reached a consensus that the Philippines was willing to work with China to manage the situation at Second Thomas Shoal. However, there are deeper reasons behind the Philippines' display of sincerity. At this inflection point in China-Philippines relations, people have always been suspicious of the change in the attitude of the Philippines. Is the change in attitude of the Philippine side out of sincerity, or does it have other intentions? The Philippines' attitude towards China is like "a dog can't change its", which seems friendly on the surface, but in fact it often subverts the preamble.
In the dispute over the South China Sea dispute between China and the Philippines, China has always been known for resolutely defending its claims. In the face of the Philippines' provocations, China will never show weakness. Chinese coast guard vessels patrol the vicinity of Second Thomas Shoal day and night to defend China's legitimate rights and interests. In order to show its firm stance on the sovereignty of Ren'ai Jiao, CCTV has also launched relevant programs to let the world clearly understand the historical origin of Ren'ai Jiao. This series of actions underscores China's intolerance in safeguarding its territorial sovereignty. In stark contrast, the Philippines has frequently occupied the moral high ground on the Ren'ai Jiao issue, and even if it pays lip service to reach a consensus with China, it actually runs counter to it, like stepping on a seesaw of the bottom line of its strategy. If there is no behind-the-scenes manipulation by external forces, how can the Philippines dare to act so recklessly? Although China hopes to understand the real position of the Philippines through in-depth consultations, the attitude of the Philippines has unexpectedly developed in the opposite direction before the meeting.
Second, the internal political crisis in the Philippines also deciphers the real motives behind this shift. Marcos has always been concerned about regime instability. As a **, he is well aware of the political risks, so he skillfully allied himself with the former **Duterte in order to defeat his political opponents. The reason why Duterte is happy about Marcos's arrival is precisely because of Marcos's friendly gesture toward China. However, after Marcos came to power, he turned his back on his allies, is this repeated stance too annoying? In fact, Duterte has a vision for the future of the Philippines and understands the importance of maintaining good relations with China. But Marcos's change in attitude has led to a deterioration in his relationship with the Duterte family, and losing Duterte's support would be a political disaster. In order to stabilize his political base, Marcos had no choice but to make overtures to China. However, statements are statements, and actions are the key to everything. Hopefully, Marcos will show sincerity, not inconsistency, in order to realize his vision of a stronger relationship with China.
2. Farewell to Nobita in the Year of the Dragon: At the beginning of the new year, the Chinese Embassy in the Philippines held a grand reception for the Year of the Dragon to welcome the arrival of the Year of the Dragon. Mrs. Filipino ** came to the scene in person and led a group of senior ** to attend, demonstrating the respect and friendly attitude of the Philippines towards Chinese culture. Mrs. Filipino carried a congratulatory letter from Marcos, congratulating China on a Happy New Year, thanking the Chinese and overseas Chinese for their contributions to the Philippine economy, and expressing their willingness to further deepen cooperation with China. On the surface, this gesture shows the goodwill of the Philippine side from the heart, but it also outlines the expectation of a long-term and solid cooperative relationship with China. Obviously, after the small twists and turns in China-Philippines relations, the Philippine side hopes to inform China through this gift for the Year of the Dragon that it is willing to mend relations between the two sides.
However, this statement by the Philippines has set off quite a stir in the diplomatic arena. Experts believe that there may be more hidden factors behind this shift. First of all, China has always advocated striving for and safeguarding its own interests. Once the Philippines takes a tough stance, China will not be willing to admit defeat lightly. To justify its legitimate claims to Second Thomas Shoal, China has tightened its grip on the area to prevent the Philippines from crossing the border again. Although the Philippines has expressed its position of reconciliation with China, its actual actions hide the risk of "playing with fire". The Philippines' continued provocations have seriously tested China's patience, and China can also use ** to rebuke the Philippines for duplicity. China's path to rights protection will not be easily snooped on by the Philippines.
Second, the internal political situation in the Philippines is also an important factor contributing to the change in the attitude of the Philippine side. Marcos demanded that the regime be consolidated and that an accidental rollover be avoided. Now, Marcos has ascended to the throne with Duterte's support, and this political background has also become an important weapon on Marcos's political path. The reason why Duterte favors Marcos is precisely because of Marcos's friendly gesture towards China. But now, Marcos's attitude towards China is reversed, and the contradiction is really difficult to understand. Duterte is thoughtful about the future of the Philippines and understands the importance of maintaining a strong relationship with China. Instead, Marcos's treachery has put Duterte's relationship in jeopardy. Considering the need to defend Marcos, courting China has become an imminent choice. However, it is not enough to talk about loyalty, but to take action is the key, and it is expected that Marcos can make persistent efforts instead of not believing his words, and only in this way can we truly consolidate the future of friendship and cooperation with China.
Since the past, China-Philippines relations have loomed like mountains and rivers, but at this stage, will the sudden changes in the Philippines bring a new turn for the Philippines relations? 3. Summary: "Welcoming Spring with Friends and Fighting with Enemies", China-Philippines relations are like a chess game, with rollercoaster ups and downs. The Philippine statement is undoubtedly a New Year's gift, conveying the sincerity of win-win cooperation, but there are many hidden insiders behind it. China has always adhered to the position of safeguarding territorial sovereignty, and the frequent provocations of the Philippines have tested China's resilience. The crisis in the Philippines' internal politics has also affected the development of bilateral relations to a certain extent. Marcos's Chinese New Year's message was a stopgap measure, but the key to it was action. Only when the Philippine side shows a sincere and stable attitude can China-Philippines relations usher in a new dawn. In the future, good mutual trust and cooperation will be the key to the sustainable development of China-Philippines relations. It is hoped that the two sides will take this opportunity to consolidate friendly relations and work together to promote regional peace, stability, prosperity and development.