Time magazine has released the top 10 global risks in 2024. In third place is "Ukraine".
In 2023, the main events are two wars in Europe (Russia vs. Ukraine) and the Middle East (Israel vs. Hamas). By 2024, these conflicts will expand, but the biggest global risk is a third "war" – America's own **.
Time notes that Russia's invasion of Ukraine is a historic defeat for Moscow: NATO is expanding, negotiations on Ukraine's accession to the European Union have begun, sanctions have been imposed on Russia. In addition, Russian assets that could be used to rebuild Ukraine have been frozen.
But Ukraine will be de facto divided this year, and Russia already has the initiative and material superiority on the battlefield. 2024 is a turning point in the war: if Ukraine does not solve the problem of mobilization, **, does not develop a suitable strategy,Its territorial losses may become irreversible and, most likely, expand
Ukraine has been hit hard due to the reduction in political and material support from the United States, and the prospects for European aid are "only slightly better." "For these reasons, this year Kyiv will take greater military risks, including striking more targets on Russian territory, which will provoke an unprecedented Russian response and could draw NATO into the conflict".